weathafella Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 That's some serious cold Boxing Day night on the euro and ridiculously cold lurking nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well it's already better than 00z It isn't though. Some of you need to take off the weenie goggles. Maybe it improves, but it's not really a pattern to do so at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 in any event. a key 'table set' circumstance i'm seeing in this run (also) is that between 96 and 120 hours ... prior to the trough coming east out of the west, the heights over the Gulf interface are lowering. Heights over MIA are down to 580 dm, and the corresponding wind velocities are light... that means, however transient notwithstanding, the ridge is relaxed. in simple terms: that's a good thing. should the southern 'weak looking' mechanics come in stronger in future runs, that type of morphology lends to less shearing in the SE ... which would help the Miller B idea along - I don't think we can preclude that stronger trough correction in that region just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Word. He's developing some excellent trolling capabilities. Comes with 100,000 posts. Fingers furiously flipping posts out in a frantic final drive to 100k. Special moment . I had a thread for it which they moved to OT for some reason. Should be here in our forum for everyone to take part in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 Id def still watch it for interior SNE next week. I'd rather be in NNE for that one right now but it's not all that far fetched for interior areas further south to get snow on that. Need a minor correction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Id def still watch it for interior SNE next week. I'd rather be in NNE for that one right now but it's not all that far fetched for interior areas further south to get snow on that. Need a minor correction. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 i'm surprised no one commented on the GGEMs 1 solid foot of icing on D 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 17, 2016 Share Posted December 17, 2016 This one on the 23rd ish might sprout legs. I'd watch it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 13 hours ago, Hazey said: This one on the 23rd ish might sprout legs. I'd watch it. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk No sprouts yet. It appears my forecast and the AFD were not done by the same person: Thursday into Thursday night... Pretty much wet and windy. Pac Thursday Snow and rain likely. Highs in the upper 30s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Thursday Night Snow...rain...sleet likely with a chance of freezing rain. Lows in the upper 20s. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Friday Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow. Highs in the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 That's the most depressing AFD long term from BOX ever written. All he talks about is warm and wet as far as the eye can see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That's the most depressing AFD long term from BOX ever written. All he talks about is warm and wet as far as the eye can see. It doesn't even look that wet. Looks pretty dull and boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That's the most depressing AFD long term from BOX ever written. All he talks about is warm and wet as far as the eye can see. You should be excited. He also talks about windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: It doesn't even look that wet. Looks pretty dull and boring. Yeah pretty bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Googlymoogly Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 So no more 23rd potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Actually doesn't even look that warm either. Not cold but no big warmth Dude was drunk writing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Actually doesn't even look that warm either. Not cold but no big warmth Dude was drunk writing that Office Christmas party?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 EPS looked brutal through day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: EPS looked brutal through day 10. Close the blinds, hope for a winter reload for January. 33.1* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Close the blinds, hope for a winter reload for January. 33.1* There's one threat just before Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 1 hour ago, Googlymoogly said: So no more 23rd potential? Cmc has it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 12 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Cmc has it its not an official threat until its joined by another pos guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 its not an official threat until its joined by another pos guidance. I chuckled. Then I went and searched it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 I must say, uncle looked pretty miller b-ish last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Well wpc was definitely holding open the option of a miller b redeveloping in gom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 It's probably still an option for nne as has been the case. But I think sne needs a lot of work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 It's probably still an option for nne as has been the case. But I think sne needs a lot of work. Yes. Euro and gfs in good agreement with the h5 orientation not looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Ocean Effect Snow potential has legs this go around with northerly winds forecast for about 18-24 hours, should provide enough time for accumulations based upon persistence of banding. Delta ts are still impressive at 19-23C which is high instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 it's still an option everywhere - wow i mean, granted ... the blind-love for Euro still left something to be desired, it doesn't change the fact that for about a 2.5 days period of time, the deep SE and adjacent Gulf interface geopotential medium is temporarily relaxing prior to the D 5 thing being ejected out of the west. it 'probably' won't - okay, but i would be surprised/ if that thing comes in off the Pacific with more mechanics in the southern part of the trough. that would parlay favorable for sooner cyclogenesis down wind for a slew of reasons that won't fit on the interface of an iPhone or Android so I'm not going to bother - I will say that the NW zones in cutting Euro solution were marginal anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 I'll take the ukie solution. Not expecting it to come to fruition but who knows...maybe other guidance will trend a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 18, 2016 Share Posted December 18, 2016 Will any thoughts on snow for tomorrow over the Cape and Plymouth, MA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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