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PDIII

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KBWI
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  1. I don't think this is trolling. I think this person is just being honest about his or impression of the storm. We all root for historic and anomolous events here. That's why we are here. It is what we do. The fact is, however, that whenever we get a significant weather event.. lives are lost. This is true for snow and tropical. Given the gravity of these situations, there is this unspoken edicit that we show by tempering our posts out of respect for those directly affected by the storm. People like Hickory don't understand this. They are "too honest". They want to see GOAT.. they think that everyone else wants to see GOAT and they don't understand why people would mask this desire. So you get posts like the above post..
  2. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Well That's a wrap. So disappointing. I guess I could drive South tomorrow night.
  3. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    I am curious to see what the 00z euro does with the most recent initialization data.... at this point we are looking at a tremendous and historic event. If it keeps intensifying and goes in to a major metropolitan area.. we are looking at another Katrina or Andrew type event.
  4. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Oh... so you are saying it is underdone.. well yeah.. at the same time... it will probably go through cycles.. and there has never been a cat 5 to landfall in that part of the world.. so I think 942 is fair..
  5. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Why is that not likely? It is at 939 right now.. the water only gets warmer over the gulf stream.. not much shear out there..
  6. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    the 18z definitely looks to be taking a step toward the euro.. looks like it shifted 50 miles to the south.. lets see if it does its stall thing
  7. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    It would be wonderful to get a cat 4 or 5 into the outer Banks and then ride right up the western shore of the bay. Once in a lifetime experience. You could chase in southern md and still maybe get in to the eye.With the current solution this is not out of the realm of possibility. It is almost a blend of the euro and gfs. I think we will see a somewhat final solution/ consensus tomorrow
  8. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    The question I have is how will a stall scenario inpact storm surge in the bay.. Let's say we get a landfall and the storm stalls somewhere between norfolk and richmond.. with prolong Southeast flow.. would this produce an Isabelle like surge? Or would it be less? My gut tells me it would not be as severe.. What do you think Bob?
  9. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    This is beginning to look concerning to me.. if I were emergency Management... I would seriously start making evacuation plans for storm surge prone areas.. low lying flood zones.. beaches.. etc. You will need to start moving people no later than Tuesday. Hopefully we get model consensus by tomorrow evening..
  10. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    The euro stalls it out also.. just inland. The stall idea could produce a catostrophic and historic flood event
  11. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Great post.. I think there will be a Chink somewhere in the armor of the blocking high and that will be the escape hatch.. the timing of that as well as how much latitude it gains on approach will dictate impacts for the big cities... Best case scenario for us would be a steady West north west motion with landfall at VA beach and a strong push inland before making the turn... At cat 4.. we would see significant damage.. with both wind and storm surge
  12. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    I saw a very interesting tidbit last night on YouTube. It was a map showing historical tracks for all Atlantic systems origininating from roughly the same position that Florence is currently located. Not one east coast landfall.
  13. PDIII

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Man I hope the 12z gfs verifies. I will be sitting on the beach the entire weekend watching the surf. Sub 910 mb to could be a cat 5!
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