40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 First Call: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 22 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Tomorrow night? Isnt it supposed to be progress by then? Yes....oops, tmw. Dnt anticipate much change- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: First Call: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Well done, Ray. Your growth in knowledge and its application is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 10 hours ago, tamarack said: Over the past 3-4 days this event has (for my area) progressed thru: RA - RA starting as ZR - IP/ZR/RA - Rain/snow mix - mostly paste - all snow - am I too far north? Whatever the end, it will be better than the start of that string. Edit: Only need to get more than 2" to move ahead of last winter's total. Numerous maps on this thread are answering this morning's question affirmatively - may not even get that 2" if the south trend continues. Should get out of the January cellar - only need 0.9" to pass 2014's futility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 I agree Ray. You've become one of the most knowledgeable hobbyists on the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 NAM is way south. Turning into meh up here as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: NAM is way south. Turning into meh up here as usual. Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Nam pretty weak as well, Backed off on total qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nam pretty weak as well, Backed off on total qpf Yeah a NAM solution is more disorganized and nobody would get warning criteria out of that I don;t think. Not with those rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 RGEM in a half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah a NAM solution is more disorganized and nobody would get warning criteria out of that I don;t think. Not with those rates. Yeah its awful warm in the low levels from ORH-LWM, despite being pretty chilly at 925. Better lift would help Im sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Huh. QPF was slightly higher for BOS though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2017 Author Share Posted January 17, 2017 Storm does a neat semi fujiwara thing after leaving here on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 RGEM is tougher for the 128 crowd. Really keeps the BL too marginal. It really hits ORH county hard and Berkshires with warning criteria...6-8" there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is tougher for the 128 crowd. Really keeps the BL too marginal. It really hits ORH county hard and Berkshires with warning criteria...6-8" there. I thought in all of New England it was an mpm jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is tougher for the 128 crowd. Really keeps the BL too marginal. It really hits ORH county hard and Berkshires with warning criteria...6-8" there. Yes it looks like it follows 495 to 291 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Just now, weathafella said: I thought in all of New England it was an mpm jack. Hunchie to Weenie Ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Hunchie to Weenie Ridge When in doubt, always go with ORH Co for a jackpot. Usually works out more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 East wind kills Ray's area on the RGEM surface gets to 35, all other layers are below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 RGEM snow qpf: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: When in doubt, always go with ORH Co for a jackpot. Usually works out more often than not. You 3 to 5 with .23 ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: East wind kills Ray's area on the RGEM surface gets to 35, all other layers are below freezing. Such a tight gradient. If model is underplaying ageo flow even by like 10 degrees of direction then it could change things a lot for his area. I'm always a little skeptical of rain away from immediate coast when 925 is like -3 or -4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Such a tight gradient. If model is underplaying ageo flow even by like 10 degrees of direction then it could change things a lot for his area. I'm always a little skeptical of rain away from immediate coast when 925 is like -3 or -4. Yep nail biter, it is a damn cold tuckee right above his swollen head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You 3 to 5 with .23 ice Hoping me 4-6" no ice. .23" ice would be no power here for a few hours at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yep nail biter, it is a damn cold tuckee right above his swollen head This run is BS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 925mb through mid levels so cold, it isn't raining this far inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 925 are not thaaat cold. 0Z RGEM Red Flag for 128-495 So much for a perfectly positioned High.... I am not confident at this point in a rain storm for LWM but we NEED euro to hold serve with LIFT and COLD NE TUCK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 925 are not thaaat cold. 0Z RGEM Red Flag for 128-495 So much for a perfectly positioned High.... I am not confident at this point in a rain storm for LWM but we NEED euro to hold serve with LIFT and COLD NE TUCK -2C is cold enough, imo.....-4 H85. Maybe I'm wrong, but I see at least a good 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: -2C is cold enough, imo.....-4 H85. Maybe I'm wrong, but I see at least a good 2-3". Euro damn,looks good Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2017 Share Posted January 17, 2017 EURO trended a bit south and less dynamic. Better for inside of rt 128 and n CT/RI, worse elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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