WinterWolf Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Told you. They always conservative. It’s why probs don’t work Ya that’s what I thought...but was just a tad confused(lol) by what he was getting at?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Told you. They always conservative. It’s why probs don’t work They busted big time with that 12-18" call over most of SNE, including areas S of Boston, as that last system was on our doorstep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: They busted big time with that 12-18" call over most of SNE, including areas S of Boston, as that last system was on our doorstep. They were pretty accurate just a few miles inland I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Its 18z Euro time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 28 minutes ago, tavwtby said: seems reasonable, at this stage I would tend to shave 2" off those, but trends seem to be in our favor I said ‘may’...I’m deff not ready to pull the max trigger yet ha. That’s the kind of stuff you pull inside 24hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 What do temps look like? I hope this isn’t a sh*t load of white rain that doesn’t accumulate much like we had on Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 49 minutes ago, weathafella said: Yeah once people get slop they fear it forever. Had doctors appt where wxniss works amd had to drive by where he lives for a haircut in Coolidge Corner. My hood literally 2-3x as much pack. Yup. Crazy diff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: What do temps look like? I hope this isn’t a sh*t load of white rain that doesn’t accumulate much like we had on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 18z euro looks a smidge more amped through 36. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: 3K would deform MHT-CON LOL. 12K looks like near and north of BOS down into I-84. we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 18z Euro looks like its going to be a tic or two NW of the 12z Run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Thanks. Doesn’t look like white rain with those temperatures for anyone outside of Jimmy’s hood. Hope he can cash in too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 About 4mb stronger then the 12z run at hr48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 It actually contracted the precip shield east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 End result is pretty close to 12z. Maybe just a tick better in getting precip further inland. Incremental changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I thought that would slam, but slid east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 42 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So what do you mean? You think this is low? well, it's a fast mover.....so it's not like it's dropping 16" . I would be thrilled with a swath of 6-8. Also seems to want to move more ENE once it reaches 37 N 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It actually contracted the precip shield east. I honestly thought that big CCB at 48h was gonna destroy E MA but then it slid just east. It got lighter stuff a little further inland. But this was kind of a wash with 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 That's a good look I think ORH-BDL on SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 That northern stream s/w is acting like a kicker, Would like to see that out ahead of the southern stream instead of trailing some, Offset the southern stream lifting further north, Still a tic or so better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 51 minutes ago, weathafella said: Yeah once people get slop they fear it forever. Had doctors appt where wxniss works amd had to drive by where he lives for a haircut in Coolidge Corner. My hood literally 2-3x as much pack. Yep. Why folks just a few miles away were so upset last week. Missed 1-2 feet by 1-2F. Funny how I've been a little less enthralled about Sunday relative to last week. Less complexity, no ptype issues, fast mover so ceiling is not high. Enter 18z 3k NAM and now we have a little more suspense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: They were pretty accurate just a few miles inland I thought. No they weren't. Their call from 7pm Mon to 7am Tue was for an additional 6-8 inches for my area. We were lucky to get 2-3 inches more after 7pm. We had no more than 6 inches total of heavy wet slop for the entire storm. I snow blowed it at 10-11 pm, and there was nothing further when I got up the next morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I honestly thought that big CCB at 48h was gonna destroy E MA but then it slid just east. It got lighter stuff a little further inland. But this was kind of a wash with 12z. Yeah no kidding. Even H7 lift was strong, so I'm sort of scratching my head. Anyways, not really worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: End result is pretty close to 12z. Maybe just a tick better in getting precip further inland. Incremental changes. gets good precip 25+ miles NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I honestly thought that big CCB at 48h was gonna destroy E MA but then it slid just east. It got lighter stuff a little further inland. But this was kind of a wash with 12z. Lock it in. If similar to 12z it seems to back the consensus on the forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: No they weren't. Their call from 7pm Mon to 7am Tue was for an additional 6-8 inches for my area. We were lucky to get 2-3 inches more after 7pm. We had no more than 6 inches total of heavy wet slop for the entire storm. I snow blowed it at 10-11 pm, and there was nothing further when I got up the next morning. I mean, they missed for people like us on the coastal plain but what you said about them busting for most of SNE isn't true. But yeah, it was a bad call for us on the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: No they weren't. Their call from 7pm Mon to 7am Tue was for an additional 6-8 inches for my area. We were lucky to get 2-3 inches more after 7pm. We had no more than 6 inches total of heavy wet slop for the entire storm. I snow blowed it at 10-11 pm, and there was nothing further when I got up the next morning. That’s right. Total ripoff lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Off hour Euro . You know the drill. It’s been notoriously low since it’s inception. 18z cuts back and then 00z goes buck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 47 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: So what do you mean? You think this is low? They mean what they said - if there's a 10% chance of those totals occurring, it's the 90th percentile snowfall. In reality the depiction seems more like the actual forecast. The totals for the 90th percentile should be much higher with something like 12-14 having a 10% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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