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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland


Typhoon Tip

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3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Nice map...good luck. This is backing in far enough (and slightly slower) to try and get those >2 foot totals....we shall see. I hope it stalls even another 3-5 hours from current guidance.

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16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The NAM has some insane LLJ...especially at 925mb. An extensive jet streak of >80 knots with > 90 knots at 925. Stronger than the GFS...I wonder if this is a big reason for such high QPF amounts...especially back into a good chunk of CT. What meteorological reasons sort of determine how far from the center frontogenesis banding occurs? Even looking at H7 low track...w/o looking at fronto I would guess it is east of what NAM shows. 

NAM really captures everything with the NS ULL, look how much moisture gets tossed back into the dacks and the finger lakes.   Wouldn't expect that from an offshore track either.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Nice map...good luck. This is backing in far enough (and slightly slower) to try and get those >2 foot totals....we shall see. I hope it stalls even another 3-5 hours from current guidance.

No caution flags from anyone tonight. Apparently nothing can go wrong. 

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