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ORH_wxman

Feb 1-2 storm threat

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54 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Not sure what some were/are expecting out of this,   Seems like some are looking for Jan 2005. 

not much middle ground. big phaser or a fish storm

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3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

wut?  I'm pretty sure it was posted that they were an improvement from 00z and 06z.

Looks pretty much the same to me.

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4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

12z EPS not coming northwest is disappointing.

It came NW last evening, and it didn't matter one bit at 0z.  So there's that.   If H5 improves again at 18z the surface will be forced to respond going forward.  If we go backwards again at 18z/0z, then it's just more BS and it's a moot point. 

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Just now, Hazey said:

I hope the euro is not playing games. 

It could be for sure.  Or just maybe it's finally on to something....   

Obviously, If 18z stays positive, that's definitely a good sign.

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Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

But, but, but Dr Doosh said it was a hot mess 

it is a disjointed looking mess and misses wide right. 

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2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just wait. When this thing comes in full beast . I’ve been collecting names 

I’m hoping you get to bump troll for hours Saturday morning!  

At least models are keeping this mildly interesting.  12z Thursday is my show me the $ deadline. 

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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

So basically we need the northern stream to speed up a tad and ...BOOM?

lots of convection in the gulf would help too

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s better than prior runs... and that’s not even debatable 

Yeah, Heres 18z

image.png.9fb7d3d13fb9fdb6440c09e9e8946a04.png

 

12z

image.png.1451850ebfdc892cbf0566d8d3023204.png

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

It’s better than prior runs... and that’s not even debatable 

It is, but how useful is it? I'd rather roll with the srefs

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 s stream convective feedback is one thing I haven't heard much talk about, odd given the modeling performances this winter.

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6 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Yeah, Heres 18z

image.png.9fb7d3d13fb9fdb6440c09e9e8946a04.png

 

12z

image.png.1451850ebfdc892cbf0566d8d3023204.png

Couple things of note.  The ULL in SE is opening up and the angle of the GL energy has a much better trajectory due to the ridging out west having a more rounded top. 

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1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Not sure what some were/are expecting out of this,   Seems like some are looking for Jan 2005. 

 

49 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

not much middle ground. big phaser or a fish storm

 

44 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

yep

Yeah that’s why folks are looking for a bigger event.  It’s either fish or big hit.  

It won’t do anything if it scrapes SE Mass...air mass looks pretty shitty.

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