I dont care anymore....I am starting a storm thread for March 20-21. Got nothing to lose.

[Ji]

guys...Ukie Looks  wet. I like it

[psuhoffman]

I don't like that the lead wave is faster essentially running it into the blocking before it relaxes enough and outrunning the next wave so instead of getting one big storm off the Delmarva we get two weak waves and the second one with more upside likely misses south. 

We can still root for the first wave. That could be decent. And now there are more threats as this pattern just isn't breaking. It's probably just going to fade as climo finally closes the door at some point. 

[Jandurin]

Winter's last whimper rather than winter's last hurrah?

[Maestrobjwa]

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I don't like that the lead wave is faster essentially running it into the blocking before it relaxes enough and outrunning the next wave so instead of getting one big storm off the Delmarva we get two weak waves and the second one with more upside likely misses south. 

We can still root for the first wave. That could be decent. And now there are more threats as this pattern just isn't breaking. It's probably just going to fade as climo finally closes the door at some point. 

Is there not still a little time to iron out timing and such? Perhaps a little slow down of the first wave...still seems kinda close to my novice eyes. And you're certainly primed to get a good thump from the first wave (I may be too)...perhaps focusing on that piece will be more pleasant, lol

[Maestrobjwa]

12 minutes ago, Ji said:

guys...Ukie Looks  wet. I like it

Not as wet as 0z, though, is it? (Appears a little further south as well)

[ers-wxman1]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Not as wet as 0z, though, is it? (Appears a little further south as well)

It is certainly drier and sharp gradient. 

[BristowWx]

1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Not as wet as 0z, though, is it? (Appears a little further south as well)

How much is rain?  That’s the billion dollar question. 

[Cobalt]

Just now, ers-wxman1 said:

It is certainly drier and sharp gradient. 

Correct me if I'm wrong, but didn't the 0z Ukie hit with both waves? The 12z only hits with 1 

[peribonca]

1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said:

If ya can't Handel it, there's the door! 

We're down to the wire, this winter is on the Chopin block

[87storms]

12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I don't like that the lead wave is faster essentially running it into the blocking before it relaxes enough and outrunning the next wave so instead of getting one big storm off the Delmarva we get two weak waves and the second one with more upside likely misses south. 

We can still root for the first wave. That could be decent. And now there are more threats as this pattern just isn't breaking. It's probably just going to fade as climo finally closes the door at some point. 

i think the hecs idea is dead unless wave 2 pops a surprise coastal, but ya never know.  if wave 1 overperforms that's kind of a hecs in march anyway in the sense that march usually sucks here.

[clskinsfan]

2 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

How much is rain?  That’s the billion dollar question. 

Depends on location obviously. But that is 1 inch QPF on the Ukie. That isnt dry by any means.

[87storms]

7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Not as wet as 0z, though, is it? (Appears a little further south as well)

it honestly sort of looks like the event wants to negate the snowhole for maryland.  almost looks jan 2010'ish in that we get fringed but a good fringe.

edit: meant to say jan 2010'ish

[stormtracker]

20 minutes ago, Ji said:

guys...Ukie Looks  wet. I like it

Useless if it's rain

[dallen7908]

Just for fun ... 

http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

[poolz1]

A little less confluence @hr 48...maybe this run ticks north?

[Cobalt]

Just now, poolz1 said:

A little less confluence @hr 48...maybe this run ticks north?

Looking like it. Also follows the trend to slow the onset time that the GFS did at 12z. 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, Cobalt said:

Looking like it. Also follows the trend to slow the onset time that the GFS did at 12z. 

Wondering if we are rooting for slower or faster...

[Ji]

Ive seen worse this winter

[showmethesnow]

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Wondering if we are rooting for slower or faster...

We're rooting for a Mulligan on this whole winter.

[Amped]

Doesn't look much different than the GFS.

[stormtracker]

kinda quiet on details..so I assume it's still meh for non N and W folks.

[Cobalt]

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

kinda quiet on details..so I assume it's still meh for non N and W folks.

i see heavy snow tuesday morning

[showmethesnow]

Looking at hr 78 and that looks a touch interesting in regards to our second wave. Lets see how that plays out.

[EastCoast NPZ]

Just now, stormtracker said:

kinda quiet on details..so I assume it's still meh for non N and W folks.

Maybe it's so good that everyone is stunned speechless.

[ErinInTheSky]

Euro is about to blow this place up...

[stormtracker]

Just now, Ji said:

i see heavy snow tuesday morning

Good for you?

[clskinsfan]

As a side note it is snowing pretty good out here right now. weatherus is really slow with the precip panels so far. Only out to 33. But it kind of looks like the NAM at that time.

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Good for you?

for both i think dude

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Cobalt said:

That's workable.   Looks like our upside.  I'd take that and run.