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WxUSAF

January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)

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1 minute ago, Deer Whisperer said:

im walking the line there but this has to be a good sign if the icon shows that much snow right?

All signs point to YES!!!

760A5267-22CB-4FC1-9758-C5DD7D081C42.jpeg.066bbdef94b1cd6e2a986d7db928f310.jpeg

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Just now, clskinsfan said:

I have no clue how the ICON is snow with the 540 line in central PA?

Same way the gfs will show rain with the 522 in Jacksonville I guess lol

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Just now, clskinsfan said:

I have no clue how the ICON is snow with the 540 line in central PA?

Yeah, I'd be very wary of those 10:1 snowfall maps with the ICON.  It seemed rate dependent if I had to guess.  

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11 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

ICON suddenly trended warmer at 6z, but is back to a somewhat colder solution. It's a strung out mess however, yet it still manages a med range WWA snowfall for many

icon-all-ma-total_snow_10to1-1835200.thumb.png.5c54de00e39ac43cae97ca895e6e3501.png

The strung out solutions seem to be the way we score. The consolidated amped storm seems to be too warm. 

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19 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Yeah. Include me in that category. I’m not letting anything stop my positivity. When the ICON shows snow, look out.

my mentality too. 

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Just now, jaydreb said:

GFS looks icy for western areas.  No blue over DC though.  

2m temps are below freezing the entire storm in the metro area. Not even close really.

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Just now, clskinsfan said:

GFS is ice/rain to snow. 850's drop between 114 and 120. Basically DC north would be snow after 12Z Tuesday. 

It's interesting that while the Euro insists that DC's best chance of blue is the front end thump, meanwhile the GFS insists on crashing 850s on the backend and turning to snow then. Is it too weenie to ask for both of those scenarios to combine? :p

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Not really cold enough in the metros for high impact ice. Trees will look nice if they don’t break

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3 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said:

GFS is such a joke......Low off SC with mixing issues in Virginia.....smh

4 High pressure systems and rain to my door step. can't believe this crap  

1611867600-FGvdIfhSRag.png

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1 minute ago, frd said:

4 High pressure systems and rain to my door step. can't believe this crap  

 

It's BS. Ignore it.

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1 minute ago, nj2va said:

I'd take that track and roll the dice that we see all frozen out of the D7 system.  

Trusting the GFS and its ensembles means that you are certain is has Canada all figured out...... NOT 

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Just now, North Balti Zen said:

Whoops. Sorry. Randy confused me. 28th threat still in here?

Yes, 28th here. 25th in the thread Randy made (he goofed on the title)

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