Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[EastonSN+]

Just looked at the EURO maps. Gets a LOT more mixed precip into CT from Bridgeport east. Another jump NW and I am looking at 2 to 4 if lucky.

[Ginx snewx]

28 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

WTH was Hoth talking about with CT qpf screwgie

[JC-CT]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

WTH was Hoth talking about with CT qpf screwgie

Only 1.0 vs 1.5 and 1.8

[Buddy1987]

Hey guys, posted this in the NYC thread, but figured i'd ask in here as well:

What do you guys think the start time on this thing is for eastern PA/northern NJ? I will be traveling from western VA to CT and am wondering if I should just drive straight through or be able to stop around 10pm and then get an early start?

[WintersComing]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

WTH was Hoth talking about with CT qpf screwgie

Dunno.  Think he's referring to the snow accum map not being reflected properly with qpf map

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

WTH was Hoth talking about with CT qpf screwgie

The "snowfall QPF" map shows it...Ryan mentioned it was the sfc temps...the alogirthm took some snow away in central CT.

Not sure what the wxbell maps have? I surprisingly haven't seen one posted in here yet....amazing restraint by everyone, lol.

[WintersComing]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Just looked at the EURO maps. Gets a LOT more mixed precip into CT from Bridgeport east. Another jump NW and I am looking at 2 to 4 if lucky.

Don't focus on those.  All the boundary layers are below 0c for the entire event.

[WintersComing]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

The "snowfall QPF" map shows it...Ryan mentioned it was the sfc temps...the alogirthm took some snow away in central CT.

Not sure what the wxbell maps have? I surprisingly haven't seen one posted in here yet....amazing restraint by everyone, lol.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

Paul's map has possible mixing all the way to Litchfield county. 

Because he always only uses the NAM and GFS. Always 

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, WintersComing said:

 

That map is in good agreement with the weather.us map.

[weathafella]

30 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said:

First time all winter I feel locked in for some great snow and Thursday happens to be my birthday!  Unfortunately, I suffered a heart attack Saturday night.  Thank you to dryslot’s neighbors in Lewiston for saving my sorry ass!  Proud owner of two stents, no restrictions, feel great and will be blowing snow Thursday.   I am in complete awe of medical science right now.

 

 

Wow tough but thankful news!  Stay well!

[Cyclone-68]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Was thinking the part up in the NW corner of 128. For you and I, not expecting much. Maybe hope for a few at the end. 

I hope just this once you’re mistaken, but to be honest I’m not getting a good vibe from this either. Onto faux severe and recurving hurricanes LOL

[WintersComing]

Closest the 925 temps per Euro

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Only 1.0 vs 1.5 and 1.8

Queens

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Closest the 925 temps per Euro

Was actually a bit further N at hr 39, but not much more.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I hope just this once you’re mistaken, but to be honest I’m not getting a good vibe from this either. Onto faux severe and recurving hurricanes LOL

It's real close. Part of me is going with a small nude NW of the euro. But I am also not saying zero snow. Could be a sloppy couple of inches on either side for us? Real tough.

[TalcottWx]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Was thinking the part up in the NW corner of 128. For you and I, not expecting much. Maybe hope for a few at the end. 

Keep the faith

[Ginx snewx]

36 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said:

First time all winter I feel locked in for some great snow and Thursday happens to be my birthday!  Unfortunately, I suffered a heart attack Saturday night.  Thank you to dryslot’s neighbors in Lewiston for saving my sorry ass!  Proud owner of two stents, no restrictions, feel great and will be blowing snow Thursday.   I am in complete awe of medical science right now.

 

 

Dude go slow now

[The 4 Seasons]

[TalcottWx]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It's real close. Part of me is going with a small nude NW of the euro. But I am also not saying zero snow. Could be a sloppy couple of inches on either side for us? Real tough.

Tmi

[ORH_wxman]

Could be a Feb 5, 2001-esque snowfall gradient...that one had 12-18" in the 495 belt, still near 10" NW of 128 and N of pike and then by the time you got to BOS, it was like 3" of slop that happened when the winds went north (though prob more than that on west side of city)

[WxBlue]

10 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

 

Right on spot with GYX's map.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Just make it 4-30 at this point”. I mean, 8-18” is lol.

[Ginx snewx]

19 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Only 1.0 vs 1.5 and 1.8

I see 1.25 in a good chunk of the quiet corner

[Ginx snewx]

21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The "snowfall QPF" map shows it...Ryan mentioned it was the sfc temps...the alogirthm took some snow away in central CT.

Not sure what the wxbell maps have? I surprisingly haven't seen one posted in here yet....amazing restraint by everyone, lol.

oh the death valley usual spot, meh

[BRSno]

45 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I feel like somewhere near 128, is going to get a solid 8-10" of playdough falling from the sky. 

How much are you thinking for Weymouth? 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

I see 1.25 in a good chunk of the quiet corner

Yea. it also gave me 1.2 qpf as snow Friday and like 0.6 back in the Jan bombcyclonesnowcane. qpf is lowest scoring paramter of a model, just a tool.

[StormSurge]

Hoth, Ginx, any chance for me on the rock to see flakes? My expectations are extremely low.

[WintersComing]

Interesting

[ORH_wxman]

25 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Hey guys, posted this in the NYC thread, but figured i'd ask in here as well:

What do you guys think the start time on this thing is for eastern PA/northern NJ? I will be traveling from western VA to CT and am wondering if I should just drive straight through or be able to stop around 10pm and then get an early start?

E PA and N NJ are going to be underway well before daybreak. Prob just better to drive straight through.