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Baroclinic Zone

August 2020 Discussion

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What will the last month of 2020 MET Summer bring?  It's been a warm one and in some cases, a top 5 warmest to date.  Many places could use a solid rain storm.  Will the tropics heat up for the East Cost?

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54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looks like a tornado swarm Sunday night/ Monday on the Euro 

It's within 7 days so Wiz should be making a thread soon. 

 

Can definitely see a cooler August coming. Not starting the woodstove like 2 years ago. We were at a friend's near Magic Mountain at 2000' and had a couple days in a row where mornings were in the low 40s and highs never touched 65.

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Just now, PowderBeard said:

It's within 7 days so Wiz should be making a thread soon. 

 

Can definitely see a cooler August coming. Not starting the woodstove like 3-4 years ago but cool.

Nah.. def not a cool signal at all. The WAR is there for good this summer. We’ll see high dews almost daily with any troughiness staying west. Unless you mean losing the excessive high heat we’ve had this month. We won’t keep seeing 95-100 . More like 88-92 with 70+ dews 

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......And on Sept 1st most of the  heat lovers will expect a switch to cool fall weather. Hasn't worked out all that well the last 2 years...

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1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

......And on Sept 1st most of the  heat lovers will expect a switch to cool fall weather. Hasn't worked out all that well the last 2 years...

Really ... I've seen snow at least in the air in 5 of the last 8 Octobers, 3 novembers hosting winter storm warning verification -

I guess if one can't wait a month post Sept one they're probably not lucid enough to pay attention to anyway ..

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16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Really ... I've seen snow at least in the air in 5 of the last 8 Octobers, 3 novembers hosting winter storm warning verification -

I guess if one can't wait a month post Sept one they're probably not lucid enough to pay attention to anyway ..

But some DO expect the switch to flip around Sept 1st....

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2 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

......And on Sept 1st most of the  heat lovers will expect a switch to cool fall weather. Hasn't worked out all that well the last 2 years...

I’m a heat lover into October.   September can be a sneaky hot month.  

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BOX

Better days are ahead, if you're not a fan of the heat wave 
we've been experiencing that is. As we move into the latter half
of the week and weekend the synoptic patter transitions to one 
dominated by broad mid-level troughing over the northeast. As 
this happens height falls and cooler upper level temperatures 
will lead to a gradual "cool down"...quotes included because 
even so, temperatures will still feel very much summer-like. 
Some locations like Hartford and portions of eastern MA may even
get one more day tacked onto the heatwave streak on Thursday 
(i.e. could reach 90 F once more), after which things remain 
around normal or slightly above normal for early August. By the 
weekend 850 mb temperatures drop as low at 12-14 C. All of this 
translates to highs in the 80s across the region; biggest drop 
in temps comes between Thursday and Friday with a cold frontal 
passage. Good news is dewpoints should be more comfortable 
during this period. 
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23 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

So, Maine had a tornado and a shark attack on the same day? 

In fairness, we don't know we had a tornado for GYX/CAR yet. ;)

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3 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said:

So, Maine had a tornado and a shark attack on the same day? 

If Maine can have 2 tornados during a Thanksgiving snowstorm (2005), anything is possible here.  (Except a strong TC)

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Might see a trough setup near the OV or East Coast. Sometimes those setups are fairly active. Not extreme heat, but could be dewy. 

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Might see a trough setup near the OV or East Coast. Sometimes those setups are fairly active. Not extreme heat, but could be dewy. 

Bahama blue pattern...  

Pixel showers with narrow turrets that blind windshields for thirty seconds and lower the backyard temp from 84/75 to 79/78 before resets...  

Sometimes training though -

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Might see a trough setup near the OV or East Coast. Sometimes those setups are fairly active. Not extreme heat, but could be dewy. 

I wonder if that’s a better pattern for tropical cyclones to threaten us up here?

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so I've been lurking for ages and have been able to learn a bunch of the terms/acronyms, but this one I can't figure out...

>The WAR is there for good this summer.

What's WAR?

 

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Just now, TwoDogNight said:

so I've been lurking for ages and have been able to learn a bunch of the terms/acronyms, but this one I can't figure out...

>The WAR is there for good this summer.

What's WAR?

 

Western Atlantic Ridge.  You could say Bermuda High

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2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Western Atlantic Ridge.  You could say Bermuda High

Thanks...that...I know.  ;-)

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Kind of interesting ...

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

take a look at the fixated fog bank out SE of the Cape ...notice the southern edge seems to be permanently etched out of free space ?? 

I suspect that is demarcating a cold water/warm water interface, and everywhere that is fog-side is the colder SSTs ...  

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7 hours ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I wonder if that’s a better pattern for tropical cyclones to threaten us up here?

That’s what you typically want, but the nuances to really suck it north without bending East are just too hard to predict this far out. 

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26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s what you typically want, but the nuances to really suck it north without bending East are just too hard to predict this far out. 

Yeah. The pattern looks ripe, but like we saw with Fay it doesn’t take much to radically change the outcome. We’re always on a razor’s edge up here. 

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15 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

In fairness, we don't know we had a tornado for GYX/CAR yet. ;)

At least a funnel cloud.

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