MillvilleWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 psu said all the analogs are hecs so my standard just went to Hecs or bustYou need to really pull back the reigns. You’re like someone dying of thirst but will only accept Figi water. . 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Just dont look at the cmc. Especially psu... uh oh can we add a pissed off emoji to the selections..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 If anyone thinks GFS isn’t a good hit, you’re crazy. 4-6” pretty much region wide. Most of this forum wrote off winter less than a week ago. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Fv3 is weak sauce too honestly. Not all that qpf is snow. Gives dc the finger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Trends of better were lost this run. See if Dr No says yes instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 The models are honking for snow this weekend. A cold high to our N and a SLP passing to our South. Right now a good forecast is 3-6 inches IMO. This has the feel of 96. If this storm follows suit we will have gradual bumps in totals up to gametime. I blame PSU for putting 96 in my brain. That was my all time favorite snowstorm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Lets see what the GEFS says first... granted they will probably follow the OP, but 4" isn't anything to sneeze at 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Why? this.... or this.... southern half is ok, but northern natsomuch. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 This is how SECS' look at 5 days.. dry snow event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 One of the gfs twins has the wrong idea. If you blend them it's a big event though. Folks to the NE would like it too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 5 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: This is how SECS' look at 5 days.. dry snow event A drawn out mess? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, jewell2188 said: A drawn out mess? A drawn out mess? The pattern hasn't really changed yet. This is the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: One of the gfs twins has the wrong idea. If you blend them it's a big event though. Folks to the NE would like it too I'm on tt so I trust ya....you'd never lie to us northerners......hehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Tonight's UKIE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: The most intense storm of my lifetime out here. 32 inches in 16 hours. That was my greatest thundersnow event. 1” in 15 minutes and 3 for the hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 @yoda ukie looks like it would be at least a light event. 24h panels make it tricky to guess but h5 and low track should get precip here. Hp isnt as strong as other guidance so pacman might not be as fierce 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Almost like don’t need any real low but overrunning for 24+ hours. One of our best events , I think, was like 36 hours of 0.5”ph ? Love this set up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Around what time does 00z euro come out again? around 1/1:30ish right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Gefs shifted SE with precip. Not a lot but enough to notice. HP just a tad stronger so makes sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, jackb979 said: Around what time does 00z euro come out again? around 1/1:30ish right? Between 12:30 and 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Gefs shifted SE with precip. Not a lot but enough to notice. HP just a tad stronger so makes sense About 5” mean on the snowfall maps. No shutouts so I’ll take that. Not sure what to think considering the Euro at 18z and the GFS at 00z. Seems like we’ll see snow this weekend so that’s a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 @yoda Do you have the precip totals from the ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Hmmm -- http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/pwpf_d47/pwpf_medr.php?day=5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Chris78 said: @yoda Do you have the precip totals from the ukie? This is the closest I can get unless someone else has a different website or snow accum map for the UKIE... looks like 0.25 to 0.35 of QPF 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Ukie is what i was thinking based on h5/surface. We're getter closer to locking in at least a light event. Adjustments inside of 72 hours are most commonly north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Ukie looks fine to me Looks like a region wide 2 to 4" event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Ukie has been fairly steady the last three runs. Tonights 00z looks similar to last night's 00z. The Canadian ensemble is similar to the 12z run. 10/21 get at least 1" of snow in my backyard, with a mix of big hits, light events, and whiffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Euro..., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Hurricanegiants said: Euro..., Yes what about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyamaha Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Yes what about it He just likes saying Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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