I think the last NW shift was a glitch, because it came back SE on the next run. It's expected to start in 5 hours. We are really entering the nowcast portion of the event. Time to start watching the pressure falls and where things establish and move.
I have a huge problem with this. We won't get weather models and a ton of other stuff. This forum would cease to exist and Skywarn as a function would also cease to exist as well. Want to know when the tornado is coming, look up.
People with their big mouths don't actually understand the cascading effects of such a drastic change.
I think this is our jackpot storm. Yes, we are normally lacking in solid snowfall events. It's tough for us to get more than 3-4" at any point. I just hope the end of this week doesn't bring a crippling ice storm.
It’s been 10 years since we have seen a double digit snowfall. It will likely be another 10 before we see another one. I hope this happens as modeled. I am just happy the last part of winter this season has been this good.
12z GFS seems to be drying out some with the Southern portion of the storm. The Snow and ice totals are about half of what they used to be. They are 1/3rd from 12 hours ago. Not sure on that one. If the GFS is acting like the NAM or what's up with that. It does better though, without the random tongue of missing precip.
NAM looks like it's still having issues with the snow to ice line in NKY. The 540 thickness line goes North to almost the Ohio River before moving South again. That would create mixing issues here for sure. It's definitely showing issues with the Ice/Snow line as the event unfolds.
Where near Louisville did you grow up? Most of my Dad's family is from Louisville.
Actually, the majority of my neighbors have snowblowers. Only a couple do not, and we clear their driveways since they are older.
They issued this MD overnight here, for snowfall rates of 1-3”/hr, due to mesoscale banding. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0066.html
snowfall across the area is 5-10 inches, with the official report from KCVG coming in at 9.8”