SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: Somewhere bad? Trending back to good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Trending back to good? Clearly worse for the DC area, but better for New England. No surprise there. At least it's pretty consistent with the snow over Lake Michigan, Lake Huron, and Lake Ontario. But seriously, let's wait it out, these things are tricky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, snowdude said: Clearly worse for the DC area, but better for New England. No surprise there. At least it's pretty consistent with the snow over Lake Michigan, Lake Huron, and Lake Ontario. But seriously, let's wait it out, these things are tricky. We have been fortunate this year, maybe we keep the streak going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 30 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: 24 hours ago now... any bets where this is heading??? Harrisburg, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 hour ago, mattie g said: Just finished two Aslin IPAs that were victim of the shitmaltz ordered earlier in 2018. So disappointing....but it’s beer. No idea what’s going to happen with this storm, but drinking makes it all better. Beer makes the world go round...and also causes the NAO to go negative. It’s going to snow. At some point. I know it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 9 minutes ago, Scraff said: Beer makes the world go round...and also causes the NAO to go negative. It’s going to snow. At some point. I know it! “Beer is proof God loves us and wants us to be happy” Ben Franklin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 27 minutes ago, Scraff said: Beer makes the world go round...and also causes the NAO to go negative. It’s going to snow. At some point. I know it! Dont worry, the NAO will go negative just in time to ruin spring. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I'll just throw this out there... about 90% of the eps members are much colder and snowier/icier than the gfs/gefs. I clicked through the members and many solutions have a more typical CAD signature with surface temps. Here's the snow meteo for my yard. Many of the solutions have a period of zr with the surface freezing line south of DC at 6z tuesday. Gfs might be right with the trend towards warmer and rainier but until the eps caves to that solution I'm not writing anything off. If anything there's a stronger case for colder frozener before the inevitable flip to rain. I won't be surprised with any outcome but I'm not doom and gloom at all right now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Dont worry, the NAO will go negative just in time to ruin spring. That’s pretty negative fella. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Dont worry, the NAO will go negative just in time to ruin spring. That’s pretty negative fella. The NAO I mean...the post is spot on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Why no 18z euro update??? Trended north more. Pretty much nothing south of 70. Tight gradient north of there. 3-4” right along the PA line. That looks to get washed away by a deluge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I don’t have access to the 18z eps only the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 2 hours ago, BristowWx said: Everyone has a post they might regret later. This winter has been a tough slog. Which one is yours? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Why no 18z euro update??? Trended north more. Pretty much nothing south of 70. Tight gradient north of there. 3-4” right along the PA line. That looks to get washed away by a deluge. The model is worse than the icon dude 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Through 51 hrs nam is slightly colder at the surface and has a slightly better CAD signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, MD Snow said: Through 51 hrs nam is slightly colder at the surface and has a slightly better CAD signature. For better or worse we are going to have to wait for the mesos on Sunday to give us a better idea of what’s going to fall from the sky. I think Ji to Bob chill and North are going to be in decent shape. Us DC South folks are going to need some significant CAD to get in the action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I'll take the 00z NAM please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, yoda said: I'll take the 00z NAM please Something something in the NAM wheel house now. But the Euro....la la la la. I’m hugging the NAM/UKIE combo and that’s that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, yoda said: I'll take the 00z NAM please What’s good for you is good for me...I’m in when you are in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Icon looks good for snowfall north of dc with the first wave. It’s not as cold at the surface as 18z. But more in line with other models. It has been on the colder side of guidance. Through 84 hrs it keeps areas from the cities north and west below freezing. Through 90 hrs LPC is 11 mb weaker and in Indiana instead of Illinois. Lol. Through 96 surface is gone except for extreme northwestern md. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Didn't see this posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Gfs pretty much the same (which wasn’t good) with 850’s and 2m temps through 72 hrs. Hpc is 2mb weaker this run compared to last. Not much difference at surface though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 It’s the NAM/Ukie/CMC vs GFS/Euro/Icon. Nice battle going on. Hope it ends in snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Gfs and euro are nothing alike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 12 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs and euro are nothing alike Just hug the cmc until the ukie destroys us. Hard to say what kind of destruction though. Might be our hopes and dreams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 No precip or temps yet, but the Ukie is 12mb weaker than the gfs and considerably further east. Gfs has the low at 96hr over Lake Michigan and Ukie is north of Cleveland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Ukie at 72 surface panel looks like its lining up to be pretty hefty qpf wise Monday morning looks good as well. Still waiting on temps but don’t see a lot of changes. Going down with the ship I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 hour ago, SnowGolfBro said: It’s the NAM/Ukie/CMC vs GFS/Euro/Icon. Nice battle going on. Hope it ends in snow. It'll end in total annihilation --- Of the Mid Atlantic in snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 EURO is moderate ice for N/W of DC and decent snow in N MD. Better run than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 UKIE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now