dryslot Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: That looks really slow compared to the 12z GFS and 00z EC. Like 24hrs. It is, Shows up on the 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: It is, Shows up on the 5th. 00z was like that too. Inclined to toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 That is pretty slow verses the others. Don't really understand why though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, Greg said: That is pretty slow verses the others. Don't really understand why though. I would have to say it may be all southern stream if its that late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 12z gefs is less amped than 6z gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, Greg said: That is pretty slow verses the others. Don't really understand why though. It's burying the southern stream longer in the SW. It's probably wrong, but we'll see what the euro does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: It's burying the southern stream longer in the SW. It's probably wrong, but we'll see what the euro does. It may have to go back to rehab. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 The GEFS didn’t clear things up much either. At least the airmass is decent to start. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, dendrite said: It's burying the southern stream longer in the SW. It's probably wrong, but we'll see what the euro does. Yea, the UKMET evolution just looks odd. It would be an inside runner and rain anyway which I’m sure no one wants Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 If this is all true what you guys are saying then I would at least expect the Euro by 1:00 in theory to tick further southeast a bit with the rest of the models than where it was at earlier this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Ukie isn’t a cutter lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 EPS in the long range look pretty average at best... I honestly don’t think it’s a great look, but low skill that far out. I wouldn’t be surprised if this turns into a wake me up mid-late month deal and see where we are at. This storm at the end of the week isn’t a terribly good look for SNE at least. Maybe NNE can score Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Our friend the FV3 is showing typical snowy love for southern New England as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Regarding 11-15. GEFS and eps are worlds apart though I guess we should wait for the 12z run to keep it comparable. GEPS looks more like GEFS vs eps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Regarding 11-15. GEFS and eps are worlds apart though I guess we should wait for the 12z run to keep it comparable. GEPS looks more like GEFS vs eps. The warmth is on borrowed time...tic, toc... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The warmth is on borrowed time...tic, toc... Not according to this Michael Ventrice says Everytime I look at the Day 15 ECMWF EPS, it just keeps getting worse and worse for Winter lovers in the US. We are entering a period where the cold outlooks for Jaanuary keep getting pushed back in time. A forecaster's nightmare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 11 minutes ago, leo2000 said: Not according to this Michael Ventrice says Everytime I look at the Day 15 ECMWF EPS, it just keeps getting worse and worse for Winter lovers in the US. We are entering a period where the cold outlooks for Jaanuary keep getting pushed back in time. A forecaster's nightmare Welcome to 2 hours ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Not sure I buy into anything 360 out but to each his own I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 12z Euro burying the s/w in the southern stream, No interaction with the northern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 40 minutes ago, Greg said: Our friend the FV3 is showing typical snowy love for southern New England as usual. The FV3 will have a blizzard for the 4th of July. ….model nickname"The Iceman " 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Definitely don't know what to make of it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z Euro burying the s/w in the southern stream, No interaction with the northern stream Zero surprise I would give it 20/80 percent of interaction given the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Euro will be garbage again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Rains to Maine again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 That airmass is garbage because of the lag with that s/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Rains to Maine again. Careful that upsets a few posters here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: That airmass is garbage because of the lag with that s/w. Yep. 1994 here we come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Break out Ace of Base, Collective Soul, and Warren G because I saw the signs, that say heaven let your rain shine down, since The Pacific Ocean and MJO have to regulate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yep. 1994 here we come. I think you mean 1995 of the 1994/1995 winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 That hold back SSW over Mexico is a problem. That needs to jettison out sooner. Too much hold-back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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