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SVR-TOR potential 6P-11P NJ, maybe LI?


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I'll be away for a large portion of this time frame so creating a possible avenue of posts, IF SVR materializes. Have seen a few models with a separate more northerly strong shear zone near I78 to southern LI early tonight. Added a couple of graphics. This matches the SPC D1 Slight Risk. While I think most of the SVR will be south of our forum, needed to cover for a possible potent developing event.  You'll know by 7PM what's moving through and/or near KABE.  Keep alert on your radar data.  IF a supercell develops...real good chance of 1-3" in 30 to 60 minutes.  

Again, low prob for our area but could not ignore some of the modeled guidance. 

Screen Shot 2020-09-03 at 3.18.49 PM.png

Screen Shot 2020-09-03 at 3.20.39 PM.png

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