caviman2201 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 66 looks much more organized coming across the plains compared to 12z... snow into southern Wisconsin compared to central Indiana EDIT: 72 MUCH improved precip shield... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Damn TT is so slow. I’m hitting the reload button like I’m on an elevator...but it’s the “close the door button” as I see Chuck running to get on. 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Scraff said: The server may implode if happy hour GFS comes in strong. Fingers crossed... If the server is gonna implode due to the traffic on this site then there is something wrong the underlying deployment architecture and application that drives this site. I write web application and APIs for a livings and regularly load test with thousands of concurrent requests against instances running on my mac book pro... Lets say the GFS goes ape sh%t and drops 23 inches on DCA.. and 120 weenies upload the snow map within a one minute timeframe.. thats really not that big of a load.... I would love to rewrite this board and host on the amazon... 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 GFS has first flakes out here midday Saturday. Really light stuff though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: A child vanishes in 6 inches of snow? Last storm we got 12" that was in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Scraff said: Damn TT is so slow. I’m hitting the reload button like I’m on an elevator...but it’s the “close the door button” as I see Chuck running to get on. Use Instant weather maps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Snow in DC by 00z Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodbridge02 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Precip vanishes at 84 on the GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Looks like it comes in two waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Hahaha at 84hrs...Let's see if the coastal can climb. Has anyone noticed that the more seasoned posters rarely post during the beginning of a model suite? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Even though the gfs is more organized, the shear factory downstream is going to be there no matter what. That said, ns hammer is a ball pean instead of a framing hammer so that's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Uh... GFS what are you doing at 84... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Woodbridge02 said: This is not good The run finished? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Now that is different! That coastal better do the work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Hey what gives? 84 literally went poof for a second...looked like the NAM, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, supernovasky said: Uh... GFS what are you doing at 84... The northern piece just experienced the shear factory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: The northern piece just experienced the shear factory It's almost comical. I had to go back several runs, didn't believe my eyes. Thought I accidentally hit back or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 To me, the GFS depiction of at least the early part of the storm makes a lot more sense. Maybe it will snow for some of the time, but it's not just going to snow lightly without stopping for hours on end. There is going to be a break or breaks in precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 It looked a lot more like the good runs from yesterday early, but then struck out on the WAA snows. Still a light event from the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Time to bomb out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodbridge02 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1-3" in the metro with 3-7" in Central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 There should be way more precip on the NW side then what the GFS is showing good forcing and the upper and mid levels are completely saturated. All and all I'll take it big big time improvements at 500. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 12 hours of snowfall does make more sense than 30. Weak-ass storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2019 Author Share Posted January 9, 2019 Goofy run. Looks so much better aloft than what transpires at the surface. Hell, surface looks great through about 60 hours. Confluence from the northeast seems slight better if anything from 12z, no worse at the very least. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 It’s an improvement if you live in Northern Missouri. Not so much for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Well that was interesting...I wonder if that heavier band of precip can come further north at the beginning of the second piece of the storm? (I just hope this ain't putting another fail scenario on the table) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 The ICON and the 18Z GFS both show a tendency for the better snows to be west and southwest of DC. But...the GFS seems to send the storm out in two waves with the area NW of Richmond cashing in from the second wave around hour 110. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 The .5 line went from DCA down to EZF... tough run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Goofy run. Looks so much better aloft than what transpires at the surface. Hell, surface looks great through about 60 hours. Confluence from the northeast seems slight better if anything from 12z, no worse at the very least. Overall it was a better run than 12z in the upper levels. Easily could have been a better qpf producer than what was shown. I dont see the run as any kind of step back or warning sign. If all guidance starts shearing out the frontrunning waa piece i'll think differently. In my eyes it was a step closer to ccb striping 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 00z runs will be interesting to see if the GFS is onto something or if that split at hr 84 is just noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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