Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

The media's name for this storm lol... I'd never call anyone here stupifying 

 

 

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Medicine woman?

Showing your age

[JC-CT]

geezus Box has 0" for gloucester?

It's one thing to bust from 2" to 10", but when you forecast 0"...

[ORH_wxman]

The coastline will struggle early on...so everyone there should remember that...esp when the obs outside of 128 are probably pretty nice. Won't be surprised to see it still as an ugly white rain/mix or even plain rain until well into the evening around 7-9pm....but then they should rip after that....esp between about 9pm and 3am.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

geezus Box has 0" for gloucester?

It's one thing to bust from 2" to 10", but when you forecast 0"...

Right now they have verified.

[NeonPeon]

Just now, JC-CT said:

geezus Box has 0" for gloucester?

Box haven't budged since the trend was a little west.  We'll see if they blink this morning I guess, but given the logic was that the Euro was anomalous and against the consensus, and now the GFS looks anomalous, you'd think they would go for a model blend and an incremental move of the gradient east.

[Hoth]

lol some weenies already melting in the NY forum. Must be a Miller B.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, NeonPeon said:

Box haven't budged since the trend was a little west.  We'll see if they blink this morning I guess, but given the logic was that the Euro was anomalous and against the consensus, and now the GFS looks anomalous, you'd think they would go for a model blend and an incremental move of the gradient east.

They did budge a bit, they had me at 11ish, dropped me to 7", bumped me back up to 10". But they are still really low out east. I think they will start as rain but when it flips it will be crazy.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

lol some weenies already melting in the NY forum. Must be a Miller B.

lol - I think they aren't supposed to flip until this afternoon anyway even on the cold guidance

[TalcottWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The coastline will struggle early on...so everyone there should remember that...esp when the obs outside of 128 are probably pretty nice. Won't be surprised to see it still as an ugly white rain/mix or even plain rain until well into the evening around 7-9pm....but then they should rip after that....esp between about 9pm and 3am.

That's still such a massive improvement. Besides, the paste will be cool. 

I'm kinda concerned for the already hard hit interior portions of SE MA. 

[Damage In Tolland]

I was reading that NYC thread. I mean lol. They thought it was supposed to be ripping there already when it doesn’t start until noon and are worried and cancelling the storm . It just makes you wonder about people 

[HoarfrostHubb]

9 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Showing your age

This is showing my age...

 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The coastline will struggle early on...so everyone there should remember that...esp when the obs outside of 128 are probably pretty nice. Won't be surprised to see it still as an ugly white rain/mix or even plain rain until well into the evening around 7-9pm....but then they should rip after that....esp between about 9pm and 3am.

Agree. I don't expect anything until after 7 really. 

[NeonPeon]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

lol some weenies already melting in the NY forum. Must be a Miller B.

What are they melting about, they seem to be in the goods regardless of what model is looked at.  Fretting over hearing some rain before the thing even spins up?

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Agree. I don't expect anything until after 7 really. 

Yeah...I was just pointing that out, because I can already envision the meltdowns in here when it is pounding heavy rain or mix early this evening within 5-10 miles of the coast while the interior is ripping S+. There are fresh wounds that haven't fully healed yet since last Friday....but this shouldn't be like that for most (further in SE MA along coast it will prob stay as mostly rain)

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

What are they melting about, they seem to be in the goods regardless of what model is looked at.  Fretting over hearing some rain before the thing even spins up?

The people usually melting are the ones that really have no idea what they are talking about.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is showing my age...

 

"When Quinn the Eskimo gets here,  everybody's gonna' want a dose".

[BRSno]

[TalcottWx]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah...I was just pointing that out, because I can already envision the meltdowns in here when it is pounding heavy rain or mix early this evening within 5-10 miles of the coast while the interior is ripping S+. There are fresh wounds that haven't fully healed yet since last Friday....but this shouldn't be like that for most (further in SE MA along coast it will prob stay as mostly rain)

A lot of that grid that took a beating during last storm should see appreciable amounts of snow. Abington, S Weymouth, Brockton, Stoughton etc

[HimoorWx]

9 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is showing my age...

 

Let's hope we're all singing Doo Wah Diddy Diddy later today!

[STILL N OF PIKE]

10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is showing my age...

 

Is that Austin Powers second from left

[wxsniss]

12z RGEM looks very close to 6z

[CT Rain]

Have to like how things look this morning. Good for a mid level banding pivot point over my fanny? 

[NeonPeon]

I still don't see Newport getting anything.  What doesn't ring as true to me is providence getting 2 inches, even with the cute button warm nose.  I've never seen a gradient like that for this set up.  I can just see driving up to providence now, portsmouth with 2-3, bristol with 3-5, prov with 6.

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Have to like how things look this morning. Good for a mid level banding pivot point over my fanny? 

Hope your fanny is big enough cuz that biatch gonna be parked over me toooo!!

[wxsniss]

@NWSBoston: Snowfall nudged slightly higher BOS-PVD corridor but still high uncertainty! Most of accumulation 6 PM-Midnight. For BOS, around 2" in the city & 4-6" western suburbs. Expect further adjustments this afternoon. HIGH confidence in totals for CT, western/central MA & N RI.

[40/70 Benchmark]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I was reading that NYC thread. I mean lol. They thought it was supposed to be ripping there already when it doesn’t start until noon and are worried and cancelling the storm . It just makes you wonder about people 

[Hoth]

I like when Ryan gets excited. That's generally a sign that things will go apes***.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

@NWSBoston: Snowfall nudged slightly higher BOS-PVD corridor but still high uncertainty! Most of accumulation 6 PM-Midnight. For BOS, around 2" in the city & 4-6" western suburbs. Expect further adjustments this afternoon. HIGH confidence in totals for CT, western/central MA & N RI.

Ironically enough, they have the outer bounds of uncertainty crossing my property, when in reality the only thing I am uncertain about as it relates to the forecast for MBY is what in the hell they are looking at-

[bristolri_wx]

Hard to believe stuff still this much change in the model runs within 24 hours...