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February is upon us - pattern change is in order

Baroclinic Zone

By Baroclinic Zone,
in New England

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tamarack

tamarack

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

Yea people are probably going to want to hit me for this, but I think Sunday may be our best and only shot at a significant winter event over the next 10 days...

 

And 12z GFS seems a couple degrees milder than the 06z, looks dodgey for frozen, AUG to RUM.  Latest run shows 16 consecutive daily minima at least 5° AN for everywhere in the south half of Maine.

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jbenedet

jbenedet

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, tamarack said:

And 12z GFS seems a couple degrees milder than the 06z, looks dodgey for frozen, AUG to RUM.  Latest run shows 16 consecutive daily minima at least 5° AN for everywhere in the south half of Maine.

GL with GFS 2m temps. This isn’t the pattern where it’ll see the low level cold.

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

I love that D10 Euro... Goes for a full subsume phased juggernaut while squatting the whole construct squarely on top of the SE ridge... 

Pacific vs the Atlantic in a battle of ages there...  

But, for entertainment sake only:  that depiction is probably a seasonal corrective snow event for the MA and NE regions ... and one of such duration that it probably ends as as a core wrapped wind swept light drizzle 72 hours later.... 

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I love that D10 Euro... Goes for a full subsume phased juggernaut while squatting the whole construct squarely on top of the SE ridge... 

Pacific vs the Atlantic in a battle of ages there...  

But, for entertainment sake only:  that depiction is probably a seasonal corrective snow event for the MA and NE regions ... and one of such duration that it probably ends as as a core wrapped wind swept light drizzle 72 hours later.... 

Bring it on....we're due for a long duration beast anyway.  

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
31 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Why

When i see all time strongest NAO , i wonder does That not make sense, or at least could be a pattern where that is not unheard of.

I didn't say it's unheard of. I implied that I do not think it will happen. Just a bunch because of a hostile Pacific and the fact that we just whiffed on a HECS 2 years ago...usually doesn't happen in that rapid of a succession.

Additionally, the whiffs-mid atl specials usually occur in el Nino years, when the STJ is more prevalent. If you recall, I predicted in that outlook that that blizzard would have the largest impact on the mid atl for that reason.

La Nina? I'll bet against a big mid atl special.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Why

When i see all time strongest NAO , i wonder does That not make sense, or at least could be a pattern where that is not unheard of.

everything is hyped up, all time strongest ridge, all time strongest NAO, all time biggest baddest muthafuking storm ya'll evah see!

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