weathafella Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: GFS at 00 and at 06, and CMC all showing a lot of liquid for most people, ICON sn-to-rn (thought I'm not sure what it had been showing). The GEFS member tracks are mostly hideous. So you were hanging your hat on the low minors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s like we’ve regressed with these things. One guy lives on a heat island in the mid atl. The next guy is the usual weenie from ECT. The third guy, no matter where he lives...finds a way to reflect his avatar. Nothing has changed. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Despite all the mets and experts pleading with the weenies not to look at the FV3 and it’s ensembles they continue to not only do that, but base their thoughts and forecasts on it. It’s insane. The good guidance stayed the course of a nice wintry event for New England with a variety of precip types There's an oxymoron if ever there was one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: So you were hanging your hat on the low minors? I'm not hanging my hat on anything......it's still days away. I am pointing out what I'm able to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Despite all the mets and experts pleading with the weenies not to look at the FV3 and it’s ensembles they continue to not only do that, but base their thoughts and forecasts on it. It’s insane. The good guidance stayed the course of a nice wintry event for New England with a variety of precip types Fully endorsed. I like you better in winter. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: One guy lives on a heat island in the mid atl. The next guy is the usual weenie from ECT. The third guy, no matter where he lives...finds a way to reflect his avatar. Nothing has changed. What about W CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 7 hours ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: This turkey day system and where it goes and what it does will have a big impact on this bad boy. Wait and see game! I’m excited. Many sleepless nights ahead love the enthusiasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What about W CT? Only a matter a time, an ema crush job should do it, before that weenie is unhinged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm not hanging my hat on anything......it's still days away. I am pointing out what I'm able to see. I don’t see it much different vs yesterday afternoon. Mid level warming has been signaled by our only reliable guidance for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It looks like a snow to ice to rain/mix to snow deal . It never was an all snow storm for SNE Rain ? Wait... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: I don’t see it much different vs yesterday afternoon. Mid level warming has been signaled by our only reliable guidance for days. I guess that's what Scott's speaking to when he says SN/Mix/SN for interior Mass into CNE (congrats Hubb), and a little SN to rain to maybe a flip to snow in northern CT. So, if that's what folks are excited for.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: So many folks fully invested in a Day 5-6 storm already. The weenies on the bus go round and round, round and round, round and round. Definition of insansity ha. Another day another solution 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I don’t see it much different vs yesterday afternoon. Mid level warming has been signaled by our only reliable guidance for days. I think we can trend this to more of an ice stormfor some. LLC should lock in with that high placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Despite all the mets and experts pleading with the weenies not to look at the FV3 and it’s ensembles they continue to not only do that, but base their thoughts and forecasts on it. It’s insane. The good guidance stayed the course of a nice wintry event for New England with a variety of precip types Just say Save a horse its easier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s like we’ve regressed with these things. My thing is who in the world would expect all models to show big hits for their backyard every single run from 7-8 days out? Seems unrealistic but who knows ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: My thing is who in the world would expect all models to show big hits for their backyard every single run from 7-8 days out? Seems unrealistic but who knows ha. just laying in the grass... my man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: My thing is who in the world would expect all models to show big hits for their backyard every single run from 7-8 days out? Seems unrealistic but who knows ha. Unless the models do show that, they suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: My thing is who in the world would expect all models to show big hits for their backyard every single run from 7-8 days out? Seems unrealistic but who knows ha. You’re funny. I like how you sit back and watch the circus play out. A little popcorn, maybe a beer or two. Then, when everyone is emotionally exhausted and euro gives NNE 2” qpf at D2...you jump out of your chair and start your own privately held gathering. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: You’re funny. I like how you sit back and watch the circus play out. A little popcorn, maybe a beer or two. Then, when everyone is emotionally exhausted and euro gives NNE 2” qpf at D2...you jump out of your chair and start your own privately held gathering. Ginxy hasn’t been wrong, this storm got a mind of its own really early. We wait for day 2 to see where we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Hmm. Maybe this thing ends up being a fropa or anafront deal when all said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 1 hour ago, JC-CT said: Some of you should know better. But they don't, So much drama in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 30 minutes ago, weathafella said: Amen! Solid winter expectations are still 10 days away in SNE especially eastern sections. Yeah, at least in my area, any significant snow before Dec 15 is just a bonus. My average high is still mid/upper 40s in early December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Ginxy hasn’t been wrong, this storm got a mind of its own really early. We wait for day 2 to see where we are. Never said he was. No one disagrees about d5+ caveats. But if all we did here was ‘wait until d2’ to discuss, this place would suck. Won’t rehash Ryan’s first alert discussion but I’m proud I stood up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 UKMO was quite messy, I can see the 3hr intervals. Looked fairly snowy near the NH border and especially Mitch-MHT etc. Mixed bag to snow further south. Mess on the coast into CT although interior CT looked icy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 34 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I'm not hanging my hat on anything......it's still days away. I am pointing out what I'm able to see. Change your goggles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 Whatever happens out this way remains to be seen, but the west coast will be amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 In any case, long way to go. I don't even feel comfortable talking abut these details, but it's to quell some of the crap on here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 I find it funny that anyone is biting their nails over GFS/GEFS. Beyond being generally poor, that model is historically downright abysmal with EC cyclogenesis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: UKMO was quite messy, I can see the 3hr intervals. Looked fairly snowy near the NH border and especially Mitch-MHT etc. Mixed bag to snow further south. Mess on the coast into CT although interior CT looked icy. Yea its a cold surface for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 27, 2019 Share Posted November 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Whatever happens out this way remains to be seen, but the west coast will be amazing 50 inch stuff to kick off the Sierras. Alpine just opening today but with a banger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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