psv88 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 The first 15 days of September averaged 54.2 out here. The first 15 days of October averaged 54.2 out here. Not a typo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 This looks nice AO and NAO going negative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 16, 2017 Author Share Posted October 16, 2017 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: where's the big cool down? Models trending stronger with the WAR. Hopefully, this means a good soaking storm tracking along the stalled out front. But I will wait until this is within 120 hrs before getting my hopes up for some actual heavy rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Gfs trending stronger with the cool-down although it looks transient as of now. As depicted by the models, if what they show is how it progresses, the cool down looks very transient, namely PNA and NAO; those are not true blocks setting up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: where's the big cool down? Normal is the new cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Models trending stronger with the WAR. Hopefully, this means a good soaking storm tracking along the stalled out front. But I will wait until this is within 120 hrs before getting my hopes up for some actual heavy rains. Euro shows more storminess towards the end of the run, hopefully we'll get something out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 Current temp is 57 here, looks like a fairly cold night ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 this is a pretty impressive storm signal for the east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 Chilly night on tap. Currently 51°. If we break freezing tonight might cave and turn the heat on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 16, 2017 Author Share Posted October 16, 2017 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Euro shows more storminess towards the end of the run, hopefully we'll get something out of it. Could be a decent storm signal. A piece of the WAR tries to hang east of New England while the trough amplifies over the Ohio Valley and Southeast. Hard to bet against that perma-ridge and near record warm October SST's east of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Could be a decent storm signal. A piece of the WAR tries to hang east of New England while the trough amplifies over the Ohio Valley and Southeast. Hard to bet against that perma-ridge and near record warm October SST's east of New England. the 12z eps has a much stronger ridge south of greenland which is a favorable spot for a big east coast event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 16, 2017 Share Posted October 16, 2017 Down to 51 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 48 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 39/29 here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 43° here. Despite such a warm month so far, I'm pretty much right on track for my first frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Temp down to 47 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 36/29 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 9 minutes ago, snywx said: 36/29 now Walpack nj down to 31f sitting at 37 here. sorta surprised mt holly nws skipped a freeze warning for my county. Valley spots likely to have a freeze. People who left plants out will be disappointed with the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 35/33 with 93% humidity, grass is soaked... could get a solid freeze/frost if we get a bit lower, HRRR and others have already busted on temps up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Current temp is 42 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 41 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 48 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 36° here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 38 with first frost on cars in Hastings on Hudson at 545am. LGA at 620...47. UHI always amazes me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Next 8 still averaging 62degs., or +6degs. This would give us a +7.3degs. for the month by the 25th. At that time we would have a surplus of 12 degrees over the record and 7 days to get rid of it. Last week of Oct. must come in under +2degs., I would say to set monthly record. (+6.8degs. or better) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 Dropped 2° since I last posted. 34.0° currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 17, 2017 Author Share Posted October 17, 2017 11 hours ago, forkyfork said: the 12z eps has a much stronger ridge south of greenland which is a favorable spot for a big east coast event October 20-31st has been prime time for storms here during the 2000's. We seem to usually get some great amplitude to the pattern around this time. Looks like this MJO is near record levels for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 36 here-frost on roof tops and car tops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 38° at sunrise, along with unusually great visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 17, 2017 Share Posted October 17, 2017 43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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