dryslot Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: True, I forget you guys are probably a few hours later arrival over there. I think my shocked expression was more just from even considering an Advisory for like a 1.25" frozen QPF event, when Advisories also get issued for trace amounts of freezing drizzle. Yeah, We don't start here until 0z tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: True, I forget you guys are probably a few hours later arrival over there. I think my shocked expression was more just from even considering an Advisory for like a 1.25" frozen QPF event, when Advisories also get issued for trace amounts of freezing drizzle. Has to be more of a confidence issue than timing. Coos and NW ME have warnings where the confidence is higher even though it’ll start later there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 hour early dismissal for Bridgewater-Raynham tomorrow. We'll see, I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 18z 3-KM NAM didn't back down on the warm tongue aloft. If anything seemed a bit further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Hrrr is about 3-4” for many near he pike before flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr is about 3-4” for many near he pike before flip. That model has done pretty well this year, IMO. The 36-hour HRRR has sleet line down in SVT up to about Dendrite. The NAM/WRF family has it up into N/C VT and N.NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 39 minutes ago, dryslot said: In the zone product for here, They have 3-7" overnight with 2-4" on weds. 3-7 then 4-8 for New Sharon. Six miles west, Farmington is 4-8 then 3-7. Rangeley same as New Sharon. Computers are funny. 90%/expected/10% for Farmington now 9/11/17, quite the top end for a SWFE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 19 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z 3-KM NAM didn't back down on the warm tongue aloft. If anything seemed a bit further north. Look at the zr there . Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr is about 3-4” for many near he pike before flip. It goes out past 18hr now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Look at the zr there . Wow Pretty nasty for the Laurel Highlands of PA, more like meh farther northeast, except places like AFN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Harvey believes in the warm tongue... says Logan might be 2" but Cambridge could be 4". He brings the 4-6" line just outside metro Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It goes out past 18hr now? HRRRX goes to 36HRs only on the 00/06/12/18 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: Harvey believes in the warm tongue... says Logan might be 2" but Cambridge could be 4". He brings the 4-6" line just outside metro Boston. That’s not the warm tongue. Sounds like marina influence which I don’t really agree with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 29 minutes ago, butterfish55 said: 2 hour early dismissal for Bridgewater-Raynham tomorrow. We'll see, I guess Greenfield made the early dismissal call for tomorrow at 1pm today to give parents plenty of warning. Not much else they could do if it moves in like a wall at lunch time, don't want buses on the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: That’s not the warm tongue. Sounds like marina influence which I don’t really agree with. Yeah the nws brings the 5" line right to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 I look forward to Pickles micro-analysis of the short term mesos tonight to find which one gives us the least desired outcome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 22 minutes ago, tamarack said: 3-7 then 4-8 for New Sharon. Six miles west, Farmington is 4-8 then 3-7. Rangeley same as New Sharon. Computers are funny. 90%/expected/10% for Farmington now 9/11/17, quite the top end for a SWFE. Like i was saying earlier, The map was going to get a cute look to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 I actually like the BOX map. Think 4-5 still in BOS area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 NWS keeps changing the snowfall forecast. Was 6-8" yesterday, 2-4" overnight, now 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: Will, what are your thought on Worcester tomorrow afternoon? Prob coming in around 1 and ripping from maybe 2-6pm. I'd go 3-6" right now for ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Hate being that guy to ask but do we think they'll be any lingering travel impacts into Weds? Anniversary trip with my girlfriend and we fly out of Logan at 7am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 3 minutes ago, RI Rob said: Hate being that guy to ask but do we think they'll be any lingering travel impacts into Weds? Anniversary trip with my girlfriend and we fly out of Logan at 7am.. You should reserve anniversaries for marriage only, even then it’s debatable. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 10 minutes ago, RI Rob said: Hate being that guy to ask but do we think they'll be any lingering travel impacts into Weds? Anniversary trip with my girlfriend and we fly out of Logan at 7am.. You're prob ok at 7am. There's a low prob of a cold tuck as secondary passes but it doesn't look classic so I think it prob wouldn't matter anyway for Logan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You're prob ok at 7am. There's a low prob of a cold tuck as secondary passes but it doesn't look classic so I think it prob wouldn't matter anyway for Logan. When does interior SNE hit 32? Post fropa Wed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: When does interior SNE hit 32? Post fropa Wed? Depends where. I could see CT valley going to 33F and rain by 06z tomorrow night as the dewpoints drain cuts off at the ORH hills as the cold layer becomes shallower and shallower. Higher terrain may wait longer since 950 is coldest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Greenfield made the early dismissal call for tomorrow at 1pm today to give parents plenty of warning. Not much else they could do if it moves in like a wall at lunch time, don't want buses on the road. Yup. A bunch of districts in my area (3 of our 4 in our house so far) have done that. Wise idea. I might throw back a couple in their honor tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Ryan Thinking mostly frozen inland CT away from shore. Sleet gonna be a big deal it seems after a decent thump inland. He’s showing an inch of liquid with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ryan Thinking mostly frozen inland CT away from shore. Sleet gonna be a big deal it seems after a decent thump inland. He’s showing an inch of liquid with this. Pretty aggro from him, interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 Harv’s map on WCVB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 11, 2019 Share Posted February 11, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Like i was saying earlier, The map was going to get a cute look to it. lol - give me a break. Those types of maps drive me nuts because they imply a level of precision that just isn’t there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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