Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Sticking with my 3-5". It was my first--and now final--call. I'll likely get 3-5" in a span of 1-2hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 So the NWS throwing out their own definition of a blizzard warning and going with the public definition.... blizzard = foot+ of snow No blizzard warnings at this time, as despite likely high winds, heavy snowfall and low vbsy, but low confidence that sub 1 ft snowfall will have significant enough impacts. If expected snowfall amounts increase today, and therefore high end impacts, a blizzard warning will be hoisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, Hazey said: No. You're on the wrong side of the storm. You warm, you rain. Enjoy the wind Environment Canada calling for 15-25 cm of snow here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I'll likely get 3-5" in a span of 1-2hrs. It is not unreasonable to think that you surpass our season to date total with one storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: So the NWS throwing out their own definition of a blizzard warning and going with the public definition.... blizzard = foot+ of snow No blizzard warnings at this time, as despite likely high winds, heavy snowfall and low vbsy, but low confidence that sub 1 ft snowfall will have significant enough impacts. If expected snowfall amounts increase today, and therefore high end impacts, a blizzard warning will be hoisted. Where is that from? Didn't see that on Box AFD. That's frustrating if true... I see NWS as a scientific expert profession that should not be so influenced by optics in the public eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southshorewx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 ETA first flakes in Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: Where is that from? Didn't see that on Box AFD. That's frustrating if true... I see NWS as a scientific expert profession that should not be so influenced by optics in the public eye. OKX not BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It is not unreasonable to think that you surpass our season to date total with one storm. 16.5", that's a tall task. Feel very confident on 10" right now. I see no reason to sway from from the Euro/GFS/RGEM right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, leo2000 said: Environment Canada calling for 15-25 cm of snow here. 1 Best of luck. Stay safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 For CT peeps from John Homenuk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Blizzard Warning upgrade for Boston. Should have had it in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: OKX not BOX The OKX forecast area may not see the snowfall rates that lead to the reduced visibility required for blizzard criteria. If their snowfall predictions go up, it means that they're catching some of the heavier banding that may allow the criteria to be met. But I would agree they definitely didn't word that correctly in their discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 ..BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very dangerous. Damage to trees and power lines is possible. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 12 inches, with localized amounts up to 14 inches, are expected. * WHERE...East and Southeast Coastal Massachusetts as well as Southeast Coastal Rhode Island including Block Island. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 60 mph will cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant drifting of the snow is likely. Scattered to widespread power outages are anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 If GFS is correct, maybe GON wont be a snow hole for once. No surprise, NAM has best FGEN occuring in central CT and MA with good omega in central areas as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Blizzard Warning upgrade for Boston. Should have had it in the first place. Did you drive over and b**ch them out Jay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Where is that from? Didn't see that on Box AFD. That's frustrating if true... I see NWS as a scientific expert profession that should not be so influenced by optics in the public eye. Have you seen all the silly winter weather advisories this season that ignored the criteria simply because it was snow during commute time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 NWS Finnally Upgraded to what's we've talked about for days. And what Ray has said for a week+. 10"-14" / 16". * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14 inches, with localized amounts up to 16 inches, are expected. Increasing westerly winds with times with gusts up around 40 mph, downed tree limbs and power outages are possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 NAM already looks better at hr 12...more consolidated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: NWS Finnally Upgraded to what's we've talked about for days. And what Ray has said for a week+. 10"-14" / 16". * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14 inches, with localized amounts up to 16 inches, are expected. Increasing westerly winds with times with gusts up around 40 mph, downed tree limbs and power outages are possible. You will get crushed, I have 14-20” there. GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 There's zippo room/necessity for criticism toward NWS folks - ...cool it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Never made sense to exclude Boston from blizzard warning vs. other coastal counties 18z NAM... actually looks a tick west of 12z, more like 6z thru 12hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 “Hail Mary full of grace....” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Jumps a bit east at 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 But then harder right after 18 hours so that is further east by 24 hours (compared to 12z run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 This is impossible to really forecast for Ct. I believe there is a chance the best of the deathband just crushes somewhere in that state. Tolland honestly looks juicy down to L.I. Its becoming quite likely this is gonna kick ENE around 38.5-39S of B.M imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 Once this thing occludes it's losing the ability to gain more latitude than longitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Cranking over entire area at 21 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I like 3-6'' GC, 6-10'' Merrimack Valley and ORH area, 8-14'' inside 495...final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Trying to make a last second jog North... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 GYX boosted numbers for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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