Rtd208 Posted June 28, 2020 Author Share Posted June 28, 2020 Temp up to 94 here. A very hot and humid day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 Pouring here in Rockland County. Check out that main line coming our way!!Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 And now there's hailSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 That line just went through here in Sullivan, missed the strong winds but it poured buckets for a solid 20 minutes. It could hold well for a few more hours before weakening some...maybe strengthen just a tad more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 Biggest hail I've ever seen in person!Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 Coney Island finally lost the sun at 4pm, T at 81, high so far. The Morristown storm which could reach me is dying out based on the number of lightning strokes. White Plains appears to be at the center of the action now, 4:20pm. Finally some heavy showers here at 7:00pm-7:15pm, but mostly north of me. As a side note, the GFS during the 7 day period July 07-13 has an average high T of 98!!! in store for us. I warned two days ago the surface wind seemed more westerly starting the 7th. The GFS has had manic T's in almost all its runs, showing at least one 100-Degree Day each day on one or more runs since about June 04. Any 100 it has shown in the last 7.5 years of course was wrong. 2012 has our last 100 degree day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 Mostly cloudy 88 dew 66 after a high of 92. A few distant rumbles of thunder, but saw some dramatic lightning strikes looking north. Was briefly on the roof but then got the hell off. Also looks very ominous looking toward Westchester while some sun shines looking toward LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 heat advects southwest from canada thurs-fri. totally normal and ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 Seabreeze front thunderstorm dropped .38" here in South Commack. Hoping for more, but not holding my breath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 44 minutes ago, forkyfork said: heat advects southwest from canada thurs-fri. totally normal and ok A backdoor warm front on the 3rd followed by a backdoor cold front on the 4th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 92/70 temp split today...no rain yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: heat advects southwest from canada thurs-fri. totally normal and ok 2020 never fails to impress, just crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 11 minutes ago, uofmiami said: 2020 never fails to impress, just crazy. Not done yet. Imagine a winter storm with the rain changing to snow line moving from the southeast to the northwest, starting in the ocean. Im not even sure if that’s possible than again 104 in the land of the midnight sun .... As always.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 23 minutes ago, uofmiami said: 2020 never fails to impress, just crazy. much above normal heat in canada is just above normal heat in nyc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 29 minutes ago, nycwinter said: much above normal heat in canada is just above normal heat in nyc.. they were near triple digits in Maine....that aint anywhere near normal either for Maine or NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: heat advects southwest from canada thurs-fri. totally normal and ok scientifically illiterate people shouldn't be allowed to vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: they were near triple digits in Maine....that aint anywhere near normal either for Maine or NYC i seen no predictions for anywhere close to triple digit heat let alone mid 90;s heat for nyc anytime soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 28, 2020 Share Posted June 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i seen no predictions for anywhere close to triple digit heat let alone mid 90;s heat for nyc anytime soon... I meant what Maine and SE Canada have already experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 Two photos from today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 Mammatocumulus in that first one, Don? And is that a scud cloud in the second one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 14 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Two photos from today: Hey Don, was that photo with the building taken near Manor Park in Larchmont? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 Super orange outside, looks like Sahara dust but it’s probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 36 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said: Hey Don, was that photo with the building taken near Manor Park in Larchmont? It was taken from Umbrella Point within Manor Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 51 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Mammatocumulus in that first one, Don? And is that a scud cloud in the second one? Yes to both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 6/28 ACY: 95 LGA: 93 EWR: 93 PHL: 92 BLM: 92 New Brnswk: 91 TEB: 91 TTN: 90 NYC: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 New York City saw its second 90° day of the month and year today. A few parts of the region experienced strong thunderstorms during the afternoon and early evening hours. A predominantly warmer than normal pattern will likely persist through at least July and August, paving the way for a warmer than normal summer throughout the region. Occasional short-lived cool shots remain possible Initially, extreme heat is unlikely, but that could change during July, especially if the emerging drought continues to deepen. One or more heatwaves are likely in July across the region. The CFSv2, which has now moved into its skillful range for its monthly forecasts, and the EPS weeklies favor a warmer than normal July across the region. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around June 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.43°C. Neutral-cool conditions will likely prevail through mid-summer. The probability of the development of a La Niña event during late summer or early autumn has increased in recent weeks. The SOI was -0.70 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.657. On June 27, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.467 (RMM). The June 26-adjusted amplitude was 1.666. Last year, the MJO went through a very strong passage through Phase 1 during the closing days of May. About four weeks later, a warmer than normal pattern locked in and predominated through early autumn. This year, the MJO was in Phase 1 for 3 consecutive days with an amplitude of 1.500 or above during the June 1-3 period. Since 1981, there were four such cases that saw the MJO meet or exceed those thresholds during the June 1-10 period: 2002, 2006, 2007, and 2015. While the four cases were evenly split between cooler and warmer than normal during the second half of June, 3 of those 4 cases saw a warmer to much warmer than normal July. This could be an early indication that a summer that will start with near normal temperatures overall (June) could turn warmer than normal afterward. Last year, the SOI fell to -42.04 on June 22 when the MJO was in Phase 6. This year, the SOI plunged below -46.68 on June 5, its lowest level in more than three years. The dramatic plunge in the SOI could be the proverbial spark that kicks off a sequence of events leading to the development of a sustained warmer than normal period. Taking into consideration the MJO, that transition could begin some time during the closing 10 days of June. Further, the cases that saw both the MJO and SOI thresholds satisfied generally saw 10-20 days where the temperature reached or exceeded 90° in New York City. Just as had been the case last year, July and August could feature warm anomalies in the East. July-August 2019 saw 13 days on which the temperature reached or exceeded 90° in New York City. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June. June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.7°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 I’ll add my photos from Muttontown when the cell passed N and we had the gust front roll through. Had some mammatus prior to the gust front, but was in the pool and couldn’t take pics. Gust front approaching: Gust front after passage: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 4 hours ago, bluewave said: A backdoor warm front on the 3rd followed by a backdoor cold front on the 4th. it's not a 2' KU but it's still another extreme to add to the list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 No time to disect: Presume others on here already chatting up possible hailers Tue-Wed-Thu afternoon? Not necessarily severe but cold pool aloft will help. Walt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted June 29, 2020 Share Posted June 29, 2020 Received .33 inch of rain yesterday and just .01 today. first rain in over 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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