dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Closed off at H5 just south of the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Looks like there might be more blocking in Canada/Greenland this run. It could be a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Slower. Noticeably slower. More blocking over to our NE. This will be south of 12z. Not surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 looks like 983 just south of RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Def transferring south of the 12z run....still pretty far north of most guidance, but not as crazy at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Yup. Now if we can get it to depict better thermals, weenies would like the snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 meandering at 72hr.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. Now if we can get it to depict better thermals, weenies would like the snow maps. It's warm all the way to 850, and it will be if it takes that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Def transferring south of the 12z run....still pretty far north of most guidance, but not as crazy at 12z. Love the way the blocking and noise over Quebec shoved it SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Firehose at hr 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Further south Gfs will eventually catch on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 That stall is obviously quite concerning on the GFS. That's an awful look for coastal flooding in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: It's warm all the way to 850, and it will be if it takes that track. Don't need too much more though to be in business. Even this run will prob flash over (wlel minus the lowest 2000-3000 feet due to GFS being awful) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Expected trend towards NAM. Check. We go for checkmate at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: It's warm all the way to 850, and it will be if it takes that track. Right. but The track is fine, just warm in mid levels which it is notorious in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 finally gfs has snow at 78hr.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Don't need too much more though to be in business. Even this run will prob flash over (wlel minus the lowest 2000-3000 feet due to GFS being awful) Definitely, just stating verbatim it still tracks too much overhead. But then it sinks south, that has been pretty consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, Bostonseminole said: finally gfs has snow at 78hr.. Earlier than that if you use meteorology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Earlier than that if you use meteorology. lol yeah, I was being sarcastic.. is there an emoji in here for that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Good freaking lord. The CCB when it flips. RIP Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Harvey still emphasizing the rain right now snow in elevati ons. Probably waiting for the euro to come on board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 How does 5.4" of QPF sound at BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Earlier than that if you use meteorology. Yeah....GFS will def not pick up on the dynamic and latent cooling as well as most other guidance on an equivalent scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Earlier than that if you use meteorology. Yeah, this isn't too far from becoming a big deal event thermally. Got to factor in dynamical cooling from heavy precipitation rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 You can see the differences at H5 from hr 48 at 12z and hr 42 at 18z. It appears the Greenland block is forcing a little more confluence (more notable after hr 42 at 18z) and a cleaner phase causes the s/w to actually dig more ESE...a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: How does 5.4" of QPF sound at BOS? Dec 92-esque...and Apr 97-esque on the qpf amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: How does 5.4" of QPF sound at BOS? Whaaaaaat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Euro Feb25 12z run ftw. Lock it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Whaaaaaat It's definitely tainted by rain on that run. But it definitely ends in at least a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You can see the differences at H5 from hr 48 at 12z and hr 42 at 18z. It appears the Greenland block is forcing a little more confluence (more notable after hr 42 at 18z) and a cleaner phase causes the s/w to actually dig more ESE...a good thing. Yeah we actually want some earlier phasing....it really helps the ULL to dig E and SE...we def don't want it closed off over like ERI and BUF...kepiung near PIT or a bit south is much better for us...it helps keep the warm air at bay and allows the CCB to draw in the colder air from the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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