Typhoon Tip Posted March 5, 2017 Share Posted March 5, 2017 Hey gang - I figure 50 + pages and somewhere over 1,500 blogs entries is probably long enough to completely evade any hope of cogency in a din topical vectors (particularly when that thread starts attracting random alcoholics' unique and cutting edge insights into the functional usefulness of forecast philosophies..), that someone should go ahead and fire up a new one. Hopefully, with some semblance of getting back to a nice place to posit thoughts for those that like the exchange of wisdom and insights because ...well, beyond learning it's just fun. By the way, if anyone wants a regimented forecast that badly, I would suggest you start a thread titled: "Meteorologists (red tag): please enter your forecast in High, Low, cloud coverage and precipitation format. Feel free to enter winds in mph." And then ask that Moderation limit conjecture of any kind in said thread. Otherwise, no one is getting paid to contribute here? You are not owed anything. If you want a point-and-click forecast that is different than the ones totally free to the public put out by your tax dollars at work, via the NWS, you can expand upon the resources of this site, appeal to the generosity of the contributor Mets and I am sure some will oblige. ... Okay, so, with teh WPO nearing historic lows as an index, I'd be a little concerned that the Pacific doesn't break rather abruptly toward an Alaskan ridge... mid month-ish. Things have been rather inharmonious all winter, sometimes having conflicting teleconnector mass-field indicators vying for proxy ...and what suffers? The models... It seems the the resolution of all models, even all mighty Euro, are just not resolved finite enough to ride the razor edge in that chaos, and end up picking one side (this is a metaphor ) and then flopping all weight on that side. I suspect that conceptual truth there also forces the faux consistency and a seemingly troublesome base-line state. I can seem to detect one... It really appears like the whole hemisphere, particularly on our side is like an unmanned fire-hose, spraying solutions all over the place. ..'nother metaphor. Hyperbole aside, the WPO could anchor things if that scale/degree of negative SD really gets achieved... it should transmit down wind (eventually) over the next week to 10 days...2 weeks. Not surprising, we are seeing some cold loading into the Canadian shield... and some -EPO ... I don't believe the present modeled solution(s) re that feature (however) are really related to the aforementioned -WPO... but that could re-inforce that - supposition/speculation and deliberately NOT A FORECAST just for all people presently imbibing with a sadly state of life affairs looking to chaff non-suspecting people with their negative bullschit. I don't really have a present idea on the end of the work week deal - I think Will and Scott have that under control (ha). But, I suspect that is a reall with more than 70 % personal confidence. All 12 primary GEF members have it. The Euro does... and the EPS. And, it's really D4.5 because it's D4 for Wisconsin and the structure of the flow et al means that whatever is there on D4 is definitely not disappearing/falling victim to morphologies before it gets here in a multi-contoured uber fast flow. That flow structure is like iron railway. Gradient can giveth - not just take away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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