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stormtracker

The March Long Range Discussion Thread, Winter's Last Stand

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12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Well, it's now or never Winter.

Sorry, I could hardly resist and there is snow in the video, plus I feel sentimental. 

Kindly remove if unappropriate, maybe Elvis will bring us luck !!!!  :snowman::sled::santa:   

 

 

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I could go for a March '93 about 75 miles east of the old track.

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31 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

Ji already told his FB fans that March 93 is a lock....the school teachers all fainted

That’s fine. JB has been calling for March 1993 every year...since March 1993. 

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Wow....... very impressive the turn around , one could guess that we have coupling.  Meanwhile the MJO orbit and progression looking very good !  

SOI values for 21 Feb, 2019
Average SOI for last 30 days -10.45
Average SOI for last 90 days -0.76
Daily contribution to SOI calculation -27.76

 

 

 image.png.3c30e540893cfda81889109199475c13.png

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5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

FV3 could be right for D10-12, right? I mean it’s mathematically possible right? 

Just a routine 50hr duration early March HECS 

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12 minutes ago, Scraff said:

That’s fine. JB has been calling for March 1993 every year...since March 1993. 

He actually posted this morning about it again. Grand planetary wave. He's all in.

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4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

 

 

Well, ........I hate to say this, but Ji's  butt hole is going rip wide open.  He is going need major reconstructive surgery and a soft diet for three weeks after those monkeys fly outta there.   :yikes:

 

 

 

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7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Just a routine 50hr duration early March HECS 

I was weenie enough to count all the precip totals from each frame, and it adds up to ~24" IMBY.

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17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Just a routine 50hr duration early March HECS 

snowfall maps or the run didnt  happen

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3 minutes ago, Ji said:

snowfall maps or the run didnt  happen

The first 24 hours:

o0QTyMh.png

And the next 24 

awURq7W.png

 

BTW.... it's all snow for those who are north and west.

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1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

Well, it's now or never Winter.

wow you killed Feb on Feb 21st

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32 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

He actually posted this morning about it again. Grand planetary wave. He's all in.

Well shit! If he’s all in...

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21 minutes ago, frd said:

Still not sure I buy this.  I know Eric mentioned this about 6 weeks ago.  

 

 

There are some characteristics regarding the depth of the warm anomalies and the current wind burst that COULD imply we get another nino next year.  But we are WAY WAY WAY too far out to get into that yet.  Even if we did get another nino... what type, central/east based, what strength?  and both those answers matter a lot to our snowfall prospects which is what most care about here.  

 

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8 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

Clicking through those FV3 panels could make a grown man cry - wow.... lets lock it in!

Man, you ain't lyin...Temps in the low/mid teens pretty much throughout.  If we had a snow map...10:1 would be useless! 

One can dream....(prob more of a banter post)

DJy28Ju.png

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