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PDIII

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Everything posted by PDIII

  1. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    @mappy he is mad at me.. please do something..
  2. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    Unless the medical community steps up to the plate and starts feeding more accurate information, I really think stuff like this is a sign of things to come: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/04/02/825897966/train-engineer-says-he-crashed-in-attempt-to-attack-navy-hospital-ship-in-l-a
  3. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    First off... if there was an actual capacity issue.. then Javits would be full right now... the central park thingy would be full and that navy ship would be taking the non covid cases.. But they are not (unless you want to prove me wrong by walking over and taking some pictures.. like the real youtube reporters do) My bet is that the hospital are losing money right now due to lower volumes.. they make bank on ER cases when crazy moms take their kids in because they hit their head or they get a rash.. thats money train has dried up... I wouldnt be surprised if we start seeing some health care systems going bankrupt or becoming insolvent during this period. Secondly.. this artical doesn't reflect reality. If someone is in Cardiac arrest or their heart stopped beating and Paramedics think that they have a shot to live by getting them to the hospital.. that patient is being transported.. I dont care what the article says or what bs policy was made...someone is gonna do their job and try to save that patient.
  4. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    This was the most lol of the lol post that I have lol'd at!!! I havent even read the article.. but this MSM Alarmism at it best!
  5. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    Good point.. I was thinking that I need to take more form precautions. When every I go to the grocery store the first thing I do is go the the grapes section and grab a bag open them and put them on the baby seat thing so I can snack on them on my way around the store. Last night I when I was doing it.. people were giving weird looks.. an then I realized that I was touching the grocery cart bar.. then the grapes.. then putting the grapes in my mouth..
  6. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    If I was the president I would offer every single government employee early retirement buy out (three times their normal salary) and go in to the property management business.. I would offer one caveat.. if the employee feels that they are essentially.. they can stay on.
  7. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    I WFH 100%.. but now everyone else is 100% WFH. So my conference calls have increased three fold since this all started and I have theory why this is happening.. first off.. I write software for the Fed Govt. That naturally means that for every one of me (the one that does the work).. there are 12 feds that that "talk about the work". When you make those 12 people go in to an office everyday it gives them the feeling that they are actually doing something.. like they are contributing.. they get to do there status meetings and check their emails.. maybe drum up some drama with their coworkers.. But then you make them go home.. I think they quickly realize the truth... and the truth is that they dont actually do anything. So in order to make them feel more relevant.. they schedule more meetings.
  8. PDIII

    COVID-19 Talk

    you should have let me start the thread.. we could have named it the pdiii plague
  9. I think we can talk about and debate COVID 19 from a numerical, scientific and social perspective and leave politics out of it 100%! I have wackadoodle political leanings.. so I stay away from that like its the plague (no pun intended). It is close enough to weather to be relevant.. also.. the weather channel used to show the flu map... maybe they still do..
  10. yeah.. this video is a powerpoint on testing methodology of corona virus.. in the beginning it goes in to detail about the wet markets:
  11. I really dont like to buy in to crazy theories.. but when I hear things like this.. I am simply flabbergasted. Last night at the grocery store there was a young man walking behind me talking on his cell phone.. His exact words were this: "I am out.. Can you believe that sh$t? They let me out on my own recog on a gun charge.. they be lettin everyone out.. " then I see this cases where someone was trying to have a cookout and they are locked up: https://nypost.com/2020/03/29/maryland-man-arrested-for-breaking-coronvirus-order-hosting-bonfire-party/
  12. No... not one bit. I think that they have had a steady (if not exponential increase) of cases and deaths.. even after they lifted much of the quarantine and lockdown restrictions. I think that they had a 2 months of data.. without any social distancing.. and then a month of data with social distancing.. and I think that they realized that they really it didnt make a difference either way.. so they just went back to normal...
  13. I like this write up. What you said above really brings things in to perspective.. China didnt do anything at all when (probably) millions of people were passing it around. And the net result was a several thousand deaths.. I think if this was the "perfect storm" scenario.. we would have been completely blind sided by it and there would have been a massive death toll before anyone really new exactly what was going on..
  14. We should stop speculating about the death rate and leave it to post analysis: https://www.livescience.com/death-rate-lower-than-estimates.html
  15. Mass death is a very hard thing to cover up.. my guess is that when all is said and done.. most major metropolitan areas in China (and elsewhere) will have Wuhan like numbers.. even in Italy where they did postmortems and attributed deaths to Corona where there were clearly other causes for death.. or people were gonna die anyway.. they could only find like 15,000 deaths.. which really isnt a lot. Again.. if this was the big one... it would have been more apparent from the onset.
  16. This is an eye opening news story: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2020/04/01/coronavirus-covid-19-china-radical-measures-lockdowns-mass-quarantines/2938374001/ Lets take this excerpt for instance: "Outside, drones hovered above streets, yelling at people to get inside and scolding them for not wearing face masks, while elsewhere in China facial-recognition software, linked to a mandatory phone app that color-coded people based on their contagion risk, decided who could enter shopping malls, subways, cafes and other public spaces. " Does that mean that Subways and Malls were open? Seems to me that china didnt even close their malls...
  17. I feel like Bill Gates is just toying with people now... https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/31/bill-gates-how-covid-19-pandemic-can-help-world-solve-climate-change.html
  18. I wonder if Lori Vallow and Chad Daybell were right all along...
  19. Did you look at the video from the reporter in New York?
  20. Actually I just had an epiphany!!! Now I know why the hospitals are empty.. it is because the Corona Virus is moving the death process along in a much more efficient manner for the people that are in there was out to begin with. Maybe all the people doing that were in perpetual ICU/ Rehab/ Hospice rotation are one and done and it is actually freeing up beds.
  21. even at a couple 100,000 death.. it is still just a blip on the radar... a couple of million might have raised the eyebrows of the WHO (if the flu season was particularly severe this year).. otherwise.. I really do not think that people would have notice this was happening if nothing ever came of it.. I don't believe that china had any effective lockdown... the vast majority of that country lives in what we could consider ultra poverty.. people need to leave every day for food and water.. what we see as people driving to the grocery stores here in america.. is overcrowded markets in china.. Just like the US lets people go to the grocery store.. people in china were allowed to crowd markets even during the quarenteen.. I am sure there is propoganda out there that would show otherwise.. but people need to eat.... Do you know which countries are doing nothing? Isnt Sweden and half of the third world basically ignoring this? I would be curious to see what happens with them...
  22. so its like reporting record highs on the day the thermometer was invented...
  23. This is probably the most interesting paragraph: "Second, surveillance of a newly emerged pathogen is typically biased towards detecting clinically severe cases, especially at the start of an epidemic when diagnostic capacity is low (figure 1). Estimates of the case fatality ratio can thus be biased upwards until the extent of clinically milder disease is determined. Data from the epicentre of the outbreak in Wuhan have primarily been obtained through hospital surveillance and, thus, are likely to represent patients with moderate or severe illness, with atypical pneumonia or acute respiratory distress being used to define suspected cases eligible for testing.In these individuals, clinical outcomes are likely to be more severe, so any estimates of the case fatality ratio will be higher. Elsewhere in mainland China and the rest of the world, countries and administrative regions alert to the risk of infection being imported via travel initially instituted surveillance for COVID-19 with a broader set of clinical criteria for defining a suspected case. These criteria typically included a combination of symptoms (eg, cough and fever) combined with recent travel history to the affected region (Wuhan, or Hubei province). Such surveillance is likely to detect clinically mild cases but, by initially restricting testing to those with a travel history or link, might have missed other symptomatic cases."
  24. This post is very unpolitical.. science based.. and interesting... https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30243-7/fulltext
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