ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: On the plus side, we're less than 12 months to the start of met winter. We’re also less than 11 months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We’re also less than 11 months. And for the next grinch storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just going to have to disagree. Weather has little to do with luck . It’s science and science isn’t luck Of course there is luck, but you’re saying everything happens for a reason. Well true I guess. But let’s say you have an overall favorable pattern or a SSW for example. Maybe the cold goes to Europe instead. That’s bad luck in a way because you know those can be favorable here, but sometimes it’s the other side of the globe getting it. Same with a favorable pattern. Let’s say you have a nice big ridge out west. Normally a good thing. You then have a Scooter shit streak in Canada that’s just enough to keep the flow up there from buckling. Instead of a low curling up the coast, it’s out to sea. Those are the little minor things that sometimes happen. You can’t see them days in advance. I said this yesterday. People have no idea what it takes to get a good streak of winter weather going. The ennui as Ray would say is more common in winter around here. We don’t average a whole lot of snow overall. Get used to it. People have been spoiled by recent winters. Back to reality. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Of course there is luck, but you’re saying everything happens for a reason. Well true I guess. But let’s say you have an overall favorable pattern or a SSW for example. Maybe the cold goes to Europe instead. That’s bad luck in a way because you know those can be favorable here, but sometimes it’s the other side of the globe getting it. Same with a favorable pattern. Let’s say you have a nice big ridge out west. Normally a good thing. You then have a Scooter shit streak in Canada that’s just enough to keep the flow up there from buckling. Instead of a low curling up the coast, it’s out to sea. Those are the little minor things that sometimes happen. You can’t see them days in advance. I said this yesterday. People have no idea what it takes to get a good streak of winter weather going. The ennui as Ray would say is more common in winter around here. We don’t average a whole lot of snow overall. Get used to it. People have been spoiled by recent winters. Back to reality. He’s always yearned for winters of yore....he’s getting a taste of them. It’s like a milder version of the 1980s/early 1990s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Of course there is luck, but you’re saying everything happens for a reason. Well true I guess. But let’s say you have an overall favorable pattern or a SSW for example. Maybe the cold goes to Europe instead. That’s bad luck in a way because you know those can be favorable here, but sometimes it’s the other side of the globe getting it. Same with a favorable pattern. Let’s say you have a nice big ridge out west. Normally a good thing. You then have a Scooter shit streak in Canada that’s just enough to keep the flow up there from buckling. Instead of a low curling up the coast, it’s out to sea. Those are the little minor things that sometimes happen. You can’t see them days in advance. I said this yesterday. People have no idea what it takes to get a good streak of winter weather going. The ennui as Ray would say is more common in winter around here. We don’t average a whole lot of snow overall. Get used to it. People have been spoiled by recent winters. Back to reality. Maybe parts of this bear some truth, but to go a full month of January without snow other than that dusting last Sunday .. I’m not sure that happened even in the 80’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We’re also less than 11 months. My arithmetical abilities have been hampered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 October snows suck 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 I'm about to cancel winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: He’s always yearned for winters of yore....he’s getting a taste of them. It’s like a milder version of the 1980s/early 1990s Bringing Kevin back to the days of when he walked into the boys room and caught kids smoking, and then got a swirly to make sure he doesn’t tell the teachers. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Maybe parts of this bear some truth, but to go a full month of January without snow other than that dusting last Sunday .. I’m not sure that happened even in the 80’s It’s the 10th..just relax. It’s going to snow this January. Something is going to pop...maybe it doesn’t pop til the last weak? Maybe something comes out of nowhere and surprises us. The pattern is improving as we move ahead now..and that will be conducive for Chances. I don’t think we strike out on every single chance over the next three weeks of January, especially in a pretty good set up. I mean even the ratter of ‘12 gave us a 6-7” event in January that year. And then went snowless the rest of the way. And this won’t be like that year. Hang tough and we keep the trucks clean until it snows at least. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Bringing Kevin back to the days of when he walked into the boys room and caught kids smoking, and then got a swirly to make sure he doesn’t tell the teachers. What’s a swirly? And why would you know what it is when you tell us? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: This month is a great example of why you simply cannot base or make forecasts off of medium to long range models. They generally are never correct. Until you get under 2-3 days to say “ The last 15 days of the month looks great , with cold and storm chances”.. you really can’t do that and have much chance of being right. It’s more pattern recognition and persistence forecasting until something physically breaks that persistence. I’m more convinced now than ever. I strongly agree with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm about to cancel winter Good idea. That should be just what we need to jump start the decent pattern that sets in this week. When can we expect the “Official” Winter Cancel Call? Tomorrow, January 11th? That’s logical right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm about to cancel winter Don't you see the better pattern!?!??! 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 It will be ok. All we need to do is have a pattern change away from this crappy -NAO, -AO, +PNA pattern to a classic la NINA pattern. Patience patterns do change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I strongly agree with this. They are just tools, you shouldn't base a forecast entirely off them, or we wouldn't even need mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: The only good part is we can keep our vehicles showroom spotless and clean . Wipe them down everyday like we do in summer Just washed mine yesterday....was thinking the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What’s a swirly? And why would you know what it is when you tell us? When somebody shoves your head in the toilet, holding it there, and flushes it, swirling your hair around your head due to the water swirling around the bowl. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Don't you see the better pattern!?!??! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 32 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: October snows suck Every time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just washed mine yesterday....was thinking the same. Other than the salt dust on the roads it’s a positive. Just gotta wipe down the dust each day . At the other end of spectrum is Scooter and Will who consider their car washes when it rains , while the kids learn to write the alphabet in the dust on the dash 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Almost time to start worrying about South Shore reservoir levels? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 2 hours ago, S&P said: Yup, same here It's crazy. Plants are so confused. My dog was just sniffing out our dogwood tree. I looked and it has buds and the leaves are emerging... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: They are just tools, you shouldn't base a fore at enteroy off them, or we wouldn't even need mets. Precisely. The social media weenies take those things as gospel and assume whatever they're throwing out in the 7-10+ day timeframe is precisely going to happen. Anyways, it will be fun watching the Pacific the next several days because if we can extend ridging into the Gulf of Alaska and sort of cement that there for a bit...the tune of winter could change (even if briefly). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: When somebody shoves your head in the toilet, holding it there, and flushes it, swirling your hair around your head due to the water swirling around the bowl. Lol. He doesn't have hair so he wouldn't know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Every time I didnt even get snow in October and I havent had snow since December 17. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Other than the salt dust on the roads it’s a positive. Just gotta wipe down the dust each day . At the other end of spectrum is Scooter and Will who consider their car washes when it rains , while the kids learn to write the alphabet in the dust on the dash You’re right. Could care less. Clean it when I can. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: He doesn't have hair so he wouldn't know He did back in 7th grade. And that’s what Scott was saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: He did beck in 7th grade. And that’s what Scott was saying. IDK, I think his hairline checked out at the first sign of puberty 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Precisely. The social media weenies take those things as gospel and assume whatever they're throwing out in the 7-10+ day timeframe is precisely going to happen. Anyways, it will be fun watching the Pacific the next several days because if we can extend ridging into the Gulf of Alaska and sort of cement that there for a bit...the tune of winter could change (even if briefly). Lol, you just said you agreed with Kev, and now you agree here too? They’re opposite statements..you can’t agree with both Wiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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