The 4 Seasons Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Mean is a bit too far se, but fine at this range. i agree overall, though its better for me than you, id rather deal with the snow/no snow line and a scraper than the R/S line and getting 0 or 12 just to my north. im sick of those, but thats just me. I like to be on the northern edge, at least i know its cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, Henry's Weather said: I'd imagine the typical north correction happens less under -NAO regimes? Someone enlighten me Yeah less likely to have this go full zonked out west....still possible, but less likely with the NAO the way it is and the 50/50 low. This is still 6 days out though, so we're going to see some big changes run to run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Today will henceforth be known as the day that Ray's snow map he prefers becomes officially known as the Narcan map 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Move north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah less likely to have this go full zonked out west....still possible, but less likely with the NAO the way it is and the 50/50 low. This is still 6 days out though, so we're going to see some big changes run to run. I really doubt it cuts...maybe a hugger. I think the largest risks are OTS and later bloomer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 It’s almost better to have a fun virtual vs the inevitable disappointment even a great storm will bring to a few... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 46 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Kuchera crackhead fix It's probably more an indictment on this Kuchera's method but ... given to the antecedent air mass/ in situ during ... and the storm synoptic evolution being sort of "ideal" ( ish )... that kind of snow layout/gradient is unrealistic... I don't have a problem in modern climate of finding the PWAT necessary to neighborhood the coveted 30" award ...but having all of VT ... zero ? I bet half those band numbers at most max ... or, there is quite a bit more of a NW realization than this depiction - again ...predicated on the assumption that antecedent air mass/ in situ during ... and the storm synoptic evolution are closer to reality. I think we'd find it hard in climate annuls to find that sort of snow result anologs - just a hunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Should have some muthufukkas in a few minutes.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's probably more an indictment on this Kuchera's method but ... given to the antecedent air mass/ in situ during ... and the storm synoptic evolution being sort of "ideal" ( ish )... that kind of snow layout/gradient is unrealistic... I don't have a problem in modern climate of finding the PWAT necessary to neighborhood the coveted 30" award ...but having all of VT ... zero ? I bet half those band number max ... or, there is quite a bit more of a NW realization than this depiction - again ...predicated on the assumption that antecedent air mass/ in situ during ... and the storm synoptic evolution are closer to reality. I think we'd find it hard in climate annuls to find that sort of snow result anologs - just a hunch January 1996 had a gradient pretty similar to that. But I agree that there would be sick mid level banding over the Berkshires and s VT if that solution verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Lol...I told my wife our trip back to Chicago will have to be delayed until after the storm if it happens ..lol. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 This is still basically clown range... so it’s all fodder at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Stop, I can only get so hard! 4 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is slightly more amplified with wave 1 and wave 2 looks good. I'm loving the highs in Canada. We high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Stop, I can only get so hard! Cheryl Lemke just logged off 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Too bad the jack is at d7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Last nights EPS and this mornings GEFS. About all you can ask for at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 I'd take #21. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Last nights EPS and this mornings GEFS. About all you can ask for at this stage. Awesome agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 Cmc is an outlier Ensembles are northwest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: Cmc is an outlier Ensembles are northwest Perfect look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said: Decent amount of nothing burgers there 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take #21. Split the difference. 29 gets half of 21 added to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take #21. #21 is a good solution for everyone to sip the Kool-Aid I agree. I like #29 mainly bc it crushes I-95 and east and tickles northern portions of 495 from what I can tell. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Decent amount of nothing burgers there That's called day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 10, 2020 Author Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, It's Always Sunny said: #21 is a good solution for everyone to sip the Kool-Aid I agree. I like #29 mainly bc it crushes I-95 and east and tickles northern portions of 495 from what I can tell. I hate being tickled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That's called day 7. He’s baaack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 The phrase nothing burger is absolutely one of the most maddening and annoying phrases out there. Good Lord 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hate being tickled. You prefer getting pounded, we know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 10, 2020 Share Posted December 10, 2020 GGEM is more than a mere outlier - it's telling... This is a highly volatile week's worth of shrapnel coming off the Pacific with very low deterministic value - I think if folks truly got their heads around this ...and adhered to it ...the ebullience would rightfully be held in check - ... lol.... It's okay but...you do the dopamine thing and it is palpable, and you do what you gotta do to bring joy to your life, even if it is allowing these 'tools' in the tool chest trigger - I gotta tell you - I got a socket wrench that really does it for me. hahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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