BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 hour ago, Jonathan said: There is no ledge, I live here at the bottom. If more of you joined me, you'd be less uptight. Seriously though. Fab FEB. Book it. I live at 3500', so I'll stay here up top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said: I live at 3500', so I'll stay here up top. And we've probably seen the same amount of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 hour ago, Jonathan said: Sooooo you're chasing after a D14-16 GFS fantasy storm? See, this is what I mean. It IS bad. And it's really not craziness to say with some degree of confidence that the pattern is not currently, and probably will not become, conducive to a winter storm in the southeast for at least 2 weeks. Even JB, the biggest snow and cold hypeman on the planet (the equivalent of Mystikal in hip hop) is saying pack it up til at least mid-JAN. THAT'S how you know we're not in a good spot. You never know, there are a few cold blasts coming around New Years and a few days later! Could be something pop up with only 2 days out on a stalled boundary! You don't get wall to wall cold, even in VA, so we just have to hope! It's happened with rain a few times this fall already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 I don't know why everybody gets so disappointed. We should expect a decent winter once or twice a decade with the way the climate has warmed. In 2013 when the southeast had a decent winter and Boston had all the snow, the east coast was one of two small regions that were below normal for the entire northern hemisphere. The chances of any full month being below normal are about 10-15% mathematically speaking. Expect nothing and maybe somebody will get lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, mackerel_sky said: You never know, there are a few cold blasts coming around New Years and a few days later! Could be something pop up with only 2 days out on a stalled boundary! You don't get wall to wall cold, even in VA, so we just have to hope! It's happened with rain a few times this fall already I know this. But having cold without snow is like having a great regular season record in a sport, then choking in the playoffs. We are the Peyton Manning of U.S. winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 minute ago, Jonathan said: I know this. But having cold without snow is like having a great regular season record in a sport, then choking in the playoffs. We are the Peyton Manning of U.S. winter! As long as the NC mountains can blow snow on the slopes, all that matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 7 minutes ago, Jonathan said: And we've probably seen the same amount of snow. I'll take my chances for the season however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 27 minutes ago, Jonathan said: I know this. But having cold without snow is like having a great regular season record in a sport, then choking in the playoffs. We are the Peyton Manning of U.S. winter! Or last years Panthers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 2 hours ago, Jonathan said: Nothing in the foreseeable future looks conducive to winter weather. Yeah sure, we may get a 1-2 day transient block in early JAN before the trough shifts back to the west where it's been all year. Everything that would help us get snow is transient, and the systems never match up with the cold. As it sits, for at least the next 2 weeks, the only way we get a storm is if we get a PERFECTLY timed storm track underneath a PERFECTLY timed high pressure system for a CAD event. And something like that would be a mixed bag with temp issues at best. Gonna have to count on FEB for like the 4th winter in a row now... This is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 In more positive news, Wx Bell now has P-TYPE MAPS FOR THE EURO! This is pretty exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 5 minutes ago, Jonathan said: In more positive news, Wx Bell now has P-TYPE MAPS FOR THE EURO! This is pretty exciting! We don't need that to track rain,so it's useless for us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, mackerel_sky said: We don't need that to track rain,so it's useless for us! It'll be fun for the fantasy clunkers though. It's always fun being under the fantasy D10 comma head! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 15 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: We don't need that to track rain,so it's useless for us! Last time I checked we are still in a drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 One more model run before Christmas! Will it be a lump of coal or a Christmas miracle! Good luck and Merry Christmas to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, No snow for you said: Last time I checked we are still in a drought. Check with Shetley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 hour ago, Jonathan said: I know this. But having cold without snow is like having a great regular season record in a sport, then choking in the playoffs. We are the Peyton Manning of U.S. winter! But I'll take a good regular season and a post-season egg over a crappy regular season any time. Believe me, as a Gamecock fan I know not to take a good or even decent season for granted - I'll take whatever I can get! Good thing the season just started 3 days ago While frustrating, I do think we should all relax just a bit. GSP has only been completely blanked one time in a 130+ years, and NC peeps never have been. Though certainly possible, it would be difficult indeed to come up completely empty handed. We'll have a few chances, we're just going to have to take our medicine, put our big boy or girl pants on, and accept that the West is going to have a much better year this year than the East, as has been the dominant December pattern; unless we see some big changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 1 hour ago, packbacker said: Atlantic is just boiling, I guess it shouldn't be a surprise we are seeing such a strong Atlantic ridge being modeled. Hopefully that weakens as we get deeper into a winter. That could also help a developing low(..remember Burger's BOOM!). Also something JB said years back; cold loves to go towards the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 9 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: But I'll take a good regular season and a post-season egg over a crappy regular season any time. Believe me, as a Gamecock fan I know not to take a good or even decent season for granted - I'll take whatever I can get! As a State fan, I wouldn't know the first thing about how to take a great regular season or a strong run in the playoffs. I'll settle for flurries at this point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, FallsLake said: That could also help a developing low(..remember Burger's BOOM!). Also something JB said years back; cold loves to go towards the heat. Then we should be freezing soon! We've had more hot days than cool, the whole fall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 9 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: But I'll take a good regular season and a post-season egg over a crappy regular season any time. Believe me, as a Gamecock fan I know not to take a good or even decent season for granted - I'll take whatever I can get! Good thing the season just started 3 days ago While frustrating, I do think we should all relax just a bit. GSP has only been completely blanked one time in a 130+ years, and NC peeps never have been. Though certainly possible, it would be difficult indeed to come up completely empty handed. We'll have a few chances, we're just going to have to take our medicine, put our big boy or girl pants on, and accept that the West is going to have a much better year this year than the East, as has been the dominant December pattern; unless we see some big changes. That just amazes me how NC can be that far south and not one single year have they been blanked. I can understand the mountains never being blanked, but the lower elevations also ? Eventually it's going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Then we should be freezing soon! We've had more hot days than cool, the whole fall! We just need a half way decent pattern to get established. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 It's coming Guys just a little longer!! Merry Christmas to all you weather freaks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 4 minutes ago, FallsLake said: We just need a half way decent pattern to get established. Come April, we'll have all the blocking we want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 Just now, Cold Rain said: Come April, we'll have all the blocking we want. Lol...seems that's what tends to happen. I still think we'll score a nice storm or two this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 3 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Lol...seems that's what tends to happen. I still think we'll score a nice storm or two this year. Agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 14 minutes ago, Snowless in Carrollton said: That just amazes me how NC can be that far south and not one single year have they been blanked. I can understand the mountains never being blanked, but the lower elevations also ? Eventually it's going to happen. Lower elevations definitely have. I am from near Fayetteville and I can remember at least one year in the mid 90's where I didn't see one iota of frozen precip; not one flake or even and ice pellet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 14 minutes ago, Cary_Snow95 said: There is potential between the 7-9. So much doom and gloom. We go thru this craziness every year it's silly Silly on both sides. Silly because looking at model runs 14 days out and trying to pretend they mean something is, well, silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 33 minutes ago, FallsLake said: I still think we'll score a nice storm or two this year. There will be 4 "nice" storms this (next) year - Harvey, Katia, Philippe and Sean. Starting in August and going until October. Please call me when the action starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 The op runs continue to go in the wrong direction. They are only right when they show warmth. And it's warm way into the long range. Bah humbug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 25, 2016 Share Posted December 25, 2016 It's frickin' Christmas Eve - why the heck are we on here? (For me - have to get Santa out once the smallest ones get to bed - but I wonder about this addiction ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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