CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah signs of a screamer like the 90’s starting to show up to bring her in I also do not think this will be dry. The trough axis is pretty far west, later into the 11-15 day. If anything...huggers could happen when it's that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 18 minutes ago, weathafella said: Especially Midwest which may allow us to be stormier. Yup.core of cold slides Midwest to southeast US. Meaning we storm:snow: ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Full blown winter pattern is all you can say really. Don't know the details yet but it's gone be really cold. Hopefully we can lay down some snow to help allow for some truly deep-winter cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 19 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Hopefully we can lay down some snow to help allow for some truly deep-winter cold. Hopefully it will be cold enough to snow, all we care about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 GFS showing some nice chances after first week. Far off and it’s the GFS but nice to see a busy pattern possibly developing!!Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Latest EPS trough axis is where we want it, along with that the increase in precip is shown. also the departures of -150- 200 in 5h height at such a long range indicate to me they will probably be deeper which of course will be the same throughout the columns. ENS have 3 to 4 inches of liquid downstream from the Great lakes, might be the year I take a LES roadtrip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Question...that ridge over Atlantic. Is that ideally where we want it or more tucked westward?Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 I think we should shoot for a Dec 45, its about time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Serial Humping and snowpack....what the heck is happening in this thread lol.. Waiting for the hammer to drop in about a week. The train is approaching the station, only one stop then straight to weenieville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Moved the coop discussion to banter...we often stray OT at times, but that one was like 30 posts, lol...so moved to there. Back to waiting for the hammer to drop after the 6-7th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 ok, good to see we are back on track to Weenieville lol. What goodies does the GFS at 12z have for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 45 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Waiting for the hammer to drop in about a week. The train is approaching the station, only one stop then straight to weenieville. Let's just hope that dry arctic tundra isn't the first stop on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: ok, good to see we are back on track to Weenieville lol. What goodies does the GFS at 12z have for us? Looks more epo/pna driven. Chance of a Miller B is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Let's just hope that dry arctic tundra isn't the first stop on the line. That will remove some passengers, for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Some fun potential in today’s GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: Some fun potential in today’s GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 29, 2017 Author Share Posted November 29, 2017 Ha ... lovin' the enthusiasm but ... I'd be happy with a 'pattern change' and let's rejoin in a three days and see how the 'hammers' are wieldin' I'm a seasoned veteran of the usage of teleconnectors and as far as the GEFs contribution to this fray is concerned, I have seen bigger signals from them do less than hammers. Which duh, obviously 'hammer' is a subjective term, but, sometimes these signals are overplayed in the runs and something more like a climatological +PNAP look transpires. That might actually not be a bad thing as an after thought. I mean, as is (and you can clearly see this in the 00z GFS operational) there is such a huge gradient between the nadir of that evolving long-wave trough to the surrounding rampart of static heights and or ridging, that the flow ends up to fast ...and well, we've been over that ad nauseam. But, if the flow were to take on more of a 1 or low end 2 standard deviation, we could then get the individual waves in the streams to show a more mechanical presence and that is where your snow storms would come from more proficiently. The 00z run would probably get the job done at some point over that week to 10 days of it, but you'd be threading timing needles and junk. The best way to waste a great look is to over saturate the gradients. But...in fairness to Thor ... I'm not really referring the EPS ... so if those somehow exotic that would be a neat trick; they usually aren't histrionic about these sort of things (it seems...). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Lot of systems to work with in long range 12z GFS beyond Dec. 6th, but would love to see consistency from one of them and work toward it. Feel like LR kept getting more and more wintry with each GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Could be in for a string of over runners to start out with before any big dogs follow off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 I like the fact that at least the storms on the gfs are being more snow than rain. Hopefully this trends only gets better as we go forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Could be in for a string of over runners to start out with before any big dogs follow off the coast. Can we stall a front to our south for once...and ride em up our fannies, that would be a good feeling before the holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Looks like Dryslot was right. Snow starts Dec 7th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Can we stall a front to our south for once...and ride em up our fannies, that would be a good feeling before the holidays. I'm just more intrigued that it looks like we may have the cold remain in place over the holidays which may erase the possibilities of a grinch storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Dryslot said it looked "interesting for that time frame", he didn't say the snow would start...but you just did. Hope you're right...the sooner the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: Could be in for a string of over runners to start out with before any big dogs follow off the coast. I'm still thinking suppression is not the worry...not with that trough axis. Felt that way for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'm still thinking suppression is not the worry...not with that trough axis. Felt that way for awhile. No, I agree, That is a fairly sharp positively tilted trough as the cold air is driven south down to mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Dryslot said it looked "interesting for that time frame", he didn't say the snow would start...but you just did. Hope you're right...the sooner the better. Its an interesting set up as you get an SLP that rides the boundary up the coast but its where that boundary lies is the question is it inland or is it off the coast? But that the one that sets the pattern it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 He did say it. Last night The guy hates me, but look, give credit where credits due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 As been mentioned, Its looks to be fun times going forward at any rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2017 Share Posted November 29, 2017 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He did say it. Last night The guy hates me, but look, give credit where credits due Nobody hates you...but I get it, if he said it last night then yes give him the credit. I just saw him say that time frame looks interesting...and we all know what he means, some potential frozen precip...somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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