snowfan Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I'll fully expect a member of the Carroll county crew to report 4.5" tmrw. Dont disappoint me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Showed up on the last EURO run too but there could be some snow showers on Wednesday too, verbatim. Snow on snow Woodbridge rocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Woodbridge rocking Love that max going right over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: Love that max going right over us First time in forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 22 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Don’t forget you have to act surprised tomorrow I’m still nervous about being fringed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Showed up on the last EURO run too but there could be some snow showers on Wednesday too, verbatim. Snow on snow So happy this one looks to lay the hammer from Cho up through the rest of the subforum. I'll give everyone a sneak preview of the (hopefull) rippage from northern Cho tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 I know a lot of people think the HRRR is trash but I’m waiting for it to trend in a good direction, particularly temperature wise and it’s just not lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I’m still nervous about being fringed I hope not. As much as I stress about my snow I stress about your snow. You didn’t move there to be fringed. Yeah it’s pretty there...pretty shmitty it’s all about the climo. Let’s do this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Even buy in from Ji Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 5 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I know a lot of people think the HRRR is trash but I’m waiting for it to trend in a good direction, particularly temperature wise and it’s just not lol Too far out for trends with that model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I know a lot of people think the HRRR is trash but I’m waiting for it to trend in a good direction, particularly temperature wise and it’s just not lol I’m down to 36.8 with clear skies. Who knows but I feel good about going below 32 tonight. But who knows it still has to develop at some point. I am not sure how good or bad the HRRR is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 18 minutes ago, snowfan said: I'll fully expect a member of the Carroll county crew to report 4.5" tmrw. Dont disappoint me. Sparky will have 4 inches on his deck 2 hours after the snow starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 34 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Don’t forget you have to act surprised tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 9 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I know a lot of people think the HRRR is trash but I’m waiting for it to trend in a good direction, particularly temperature wise and it’s just not lol Waaaaaay out of range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: I’m down to 36.8 with clear skies. Who knows but I feel good about going below 32 tonight. But who knows it still has to develop at some point. I am not sure how good or bad the HRRR is. I’m always in a bad spot for storms like this but HRRR never gets me below 33 and I’m 44 at the end of its run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Just now, nj2va said: Waaaaaay out of range. Yeah but even tonight’s temps, it hardly gets anybody below 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: I’m always in a bad spot for storms like this but HRRR never gets me below 33 and I’m 44 at the end of its run lol What are you at now? I think you will be ok decent thickness and rates should make it ok. I’m pulling for you. This is more fun when we all cash in. Most of us anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 LWX upped my point forecast from 'up to an inch' to 'around an inch'. Must have seen the 18Z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 44/21 currently. High of 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted January 7, 2020 Author Share Posted January 7, 2020 Everyone want to keep rolling with obs in this thread or start another around game time? I'm liking my luck so far, first thread I've created and I started it with the dumbest title ever, which seems to be working out OK for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 19 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Yeah but even tonight’s temps, it hardly gets anybody below 32 the 23z run has the surface low ~150 miles northwest of the rest of guidance riding the Apps at hour 18. That's why it's so warm. As others have said, it's outside of its useful range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 Nice jump! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 13 minutes ago, BristowWx said: What are you at now? I think you will be ok decent thickness and rates should make it ok. I’m pulling for you. This is more fun when we all cash in. Most of us anyway. Currently 43F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 6 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Currently 43F Also the sun won’t be nuking the accumulation since were still at near a minimum of solar radiation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 37/23 here in Arlington....Seems cooler than I was expecting. Any other Arlington folks seeing the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 10 minutes ago, TSG said: the 23z run has the surface low ~150 miles northwest of the rest of guidance riding the Apps at hour 18. That's why it's so warm. As others have said, it's outside of its useful range. It has no useful range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: 37/23 here in Arlington....Seems cooler than I was expecting. Any other Arlington folks seeing the same? I’m in the heat valley of South Arlington where its 44 degrees. Though there’s a big range of temps on the weather stations around me - from 37 to 45 so who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 36/22 in Hoodbridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 By the time the HRRR is in “useful” range you’re better off just using real time observations and radar to make adjustments to more reliable guidance and figure it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 7, 2020 Share Posted January 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: 36/22 in Hoodbridge 33.4 in this wretched snow hole. Impressive fall of temps however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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