dryslot Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Nice Been watching this one but it only affected here so i didn't mention it lol, But that's been modeled for several days of runs for that stripe to get 6-8" or more and maybe i scratch out an '1" or so here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Does it have thermals? H85 +2, +4 from what i can see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well to mid December yes but my point was now. Worst 4 days for Snow. Dec 1 to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: H85 +2, +4 from what i can see Thank you. I know many here ask for info and then it’s provided . I for one appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 It’s like a tennis match of yore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s like a tennis match of yore EPS hugger, quick WAA couple of inches , rain,to maybe a backside inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 GEFS LR has a nice look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: GEFS LR has a nice look Nothing to dislike there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 52 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Takes an anomoulous pattern/setup to drop siggy snows in SNE befor mid Dec. Doesn’t need to be very anomalous at any point in December. For 2 feet in October in the other hand..... 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS hugger, quick WAA couple of inches , rain,to maybe a backside inch. That would suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Doesn’t need to be very anomalous at any point in December. For 2 feet in October in the other hand..... That would suck. Probability chances of over 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Probability chances of over 3 inches What’s to be excited about there? Doesn’t scream anomalous. That screams climo. Gimme % of >8” and that’s what I’m talking about. Takes something special to pull that off this early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS hugger, quick WAA couple of inches , rain,to maybe a backside inch. If that’s the left goalpost, we’re in good shape to see our first accum snows. Win in my book imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SophieG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 clean up on aisle 4..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What’s to be excited about there? Doesn’t scream anomalous. That screams climo. Gimme % of >8” and that’s what I’m talking about. Takes something special to pull that off this early. Exactly, who is excited by that other than a bunch of posters who aren’t AEMATT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Exactly, who is excited by that other than a bunch of posters who aren’t AEMATT Any snow is good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Any snow is good snow. This is what ENE climo does to snow chances Dec 1 to 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: This is what ENE climo does to snow chances Dec 1 to 4 Pretty neat. Though I hate seeing melted snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 27, 2019 Author Share Posted November 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 3 hours ago, dryslot said: 12/5 has had some decent storms over the years. More than 12/1 for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Why? You are leagues ahead of me with sensible wx knowledge, I was just going on climo experience and staring at a bunch of multiple hour model runs today. What I saw was coastal hugger or a slightly suppressed push E and weak dynamics with the perfect BM solution being a more tenuous resolve. I have not bought my winter model subscription so I don’t see high res hour by hour so I am detail ignorant. I am just trying to learn and have fun at the end of the day. edit: to clarify I looked at a bunch of 500 and 700mb maps trying to look for trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: You are leagues ahead of me with sensible wx knowledge, I was just going on climo experience and staring at a bunch of multiple hour model runs today. What I saw was coastal hugger or a slightly suppressed push E and weak dynamics with the perfect BM solution being a more tenuous resolve. I have not bought my winter model subscription so I don’t see high res hour by hour so I am detail ignorant. I am just trying to learn and have fun at the end of the day. edit: to clarify I looked at a bunch of 500 and 700mb maps trying to look for trends. I'm not leagues ahead of you. Your guess is as good as mine. I was just asking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Let’s be honest euro is not king anymore.. I think euro is too warm here and gfs is even too warm. This has miller b bomb written all over! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Let’s be honest euro is not king anymore.. I think euro is too warm here and gfs is even too warm. This has miller b bomb written all over! And your post has this written all over.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoalaBeer Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 45 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: This is what ENE climo does to snow chances Dec 1 to 4 And people here were complaining about heated walkways at ski areas...imagine they started clearing the parking lots with this thing. Anyways our eventual system is impressive on the west coast, not every day you see a 974mb pressure in OR in November. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=K4S1&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 11 minutes ago, NYCweatherNOW said: Let’s be honest euro is not king anymore.. I think euro is too warm here and gfs is even too warm. This has miller b bomb written all over! Euro isnt king but people act like it's a god. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Euro isnt king but people act like it's a god. This will be a good test. Blocked flow ULL systems used to be it’s bread and butter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 ICON a good bit north through 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 40 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: You are leagues ahead of me with sensible wx knowledge, I was just going on climo experience and staring at a bunch of multiple hour model runs today. What I saw was coastal hugger or a slightly suppressed push E and weak dynamics with the perfect BM solution being a more tenuous resolve. I have not bought my winter model subscription so I don’t see high res hour by hour so I am detail ignorant. I am just trying to learn and have fun at the end of the day. edit: to clarify I looked at a bunch of 500 and 700mb maps trying to look for trends. You’re always solid. And I’m a fan of the bolded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 ICON is a nice snowstorm. Achtung! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: And your post has this written all over.... I’ll be the first one to admit I am a but the front end snow always get warm modeled. So even if we get say an inch or two off that, it will probably be just light snow showers in my opinion... though, once the low redevelops the snows will crank up from philly to boston! Very typical Boston gets buried in my opinion! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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