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August 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave

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2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

good luck with that.  The MDR is dead and there's all kinds of dust coming off the African continent...we'd be lucky to have an average season.

There are predicting that the dust settles and we will get into an active period.

Late August into September is primetime

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2 hours ago, RedSky said:

Wow look at last year what an absolutely incredible weather anomaly for the dew point I knew it felt sweaty bad but had no idea it was that extreme.

 

It has been an amazing dewpoint surge since 2016. This was the first July with an average dewpoint over 70 degrees for JFK. Last year was the first such occurrence in August. 

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1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

There are predicting that the dust settles and we will get into an active period.

Late August into September is primetime

BUST.    I don't see it.  Low pressure over north america, many things that will inhibit tropical formation.   The one wildcard is something that forms in close or "home brew"   ( think: BOB)

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1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

BUST.    I don't see it.  Low pressure over north america, many things that will inhibit tropical formation.   The one wildcard is something that forms in close or "home brew"   ( think: BOB)

Things will pop like they always do come peak time. We've seen it go from dead to active instantly, the switch will come on again. 

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Already past here..thunder and lightning now rain just starting. Looks amazing with the setting sun still partly visible along side dark ominous skies

Special Weather Statement issued August 8 at 7:45PM EDT by NWS Upton NY

At 744 PM EDT, a gust front was located over Bayville, or over Glen Cove, moving southeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this gust front.

Locations impacted include... 
Jamaica, Flatbush, New Rochelle, Flushing, Mott Haven, Levittown, East Tremont, Freeport, Valley Stream, Long Beach, Glen Cove, Plainview, Coney Island, Garden City and Massapequa.

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TARGET AREA... New York (Manhattan); Northern Queens; Northern Nassau; Southern Westchester; Kings (Brooklyn); Southern Nassau; Bronx; Southern Queens

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On the next rain forecast:

On Saturday evening (Eastern), there will be two rain systems, one over Montana and the Dakotas, and the other over Colorado and Arizona, which will be moving toward each other.

There are two scenarios that could happen:

Scenario 1: The two systems fuse together into a powerful storm over Nebraska and South Dakota early Monday morning. It will cross over the Midwest on Monday and reach us by Tuesday.

Scenario 2:  The two systems stay away from each other. The Arizona/Colorado system eventually reaches us on Wednesday.

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