dryslot Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Probably not far enough, Quite a difference in the way the follow up wave was handled from the 12z Euro yesterday to the 0z run last night in one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 The follow up wave on Thursday is a separate wave than the cut off system that eventually forms east of Florida. Several energetic disturbances run through the flow Thursday, needs to be watched for amplitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 In this pattern we take what we can get. I hope the late week system pans out but in this winter snow chances need to be begged and borrowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: I thought it looked pretty good with that trof sharpening up like that. Remember BSR, just keep it in the back of the mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 February 1967 look for Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: February 1967 look for Thursday. Feb 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: February 1967 look for Thursday. Was that the Lindsay storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Feb 2016 I like 50 year anniversaries better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: Was that the Lindsay storm? No. Lindsay was February 1969. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 06z GEFS pretty robust with that late week storm. >0.50 over SE areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 gefs looks good for warning snows late week in w sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justaroofer Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 looking back a few days, its been really impressive to read typhoon tips thoughts and observations on this system. not to mention his ability to not allow his emotions to get in the way of reality. not to mention his abstaining from declaring reality before it actually happens. thank you Typhoon. for keeping it real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 12z GFS probably will not be like 06z based from what I see at H5. 6z GFS had some weird crazy s/w in the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Doesn't look like 12z will be as good for the follow up wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 More of a James special that run. Still there though and that's the main take away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Doesn't look like 12z will be as good for the follow up wave It's not an easy setup as I alluded to earlier this morning. Doesn't mean it can't happen..but the flow needs to slow a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's not an easy setup as I alluded to earlier this morning. Doesn't mean it can't happen..but the flow needs to slow a bit. I hear ya... definitey low probability. Right now I'd probably favor a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2017 Author Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 hour ago, weathafella said: No. Lindsay was February 1969. Jer' ...do you have the dates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, White Rain said: GFS brings low end warning snows into the northern half of ORH county, including here for Tuesday. Wonder if there is any chance of that panning out. Don't forget Tropical Tidbits counts sleet as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Don't forget Tropical Tidbits counts sleet as snow Right now the profiles favor FRZRA rather than sleet, after the flip from snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 I think the Thurs event has a good shot at coming further north than the 12z GFS. It looks too robust with the Tuesday storm, which acts to shift the Baroclinic zone too far to the SE. I think the fast flow will continue to be a hinderance but we should get help from a weaker system on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 15 minutes ago, White Rain said: I was using the pivotal weather maps. Not sure if they do as well? Good call. I still am not sure we get that much. But I will try to be optimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 24 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Jer' ...do you have the dates? Memory says 2/9/69 for Lindsay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Memory says 2/9/69 for Lindsay. Yup. 2/8-2/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Meh.... the GFS is basically a brush for James for the second system... Canadian doesn't even look like it has anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Meh.... the GFS is basically a brush for James for the second system... Canadian doesn't even look like it has anything not sure why cmc gets discussed as frequently as it does, its a garbage piece of guidance. with that said, thur is far from a lock in either direction. Would like to see the euro get on it today though otherwise its a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2017 Author Share Posted February 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Memory says 2/9/69 for Lindsay. Heh, meant the other one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh, meant the other one Im thinking 2/6/67? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 17 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I think the Thurs event has a good shot at coming further north than the 12z GFS. It looks too robust with the Tuesday storm, which acts to shift the Baroclinic zone too far to the SE. I think the fast flow will continue to be a hinderance but we should get help from a weaker system on Tuesday. yea, the euro has been trending away from the wrapped primary on tue and as it does it starts to develop the thur wave ..but its just not there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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