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jburns

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

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Trying to bait us all back in with a mythical Valentine's Day storm huh?  Not having it!!  I'll enjoy my 44° and mostly cloudy.....which is a helluva lot more likely to verify this winter.

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It is time to face the fact that it is going to be a long wait before many of us see snow. Probably next year after a hellish summer with extra bugs.

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2 hours ago, eyewall said:

It is time to face the fact that it is going to be a long wait before many of us see snow. Probably next year after a hellish summer with extra bugs.

That is exactly what I am thinking. My area will be lucky to see low's in the 20's again. This is looking like it may be the first winter in some time that I don't see temps fall below 25 much less 20.

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2 hours ago, griteater said:

AO has been brutal since Jan 1.  AO forecast is high and trending UP 

 

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If it EVER is forecasted positive, believe it. If it's supposed to go negative, add 2 months to when the transition is forecast. Seriously we suck at cold and snow. But we're in the South. Still, we suck more than we usually suck. I see no hint of a change. Just transitive cool shots separated by warmups and rain. No blocking. No artic air. Just continental flow with and active southern stream. 

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3 hours ago, eyewall said:

It is time to face the fact that it is going to be a long wait before many of us see snow. Probably next year after a hellish summer with extra bugs.

I think this board has been facing this fact since Christmas. Only blind hope has kept many on here through this hellish winter. 

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3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Nino winters are the best! Look at all our snow!

Couldn’t agree more..nowadays, I’ll take my chances with a DEAD STJ and an active NS..get that vortex to ride in on the heels of a clipper and I’ll take my 2”

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7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Nino winters are the best! Look at all our snow!

Just don't have any blocking. This is why the Atlantic is so important 

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1 hour ago, franklin NCwx said:

Just don't have any blocking. This is why the Atlantic is so important 

It has been forever since we've had a -AO or -NAO in winter.  Seems like ever since the SAI stuff came out a few years ago, it's been straight positive.

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Everybody report to the cliff . I jumped a week ago. Can’t believe how GFS shows monster storms and next run gone. Warm is right. Global warming. NC is new GA, SC is Florida . Cancel 

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When people say we get our best snows in March i think they are full of BS. Whens the last time there was a widespread March snow from Birmingham to Raleigh ? 

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8 minutes ago, Snownado said:

When people say we get our best snows in March i think they are full of BS. Whens the last time there was a widespread March snow from Birmingham to Raleigh ? 

Our last one was in 09’ I think..seems like a lifetime ago. We spend the bulk of our March days in the upper 70’s now :sizzle:

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46 minutes ago, Snownado said:

When people say we get our best snows in March i think they are full of BS. Whens the last time there was a widespread March snow from Birmingham to Raleigh ? 

Widespread snow from Birmingham to Raleigh is quite rare for any month, but the March 1983 storm fits the general narrative

 

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1 hour ago, Grayman said:

Everybody report to the cliff . I jumped a week ago. Can’t believe how GFS shows monster storms and next run gone. Warm is right. Global warming. NC is new GA, SC is Florida . Cancel 

And Arizona is the new Alaska.  Trough is in the west, it happens some years.

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I feel bad for the younger posters.  I was born in the 60’s and I would say from about 62 to 88 winters like 09/10 were the rule not the exception. In fact I remember snow on the ground in the upstate most of January in 77,78, 79, 82, 87, 88 and 80 and 83 were epic late season.  We also had at least one single digit cold outbreak each winter.  The last comparable winters to that were 09/10 and 10/11 in terms of multiple events. I guess 13 and 14 had a few events also.  Sure miss the parade of Miller A’s each winter. 

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14 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

I remember the good ole days, like November, even Brad P going with above normal snowfall for the winter! :maprain:

Here we are, February is toast, unless you live in Seattle!:lightning:

Cue the “ we get our best snows in March” hanger oners! :thumbsdown:

Speaking of hype artists.....  has Justus been hyping up 10 day storms and a snowy February apocalypse up that way?  It would seriously be totally on brand for that guy.

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13 minutes ago, gearhead302 said:

Speaking of hype artists.....  has Justus been hyping up 10 day storms and a snowy February apocalypse up that way?  It would seriously be totally on brand for that guy.

Yes, even staring down a week of 70s, he’s hyping the big cool down and stormy next weekend, even though models have backed waay off the last few days

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15 minutes ago, gearhead302 said:

Speaking of hype artists.....  has Justus been hyping up 10 day storms and a snowy February apocalypse up that way?  It would seriously be totally on brand for that guy.

This was yesterday..you could tell he wanted to cry 0308AF25-0522-4464-9AE2-7D96E07997A3.thumb.jpeg.bcf99ccfd5e97694b684c02681098686.jpeg

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