nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 ::itshappening:: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 UKMET with a decent bump north. DC in the 2.5-5mm range now, with the 5mm line not that far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Decent shift north with QPF field by 12z UKIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 FV3 inched north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Going to guess DCA is 0.1 to 0.15 for the 12z UKMET on the QPF... waiting for meteogram... unless someone else has the image already For comparison, 00z UKIE had nothing in DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 10 minutes ago, Inthepines said: Duck pics? Desk pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 10 minutes ago, nj2va said: ::itshappening:: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 I’ll take a blend of the RGEM and the UKIE and ignore the other models. Unless something better comes along at happy hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Last minute north trend as expected. It was the previous 72 hours of south trend that screwed us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: Holy bump on the ukmet If the cmc wins the day with a score for dc I’ll be enternally grateful. Albeit over done a couple days ago it has consistently said at least something for dc (minus 2-3 runs?) Ancecdotal I think a north shift is a typical trend we see with the juicy stj sw. Also I felt since 5 days ago that the confluence being molded was probably at the very least “slightly” over done. Hopefully my pure guess was right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Going to guess DCA is 0.1 to 0.15 for the 12z UKMET on the QPF... waiting for meteogram... unless someone else has the image already For comparison, 00z UKIE had nothing in DCA Hmmmm... this doesn’t look like that. Odd. Yeah, weathermodels 6hr precip maps have a near miss. Odd differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 This will make alot happy. 12z JMA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Hmm, Canadian triplets, UKMET, and JMA get measurable precip to DC. If the Euro comes in with the same, I may start believing we see some snow here out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 2 minutes ago, Beachin said: This will make alot happy. JMA 12z Right the JMA is really good at this range right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Hmm, Canadian triplets, UKMET, and JMA get measurable precip to DC. If the Euro comes in with the same, I may start believing we see some snow here out of this. Yeah, waiting for the Euro to confirm this isn’t all fantasy. I don’t think it’s too far from a low end Advisory type deal in EZF, but still preparing for Heavy Flurries. Knowing how close we are is the toughest part of this whole tracking episode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Kuchera ratios at 15Z and 18Z tomorrow per the 12Z FV3. Good ratios for all, especially good for mby: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 UKMET meteogram for DC is about 0.1”-0.15”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 JMA gives me .5 to .75 qpf along with the FV 3 15-1 ratios I’m expecting a foot now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, wawarriors4 said: Yeah, waiting for the Euro to confirm this isn’t all fantasy. I don’t think it’s too far from a low end Advisory type deal in EZF, but still preparing for Heavy Flurries. Knowing how close we are is the toughest part of this whole tracking episode I would be feeling more confident if I was you vs here in NVA/DC. I also think banding will set up somewhere on the northern fringe that could easily drop a few inches...just how far north that gets is what we’re ironing out now. If had to wager now, my gut says between Glen Allen and EZF. Flurry watch for Arlington/Alexandria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: UKMET meteogram for DC is about 0.1”-0.15”. That’s not as much as I was expecting but good to see nonetheless come on king euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 So any bets on euro crushes our fantasy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 1 minute ago, jewell2188 said: So any bets on euro crushes our fantasy snow Yes I believe it will. Inch would be fun and mood inspiring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 .........and here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Now, if the Euro came north...this place might go nuts. But, Doctor No is Doctor No for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 13 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: So any bets on euro crushes our fantasy snow It will. Happens every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It will. Happens every time. Agreed, but what are we really hoping for at this point. All or nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 Why do people keep posting maps that came out hours ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 8, 2018 Share Posted December 8, 2018 57 minutes ago, BristowWx said: FV3 inched north Yeah my yard is probably solidly into the virga instead of right on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 8, 2018 Author Share Posted December 8, 2018 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah my yard is probably solidly into the virga instead of right on the edge. Baby steps, baby steps. With any luck, By 12z tomorrow, you'll be firmly in dusting territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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