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wdrag

Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

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75 mph gust at Barnegat Inlet Light.
 

PORTS            

...New Jersey...
Barnegat Inlet Light         75 MPH    1054 AM 08/04   WXFLOW        
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Moderate wind gusts here in Holbrook a couple miles east of Islip airport. Gusting to around 30 looks like jersey shore and southwest LI will get the best of the wind

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2 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

1.00" of rain so far. Wind ENE @ 5mph

Crushing me.

only 0.70 of rain

interesting aspect is radar indicates very heavy rain...just not seeing it.

wind blowing decent 

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I think this is it regarding the tornado threat outside of LI. 

Particularly concerned about the cell moving into Eastern Bergen County.

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Some nasty cells heading towards LI and probably SCT over the next hour or two.  There will likely be rotation in some of those.

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Not much going on severe wise so far....

Thats a big wall of water heading towards NW jersey. 
 

This thing is moving as the eye is very close to PHl 

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Modeling of winds gusts from 12z HRRRX... this modeling looks very accurate to within 5kt.  50 kt =58 MPH.  Posted for 17z, and 21z...note nw NJ in a little lull then cranks on the west flow around 4P.  

Also added power outages. 

Many reports 55-64KT in NJ coastal plain. 

1144A/4

 

Screen Shot 2020-08-04 at 11.35.41 AM.png

Screen Shot 2020-08-04 at 11.37.15 AM.png

Screen Shot 2020-08-04 at 11.38.20 AM.png

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3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

I think this is it regarding the tornado threat outside of LI. 

Particularly concerned about the cell moving into Eastern Bergen County.

The intense rotating cells kind of pulsed off and skipped northeastward from SNJ to LI.  But it's still possible a few cells pop up unexpectedly.  The back edge of rain is fast approaching, but winds should still be strong for a few hours.

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1 minute ago, eduggs said:

The intense rotating cells kind of pulsed off and skipped northeastward from SNJ to LI.  But it's still possible a few cells pop up unexpectedly.  The back edge of rain is fast approaching, but winds should still be strong for a few hours.

Yep, that was evident early on with the back edge of the feeder band near cape May earlier.

 

Its currently exiting Monmouth county 

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4 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Modeling of winds gusts from 12z HRRRX... this modeling looks very accurate to within 5kt.  50 kt =58 MPH.  Posted for 17z, and 21z...note nw NJ in a little lull then cranks on the west flow around 4P.  

Also added power outages. 

Many reports 55-64KT in NJ coastal plain. 

1144A/4

 

Looks a little high to me where I am in Morris County.  Definitely gusty but not sure we even saw 40kt locally.  Maybe up in the higher elevations.

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Remember that the winds really don't pick up until the feeder band passes. Most of those reports out of DE and SNJ came after the severe weather moved through.

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wind really came in strong with those showers, howling down the street, strong enough to start to rip some of those cloth awnings some business have. Then it calmed down somewhat.

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20 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Have barely hit 40 mph and lost power already 

we're screwed

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1 minute ago, eduggs said:

Looks a little high to me where I am in Morris County.  Definitely gusty but not sure we even saw 40kt locally.  Maybe up in the higher elevations.

Give this til 130P. If nothing, then don't giver up on back side G 45-50kt for an hr around 4P. HRRRX modeling has been good at 24 hrs and very good inside 12 hours. 

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Looks like winds are funneling into the NYC bite on that HRRX map.   If correct, winds will be higher there than SNJ .

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Just now, NJwx85 said:

Watch out for that cell that just came into Eastern Monmouth County.

Nice couplet on radar now.

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Looks like Sussex and maybe eastern Nassau are gonna get raked.  Get those cameras ready Fire Island to the Hamptons if you wanna capture a landfalling waterspout.

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