SnowGoose69 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 It looks like the Barbuda NDBC station may already be dead actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: To me, the most populated location that's going to get destroyed is St Martin. They are in the path of the eye itself. Hard to imagine what they will go through tonight and into the morning. I could see it going slightly north of them but they're still going to get hit really hard in the eye wall it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windspeed Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Recent scan. Keep in mind backside echoes not returning well in eastern eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
socar2001 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 I know usually its understood that the northeastern quadrant of a storm is the worst. is that still true with this storm? looks to be equally strong in all quads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: It had to come at some point. I also noticed that it's looking a bit less annular and a bit more like convenctive banding especially on the out edges of the storm I just noticed that. Western side almost seems to be contracting or caving in some. Weird. Eye still looks good and symmetric. I would think land interaction with those tiny islands would do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 10 minutes ago, Upper Level LOL said: ERC most likely underway ERC analysis doesnt show anything significant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, socar2001 said: I know usually its understood that the northeastern quadrant of a storm is the worst. is that still true with this storm? looks to be equally strong in all quads. It's the front right that has the winds + forward speed = max winds. Subtract the forward speed on the left side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Know it's supposed to veer a little north but PR really looks like it could be under the gun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Jaguars said: Know it's supposed to veer a little north but PR really looks like it could be under the gun. I think they're going to be good. That thing is getting real W-NW movement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Microwave is rather impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, socar2001 said: I know usually its understood that the northeastern quadrant of a storm is the worst. is that still true with this storm? looks to be equally strong in all quads. You can't use compass directions. It seems the NE is the worst because we mostly are concerned with hurricanes moving north up the east coast. Think of it as a vehicle you are driving. Look straight ahead and then over at your front seat passenger. You just scanned the strongest quadrant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaguars Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I think they're going to be good. That thing is getting real W-NW movement That's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfgmfg Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 This Air Force plane has made a loop in the eye its last 3 passes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Yea Irma has a good nw jog to it now. Barbuda about to get into some real bad conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WishingForWarmWeather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Raw T# on the steady rise again. Back to 6.8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 161KNOTS SURFACE WINDS IN THE NORTHERN EYEWALL, SO SHOULD BE 185MPH AT 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 161KNOTS SURFACE WINDS IN THE NORTHERN EYEWALL, SO SHOULD BE 185MPH AT 11Wait- didn't we just have 167 knots at the surface just a few minutes ago? Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 The 161kt drop: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 20 minutes ago, jburns said: You can't use compass directions. It seems the NE is the worst because we mostly are concerned with hurricanes moving north up the east coast. Think of it as a vehicle you are driving. Look straight ahead and then over at your front seat passenger. You just scanned the strongest quadrant. On the weather map, how do they model a wife screaming, "If you are going to drive like a manic, let me out of the car right now!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Crazy how Barbuda only 60 miles or so from the eye are only gusting 40kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JasonOH Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Just now, mempho said: Wait- didn't we just have 167 knots at the surface just a few minutes ago? Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk The 167 was 3mb up. It looked like the surface due to how Tropical Tidbits is coded. If there is no surface wind report, the surface pressure does not show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OUGrad05 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Crazy how Barbuda only 60 miles or so from the eye are only gusting 40kts Hmm, very interesting, I suspect that will change. Looks like a touch of dry air on the west has impacted the storm a bit on the western fringes but the core is holding out strong. Those wind speeds will ramp quickly I suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, JasonOH said: The 161kt drop: Holy guacamole to have it on a dropsonde! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Well, they never said it would get to 185 MPH so hard to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larrye Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 49 minutes ago, senc30 said: I was thinking that all GFS runs today had shifted some what east. If that is the case ... and the "shifting" was anything more than "noise", then I stand corrected as far as the GFS is concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 Just now, Coach McGuirk said: Well, they never said it would get to 185 MPH so hard to say. That graph is in knots, so 160 knots is 185 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, OUGrad05 said: Hmm, very interesting, I suspect that will change. Looks like a touch of dry air on the west has impacted the storm a bit on the western fringes but the core is holding out strong. Those wind speeds will ramp quickly I suspect. that station stopped reporting a while ago. Looks to have gone offline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted September 6, 2017 Share Posted September 6, 2017 The 167 was 3mb up. It looked like the surface due to how Tropical Tidbits is coded. If there is no surface wind report, the surface pressure does not show up.3 mb is very close to 10 meters (isn't maximum sustained winds supposed to be a 10m, 10 second sustained wind measurement? Question is, you drop two sondes, wouldn't you take the higher one because you're trying to sample the maximum 10 second sustained wind? Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.