MJO812 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: The problem with the GFS is the lack of inflow. It's basically a ribbon of strong frontogenesis. On top of that, you have Bruce Willis NW winds at 850. So only a narrow area get the goods as modeled. Still better than being squashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Pretty good start at 12z, follows 6z gefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Man that NAM para is a nuke with pretty heavy snow for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Still better than being squashed Eh, we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The problem with the GFS is the lack of inflow. It's basically a ribbon of strong frontogenesis. That's essentially my expectation for this: an Arctic front with a meso low or two riding along it. Thing is though it could result in some really impressive rates in a narrow swath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Eh, we'll see. Lets see if the Euro comes on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Trend will be fairly meaningless if it doesn't continue, but the 12z runs are definitely sharper with the clipper trough. The vortmax responsible for it is still just offshore, so hopefully we'll get one more good bump at 00z when it starts to come onshore. Still fairly skeptical of it to produce more than nuisance snow, but there's just enough time left to try and get it into something shovelable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Suppression is real, To bad, The weekend system would be a nice event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, dryslot said: Suppression is real, To bad, The weekend system would be a nice event. Weekend system actually looks worse than the clipper at this point...but too early to completely give up on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weekend system actually looks worse than the clipper at this point...but too early to completely give up on it. This run its does, That's pretty impressive cold over New England this weekend, If that one does not work, Maybe the follow up one on Tues next week will, Would be a shame to waste these threats being cold and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 This run its does, That's pretty impressive cold over New England this weekend, If that one does not work, Maybe the follow up one on Tues next week will, Would be a shame to waste these threats being cold and dry.I honestly think the period middle of next week offers us fringed folks the best chance, that's if you're into March snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 This reminds me of the Feb storm. We torched for a day or 2, then the cold front.. then the S/W blew up and models played catch-up on it in each successive run . Almost the same set up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, Hazey said: I honestly think the period middle of next week offers us fringed folks the best chance, that's if you're into March snows. I'm a snowpack guy and we are getting into the time of year where that's not going to be a reality, Still have full coverage here but getting thin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 I'm a snowpack guy and we are getting into the time of year where that's not going to be a reality, Still have full coverage here but getting thin.Likewise. Atleast if we get whiffed, we won't be throwing tantrums like some of the melters did in here yesterday. I know I won't as I'll finish above seasonal even if another storm doesn't materialize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Don't look now GEM is an absolute bomb at hr 150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Just now, jbenedet said: Don't look now GEM is an absolute bomb at hr 150. I already looked :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Not many s/w's that the ggem doesn't like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 minutes ago, Hazey said: Likewise. Atleast if we get whiffed, we won't be throwing tantrums like some of the melters did in here yesterday. I know I won't as I'll finish above seasonal even if another storm doesn't materialize. We had a historic 7 day run here, Unfortunately, We had a 2 week period of warmth that followed it to tarnish it though, I will end up well above avg on the season here, But if these next ones don't work out, Well, They don't work out, Its not like the Jan-Feb period where we build the pack and would be wasting these opportunity's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Gross Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Two things to like today. 1) Friday's Clipper is looking juicier. 2) I actually think the Canadian's solution for next week isn't that outlandish with the way the Ukie and Euro are also crushing the energy with the second wave. If that gets trapped down south over the weekend and then waits for the third wave which comes out of the Plains early next week, there's a decent chance they hook up somewhere along the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 12 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Don't look now GEM is an absolute bomb at hr 150. Ukie is close Cmc and Ukie trended north with wave 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 GEFS are pretty far north still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Ukie looks pretty ominous at 144hr too...but that's a ways out obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS are pretty far north still. Euro is the last model left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 43 minutes ago, dryslot said: This run its does, That's pretty impressive cold over New England this weekend, If that one does not work, Maybe the follow up one on Tues next week will, Would be a shame to waste these threats being cold and dry. No use for cold and dry this late in the year. Nobody wants a second pond ice season. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 21 minutes ago, Matthew Gross said: Two things to like today. 1) Friday's Clipper is looking juicier. 2) I actually think the Canadian's solution for next week isn't that outlandish with the way the Ukie and Euro are also crushing the energy with the second wave. If that gets trapped down south over the weekend and then waits for the third wave which comes out of the Plains early next week, there's a decent chance they hook up somewhere along the east coast. Welcome aboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: No use for cold and dry this late in the year. Nobody wants a second pond ice season. Lol No use in the southern areas and here but would extend the season in the mountains and up north as far as winter activities go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Snowy next 10 days for SNE . Nice way to finish out the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 49 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This reminds me of the Feb storm. We torched for a day or 2, then the cold front.. then the S/W blew up and models played catch-up on it in each successive run . Almost the same set up here Actually I feel like this scenario is eerily similar to early January. Not sure how the actual upper levels compared...I just remember we had that weak wave followed by a Miller A. Things looked decent 6-7 days out, then everything trended south and mostly everyone gave up on them...then they ended up trending north in the final 72 hours and gave most of us south of the Pike a couple decent hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: SREFs have a KU yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 7, 2017 Share Posted March 7, 2017 Wednesday night and Thursday watch for squalls and Windex and some hefty upslope in the Greens too, clipper has come north, have to watch that, Sunday is a southern Belle but all eyes on the Ides for a phaser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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