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Amos83

December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

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Looking at current conditions on SPC things are setting up nicely for CLT.  1038 high in IL, 0 degree  850 south of border, with -2 line cutting Mecklenburg in half, 0 degree line 925 sinking down towards the state line.

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2 hours ago, SimeonNC said:

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The current surface map, our CAD high is the 1038mb over Illinois right now. Encouraging that it is strong but Im worried that with precip having the potential to start early that it might not get here fast enough. 

Encouraging to see a 1038 and a 1036 (instead of a 1033), but hoping for a 1038 or higher. Dew in SC running in the mid to upper 30s and have risen over night as precip came in. This tells me there has been no CAA into SC yet. Need that cold to really push if we're going to make it. 38/36 here.

 

Just noticed I 85 temps running mostly in the 40s. Low to even mid 40s showing up on wundermap in the CLT area, low 40s GSP area, with upper 30s just north in the upstate. 

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7 minutes ago, Tarheel17 said:

Currently 43/33 in Charlotte. 2 degrees above forecasted high, but would expect temps to drop quickly when precip starts.

I assume this is because of the UHI, I feel like this could be really bad for us.

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Temps busting high before a storm is brutal, and seems to have happened often in recent years. We're going to lose a lot of QPF before it changes over.

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Temps not cooperating yet. Per Wundermap, I see a 40 up by Lenoir and Hickory, with 39 near AVL and Hendersonville. GSP area 39-41. Up to 39/38 IMBY - we're going the wrong direction!

 

Even Mt Mitchel St Park listed at 28 - there's no cold!

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Down to 35.4 now so for now it doesn't seem to be going back up after the heavier rain/sleet shower came through and forced some cold air down. 

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Not too worried about temps, here anyway, at 40 now but  winds have picked up from the NNE and my dew point now at 28 has already dropped 4 degrees in the past two hours.

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2 minutes ago, LKN WX said:

Not too worried about temps, here anyway, at 40 now but  winds have picked up from the NNE and my dew point now at 28 has already dropped 4 degrees in the past two hours.

At that rate we should be dropping below freezing in the upstate by about... Wednesday! :lol:

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8 minutes ago, nj2va said:

I’ll be vicariously living through you reading this thread tomorrow...good luck and hope you all enjoy the storm. 

Same. Good luck guys! Looks like one hell of a storm. I just moved to dc from Asheville last summer. Hope everything pans out!

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39 in Pickens while driving and there’s some slush in the rain drops.

I always look to your post bc you seem very familiar with the upstate (and it’s ever so annoying) kinks that undoubtedly show up every winter. That being said, any chance this sleet mixing in now helps our circumstances in the N Upstate later?


.

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