CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Winter cancel...what a bummer. I can see it now, another 2-3 weeks of meh and it will be back to a Morch Kevin this year. Nah, after any cutter he'll find a day 10 storm. Hopefully the PNA ridging helps us out during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Sounds like Debruary approaching in here. Back to back ratters in the favored spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah, after any cutter he'll find a day 10 storm. Hopefully the PNA ridging helps us out during that time. Ah.. the always promised hopes of a + PNA. Good to hang hat on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Back to back ratters in the favored spots? I had a decent Dec, but January will end up worse than last year...lol. I think I'm around 30" right now? I'll have to update my sig when I get home although it'll need to be updated after the inverted flake tomorrow anyways. I deserve some regression from the late 00s/early 10s so in some strange, sadistic way back-to-back ratters just feels right. I'm due for a lousy Feb too as you can tell by my sig. My 10 year mean is well above the norm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ah.. the always promised hopes of a + PNA. Good to hang hat on Congrats on melting. Just role with it and stop getting emotional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 LOL time for the toaster bath with the way it looks now for next week. Another failed winter here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 I know the season is overall going to be garbage. But if we got 1 big blizzard sometime in February or March I could live with that. Fwiw cohen thinks east cold/trough will return later month into march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Just now, Powderboy413 said: I know the season is overall going to be garbage. But if we got 1 big blizzard sometime in February or March I could live with that. Fwiw cohen thinks east cold/trough will return later month into march HAHAHHAHAHAHAHA. I've been hearing that sh*t from that hack since December 2015. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats on melting. Just role with it and stop getting emotional. Lol wait until the Euros 65/58 hits day 9, the burly men (women) posts will be flying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats on melting. Just role with it and stop getting emotional. Winter thaw and meltdown been taking place all season down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HAHAHHAHAHAHAHA. I've been hearing that sh*t from that hack since December 2015. lol..Every "10 days" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Back to back ratters in the favored spots? Could be it seems...I resist being pulled back in but also know a lot can happen in a short period, especially far interior. Not only back to back ratters, but also I think 4 comparative disappointments in a row compared to other nearby areas. No real long stretch of winter and snow in more than 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats on melting. Just role with it and stop getting emotional. you are a fountain of man-motions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 49 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: I know the season is overall going to be garbage. But if we got 1 big blizzard sometime in February or March I could live with that. Fwiw cohen thinks east cold/trough will return later month into march I agree with you....Just give us one big ONE at some point...and then Spring can come and we put this hum-drum winter to bed for good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31, 2017 Author Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully we can get those 564 thicknesses on some of those runs. This is what I was thinking, too.. I mean, if it's going to be that bad, let's get this thing to really be THAT bad... Maybe we can fatten up buds in March again like we did back in 2012? But yeah, what a winter enthusiastic will-breaker those 00z runs were, pretty much across the board, huh - .. I have this image of slack jawed, stoned faced horror drawn upon the face of the innocent morning coffee sipper. Maybe one tear rolls. It's hard to believe that was not done deliberately as some cruel Schadenfreude, eh? Many Mets were "hopeful" (if that's the right word) for February... last night's 00z operational runs could not have been more diametrically opposed. We can't lose out the first 10 days of the shortest month in the annum to 55 F DP warm sectors and call that a win, no. Yeah, not sure I fully buy that though. That's a pretty aggressive alteration for such a tremendously large amount of Hemispheric circulation mass. That's like completely abolishing the previous dynamic, erasing that white board, and redrafting a whole new paradigm completely from scratch...in a single operational run. Yet, the GEFs derivatives don't support it, either. They are steadfast in their regime change in the Pac N/A mode. Interesting. One thing I did notice over at CPC's public products, the MJO is suddenly turtle-heading in late Phase 3 or early 4, and then gaining strength through 5 ... into 6 and so forth. That's actually a warm signal? I almost wonder if "too much" emphasis hit the operationals like a ton when that particular contribution might have crossed some threshold of registry ...Sort of like 'knee jerk' reaction, risking anthropomorphism. In any case, these next runs over the next 24 hours will be interesting to see if that has legs. As for those whose hopes and dreams were crushed and shattered like a poorly timed blithe joke by an unrepentant sociopath ...and your rollin' out post that throw hands and pack it in this, and designating crap that... Just keep in mind, there are several winters in lore going back a couple hundred years worth where the lion's share of the given winters snow totals happened from March 1 to April 10 or so... We realize that this particular subject matter has this incredible impenetrable wall of inconsolable lead when it comes to the radiation of hope ... but, one, this needs some continuity; two, the GEFs, albeit not quite as skillful as the EPS doesn't agree ( EPS?) ; three, it is only January 31; four, folks seem to actually embrace the dystopia of this sort of thing as much as they dream of it's reflection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully we can get those 564 thicknesses on some of those runs. Right to the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 15 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: you are a fountain of man-motions I'm like the terminator. I have no emotion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 It is almost time to post the countdown to winter 2017-2018 thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, eyewall said: It is almost time to post the countdown to winter 2017-2018 thread. Well, there is always our scintillating severe season to look forward to. Maybe you and I can go two full years w/o a warning event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Only thing to look forward to after this event is a HHH summer which all the long range guys are high on. Hopefully spring isn't cold Who is calling for a HHH summer in January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Well, there is always our scintillating severe season to look forward to. Maybe you and I can go two full years w/o a warning event? I think it is highly probable. BTV reaches 2 years this next week essentially. BTV's departure is now -15.1 inches on the season to date. We have only had 8 inches more of snow this year than last year at this point (28.6" on the season thus far). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Who is calling for a HHH summer in January? lol. We can barely get 10 days out let alone seal the deal on long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: As for those whose hopes and dreams were crushed and shattered like a poorly timed blithe joke by an unrepentant sociopath ...and your rollin' out post that throw hands and pack it in this, and designating crap that... Just keep in mind, there are several winters in lore going back a couple hundred years worth where the lion's share of the given winters snow totals happened from March 1 to April 10 or so... We realize that this particular subject matter has this incredible impenetrable wall of inconsolable lead when it comes to the radiation of hope ... but, I know that March and April can produce snow, and sometimes prodigiously, but here in the lower half of the Champlain Valley, the last three years have been nearly zilch March and April 2014: 4.3 inches, 2.0 inches March and April 2015: 0, 1.7 inches March and April 2016: 0.2 inches, 3.2 inches I see no evidence that this year will be any different. I'd like to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31, 2017 Author Share Posted January 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, ApacheTrout said: I know that March and April can produce snow, and sometimes prodigiously, but here in the lower half of the Champlain Valley, the last three years have been nearly zilch March and April 2014: 4.3 inches, 2.0 inches March and April 2015: 0, 1.7 inches March and April 2016: 0.2 inches, 3.2 inchesI see no evidence that this year will be any different. I'd like to be wrong. Where would one be looking for such evidences for March 10 on January 31st - ... just curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Where would one be looking for such evidences for March 10 on January 31st - ... just curious At the bottom of a crack pipe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ApacheTrout Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Where would one be looking for such evidences for March 10 on January 31st - ... just curious Something that would indicate this year's pattern is different than cutters or suppression. That's what I'd be looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: If you actually looked at ensembles and not an op run you'd see it. Instead of some weenies talking about rainstorms on the coast Look again. It looks cutterish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 24 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: lol. We can barely get 10 days out let alone seal the deal on long range. I'm surprised your snow blower hasn't tried to eat you due to neglect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31, 2017 Author Share Posted January 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, ApacheTrout said: Something that would indicate this year's pattern is different than cutters or suppression. That's what I'd be looking for. Heeeh, no - that bit of sophistry doesn't sound very convincing to those who choose an analytical approach to reality, and by pure proxy of the scientific method...are compelled to keep an open mind to possibilities. "Something" doesn't mean anything in logic (let's start there) because if you don't know what you are looking for (by use of 'something') how are you going to know when you've found it? Now...just it's okay my friend. Ur pissed off and annoyed that the pattern expectation we (might have) grown accustomed to believing was in route just got dashed and smoked. I know the sensation - I'm not saying I'm above. But let's just call it what it is, 'I'm annoyed', nod in understanding, and move on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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