Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 29 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Rev is a beaten man He called for March 12 last year and just about every year since March 12. Cant be above normal has to be March 12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: He called for March 12 last year and just about every year since March 12. Cant be above normal has to be March 12 Just goes to show how narrow minded he really is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Blah blah blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 55 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: i like 1-2” in Nashua of shmeg I be happy to see that, NWS Gray I think is way off and maybe will change tonight or tomorrow , I just think way to warm to start at event time, but what do I know, hope I'm wrong and we are on the higher side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2020 Author Share Posted February 11, 2020 KASH is tough call....could be 1-2" or they could get 4-5"....I'd lean more toward the 1-2 at the moment, but they might be in a spot that gets a good 3-4 hours of moderate to heavy snow. Too marginal at the moment to make a definitive call....I'd prob just call it 1-3" right now and decide tonight ot tomorrow if I was gonna up it to 2-4/3-5 or back down to 1-2/C-2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Take those maps as a guide not gospel, We're still a good 36 hrs out from the event and there going to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Euro with a weenie stripe of 5-6" here. 4-6" and call it a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 No south tickles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 2 hours ago, dryslot said: I received 3" in that one, The year of nickels and dimes. Very much so. And even though I'm a bit ahead in total snow, my biggest event would rank 3rd on your list. Apart from 2005-06 which didn't have even a 6" event, I've got to go back to 1967-68 in NNJ to find a winter without a storm greater than my current 7" max. Thursday is unlikely to be that storm, but there's time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2020 Author Share Posted February 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: No south tickles It actually did look slightly colder....if you maybe held a microscope to it. We're talking like 5 miles south with the 0C lines at 850 and 925. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It actually did look slightly colder....if you maybe held a microscope to it. We're talking like 5 miles south with the 0C lines at 850 and 925. lol...that can make all the difference to the people in that 5 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, tamarack said: Very much so. And even though I'm a bit ahead in total snow, my biggest event would rank 3rd on your list. Apart from 2005-06 which didn't have even a 6" event, I've got to go back to 1967-68 in NNJ to find a winter without a storm greater than my current 7" max. Thursday is unlikely to be that storm, but there's time. Thursdays could tie your max with any tics further north i would think, But i kind of like the 5-7" spot on most guidance potentially right now, Still a lot of time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: He called for March 12 last year and just about every year since March 12. Cant be above normal has to be March 12 Find those “lie” posts you mention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, MetHerb said: lol...that can make all the difference to the people in that 5 miles. That’s not us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 55 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Just goes to show how narrow minded he really is. Nah he just knows what he’s doing. ‘reving’ folks up as usual. Pick your battles homie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Another whoa is us thread, I thought we already had like 4 or 5 of these for christ sakes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s not us Never said it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: you're probably good for +/- an inch for the thurs event. But it all gets washed away anyways. you talking to me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, Whineminster said: you talking to me? I replied right after Kevin but you snuck one in there. so to answer your question, no. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2020 Author Share Posted February 11, 2020 57 minutes ago, MetHerb said: lol...that can make all the difference to the people in that 5 miles. Yeah assuming it's not just model noise. That's the thing with microscopic shifts....they may not mean anything since they are well within the margin of error for the model output. But if we knew that 5 miles was real, then yeah....it would help those in N MA and near NH border somewhat I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 32 minutes ago, Whineminster said: you talking to me? 2.5" for us plus sleet zr and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nah he just knows what he’s doing. ‘reving’ folks up as usual. Pick your battles homie. I haven't been on him...Ginxy has, but I understand why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 21 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 2.5" for us plus sleet zr and rain Mostly rain probably. but what's this little rain turd that's moving through now? I thought it was supposed to be snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 35 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Mostly rain probably. but what's this little rain turd that's moving through now? I thought it was supposed to be snow showers. I don’t recall this being modeled or forecast as snow. This is the stuff from the south coast moving along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Weather Underground has my hood getting 3-5” Sell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 2 hours ago, dryslot said: Another whoa is us thread, I thought we already had like 4 or 5 of these for christ sakes. We should make a panic room thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 Harvey has the 1-2" line right to the coast. Bouchard has an inch to the coast but sounds very iffy with even that in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2020 Author Share Posted February 11, 2020 4 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Harvey has the 1-2" line right to the coast. Bouchard has an inch to the coast but sounds very iffy with even that in Boston. Yeah it’s pretty warm at the sfc..esp near coast. It’ll need to rip for a couple hours to get an inch or more. Definitely possible but I wouldn’t feel great about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 You're definitely going to need to play with fire to win with this one. Higher QPF is south where there's more mix and rain, lower QPF to the north where it's all snow. Hard to tell exactly where the best overlap is between the max QPF and <= 0° C thermal profiles, but it's either right over me or just to the north. Very close. Backedge up in Manchester looks to be in a slightly better position than I from the looks of it right now. If I stay mostly or all snow, I could easily get another 6"+ event. I could see it go either way here: 6-8" of snow that ends as a bit of freezing drizzle or 2" of snow that quickly goes to sleet/freezing rain. Models are showing that local QPF max over the southern Greens again; it's just a question as to what it falls out of the sky as. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2020 Share Posted February 11, 2020 55 minutes ago, dendrite said: We should make a panic room thread. Maybe some should be restricted to only post in there too, Great idea! I'll have to message an admin about that, Oh wait, Ha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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