jbenedet Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 12 minutes ago, JC-CT said: -PNA? Yea good catch. Looks closer to neutral but my comment above still holds true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Yea good catch. Looks closer to neutral but my comment above still holds true. Well, depends on what model you're looking at. The latest Euro certainly looks more PNA neutral than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: the Euro actually looks like a prolonged icing event in lala range SWFE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Euro has been pretty bad day 7 on as of late. I don't trust it like I used too. Not saying the GFS is right either, but the Euro isn't the longer range guru(day 6 plus) it once was imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: Well the pattern looks ok for snow. If we don't have anything to show for it in 2 weeks I'd say pack it in. Of course that's what we said in 1960.... Agreed...said the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Euro in clown range is snow to a prolonged icing deal...even for not-typical icing areas...like right into Boston That is a pretty beastly high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Euro in clown range is snow to a prolonged icing deal...even for not-typical icing areas...like right into Boston That is a pretty beastly high. with that high in place would not doubt if this evolves under us as was the case first week of Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro in clown range is snow to a prolonged icing deal...even for not-typical icing areas...like right into Boston That is a pretty beastly high. Keep cooling ssts in mean time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro in clown range is snow to a prolonged icing deal...even for not-typical icing areas...like right into Boston That is a pretty beastly high. Yup. It's a winter storm to the coast. High in great position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 it at least looks fairly active moving forward towards next weekend and beyond. Definitey can see how this could be another period of chances with little to show though. CMC and Euro being rather unimpressive for the Sunday Monday deal next week makes me believe the GFS may be too ambitious. On top of that... in lala range... the CMC has a massive wound up cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 The CMC sucks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Keep cooling ssts in mean time... EPS is not impressed, pretty meh and cutterish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS is not impressed, pretty meh and cutterish This is definitely becoming a more real possibility. the GFS at 18z now looks completely different for the super bow even and not really in a good way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This is definitely becoming a more real possibility. the GFS at 18z now looks completely different for the super bow even and not really in a good way when the GFS is alone its usually not a good sign, disturbance comes through but the organized deep coastal is being shattered at this time, can come back , decent energy. Long ways to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 I really hope people weren't; expecting a big storm out of the Monday storm next week. It's always looked like a light-moderate event. If you want a big storm this winter..you're likely going to be disappointed. Enjoy events like tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 150 hours out for the SB storm...in another 2 days, we can probably start looking at model guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Will there is a strong northern stream shortwave on the GFS at hour 104 the 4th of February, this isn't our super bowl storm energy, it is a different shortwave, could this trend favorably for our region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Most models have this shortwave with a surface reflection developing off of Cape Hatteras, NC. What would it take for this system to come more up the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 150 hours out for the SB storm...in another 2 days, we can probably start looking at model guidance. Clearly you are incorrect. We can look at model guidance starting at hour 384. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2017 Share Posted January 30, 2017 Speaking of which, check out the IVT at hour 384 on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 I think what scott said last week is very informative...he said this isn't the type of pattern/set up, that is going to sniff out a major storm way in advance, and hold on to it for a week. If there is a major storm anywhere in our future, it will more than likely pop up at shorter lead times. Ill take 2-3 inches tomorrow, and enjoy it. Although, I would enjoy one major storm this season for all of SNE, before we close the door on the winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 NAM wants the initial wave of low pressure for the weekend storm to start coming through the US in 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 James...you do realize how bad the NAM is out that far, don't you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: James...you do realize how bad the NAM is out that far, don't you? I just question if this is our system in doubt, or is it something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 I don't think the NAM knows what that is, cuz it's the NAM at 84hrs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 It is a separate piece of northern stream energy I believe that skirts off the Hatteras, NC coastline on the GFS at hour 120. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 I like the strong shortwave that moves through the MId Atlantic states from the 4-5th of FEB, our storm of significance is from the 5-6th, right behind the lead shortwave. It is quite healthy, but is crushed by the confluence to the north over New England and ends up with a storm way out to sea. All models have this lead shortwave in the northern stream, our storm for Monday is actually the cut off low pressure center over the NE Pacific ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 Couple of epic Rainers on the long range GFS... looks ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Couple of epic Rainers on the long range GFS... looks ugly Not to worried about it. It's been flipping around a lot lately. Until stratosphere components are figured out I wouldn't look past 120hrs. Keep calm and move on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 All right I gave it a couple days but I'm back to PORKED......total rain out seems as usual this season.....wut a joke.... TOTALLY PORKED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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