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ARyan

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Everything posted by ARyan

  1. The HRRR has been trending towards expanding the ZR region NE along the NC/SC border over the past 5 runs or so. Doing a quick glance at the 17z initialization, it appears to be initializing correctly. It'll be interesting to see if this trend continues. https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/?load=prun&prunType=2022011517-HRRR-SE-prec-ptype-18
  2. ...and back to sleet. Here's a live look from 700mb.
  3. Huge flakes. They're hitting the ground and rolling like tumbleweeds. (Okay. That's a bit of an exaggeration.)
  4. Trying to go back to all snow. Still a few sleet pellets mixed in.
  5. Some sleet mixing in but still mostly snow in Long Beach.
  6. Yes. Thank you. I need another cup of coffee. I was just about the edit my post. Haha.
  7. LIDAR soundings in the metro are already looking sketchy. Temps in the 700mb level are flirting with 0C. The heavy snow will help, but if/when things lighten up is when we'll be in trouble. http://www.nysmesonet.org/networks/profiler#stid=prof_stat EDIT: I need another cup of coffee. Not nearly as close as I first interpreted.
  8. Same here. Thankfully we didn't lose power. However, we did lose internet...from a car hitting a power pole.
  9. I slept through most of it. I remember hearing a lot of sleet. The pinging stopped early this morning. I'm guessing we have about 3-4", at best, of concrete. The wind was howling at times last night. Enough to wake me up. I was just waiting for it to take the power out.
  10. Hard to tell. The wind is blowing what snow has fallen against my apartment. Maybe 2"? Also, we're back to all snow.
  11. Currently there's sleet here in Long Beach, but some snow is trying to mix back in.
  12. Outside the metro, but if you like heavy snow and trains, this will be great cam to watch.
  13. Following up this. Based on this post and the 0z MFR sounding, it would hint at a further NW track...
  14. That's a crazy good shot! What an eerie world we're living in now.
  15. Wow. These rainfall totals are unbelievable. I know it rained a lot last night but 4-5" is crazy. Thankfully not too much flooding in my part of Long Beach. The usual trouble spots are flooded but passable.
  16. Yes. Every branch of the NWS does forecast verification. Although, they're usually buried and can be hard to find. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/ Also, I didn't know they did those forecasts either.
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