psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 3k nam radar for 8pm looks pretty spot on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 We might’ve had some wet flakes mixed in initially when it started in Fair Oaks. Rain now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, MetalCapsFan said: More about the apparent eastern shift... https://mobile.twitter.com/crankywxguy/status/971185789097988096 https://mobile.twitter.com/crankywxguy/status/971186017482039301 https://mobile.twitter.com/crankywxguy/status/971186725715431424 I don't see how it's differing significantly from the 12z Euro. The NAM might of been too far west, but we knew that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 7, 2018 Author Share Posted March 7, 2018 All rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Snow and sleet here. Looks mostly snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Seems it's gone over to all rain here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 50 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Folks, you couldn’t pick a better hill to die on then the euro giving us a full on snow job with 12 hour leads. I’m on top of that hill, naked, ECMWF flag flying proudly waiting for my snow. If I die here, so be it. I love you and the hill you’re on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Rain/snow mix west of Woodbridge . 38/34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 36/31 here. But the slug of precip is gonna miss me southeast unless it expands west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
evaporativecooler Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 52 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Folks, you couldn’t pick a better hill to die on then the euro giving us a full on snow job with 12 hour leads. I’m on top of that hill, naked, ECMWF flag flying proudly waiting for my snow. If I die here, so be it. I'm with you, this is prime all nighter weather. If things go wrong and I have to come into work tomorrow looking blazed and confused than it is what it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Bouncing between rain/snow and almost all snow in Easton, temp dropping slowly at 37 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Yeah all rain now but temp down to 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 GF reporting light snow at the house in Laytonsville area. 35F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah all rain now but temp down to 37. The rain is good. It washes off all the brine that was wasted today. Good setup for the AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 it’s slushing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 I'm patiently waiting to see this explosion north of precip that guidance had happening in the next hour....so far I only see it on a northeast trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Been raining here for about an hour, but now mixing with big wet snowflakes. Temp down to 38 from 44 an hour or so ago. Some impressive radar returns moving in, so it will be interesting to see if the lower levels cool enough here to accumulate anything. HRRR seems to think so, but not sure I buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Latest hrrr is a swing and a miss for everyone with the CCB snows. Looks terrible. We've all seen it do this in the past only to bring it back at the last minute but it's not very encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 1 minute ago, MD Snow said: Latest hrrr is a swing and a miss for everyone with the CCB snows. Looks terrible. We've all seen it do this in the past only to bring it back at the last minute but it's not very encouraging. I'll feel a LOT better in an hour when the nam comes in and doesn't shift way east. But man...yea it's a total disaster. It's still shifting east every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I'm patiently waiting to see this explosion north of precip that guidance had happening in the next hour....so far I only see it on a northeast trajectory. Breathe, friend. It will happen as it should. And stop looking at the hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
motsco Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 got a good coating of bacon grease falling and sticking to deck and grill surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 42/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Temp down to 35 with moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Walked the dog and the lawn is white, giant fat flakes falling fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I'll feel a LOT better in an hour when the nam comes in and doesn't shift way east. But man...yea it's a total disaster. It's still shifting east every run. HRRR has the low more offshore now. Been shifting heavier precip more east the last few runs. I noticed earlier several of the models seemed to have multiple lows, and in some cases initially tucked in on onshore, then sudden shifting offshore. Maybe convective feedback? Seems there is still some uncertainty with the exact track of the developing coastal. I would still favor it being tucked in. Like you said, see what the NAMs have to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I'll feel a LOT better in an hour when the nam comes in and doesn't shift way east. But man...yea it's a total disaster. It's still shifting east every run. Don't bet on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Weird I thought if it were a disaster I wouldn't see anythingWhere's this snow coming from then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 Maybe it's dumb to put so much stock in HRRR, but it's ticking east with each run and we lose the deform band tomorrow. Maybe it's wrong but is it too early to say bust? Euro might be about to get schooled. It would also be a bit reassuring if it wasn't raining right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 A few flakes mixing back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2018 Share Posted March 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: HRRR has the low more offshore now. Been shifting heavier precip more east the last few runs. I noticed earlier several of the models seemed to have multiple lows, and in some cases initially tucked in on onshore, then sudden shifting offshore. Maybe convective feedback? Seems there is still some uncertainty with the exact track of the developing coastal. I would still favor it being tucked in. Like you said, see what the NAMs have to say. I have a bad feeling. The hrrr sucks so it's probably just being nervous. But being honest I have a bad feeling the 0z runs are gonna shift east after I finally let myself think it would snow lol. Would serve me right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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