MJO812 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 9 minutes ago, masonwoods said: The 18Z GFS should calm the excitement. Until 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 16 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Naw Dryslot, I know what zilch means pathetic posts Obviously you don't as you questioned even if the low tracked east of ACK, Sit back and relax, Your turn will come in time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 43 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL it could end up cutting. Who cares what it has this far out. Snow weenies gotta discuss something. Can't wait till it's within skill range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 I would love to see consistent behavior in the models this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Snow/tropical/severe weather centric people on a weather discussion board gotta discuss something. Can't wait till it's within skill range. FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 I know model consistency rarely exists for a pattern change to colder norms, but honestly three major models disagree totally on the pattern in place for December 5th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I know model consistency rarely exists for a pattern change to colder norms, but honestly three major models disagree totally on the pattern in place for December 5th. The pattern change seems to be going along with climo norms, at least as it is depicted on some guidance. NNE chances will increase over the next few weeks (as you would expect, and as it should be in a normal progression). I sympathize with your enthusiasm, we all love snow. You are in a tough spot though. Living on the outer cape puts you in essentially the worst snow odds of anyone participating in this forum. Anything meaningful before the turn of the new year should be considered a major victory given all the factors working against you (mainly the Atlantic) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: The pattern change seems to be going along with climo norms, at least as it is depicted on some guidance. NNE chances will increase over the next few weeks (as you would expect, and as it should be in a normal progression). I sympathize with your enthusiasm, we all love snow. You are in a tough spot though. Living on the outer cape puts you in essentially the worst snow odds of anyone participating in this forum. Anything meaningful before the turn of the new year should be considered a major victory given all the factors working against you (mainly the Atlantic) No....se CT is worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No....se CT is worse. You took the words right out of my mouth. Coastal New London county through Westerly--where winter comes to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 We watch Dec 5th and then the 8th even more intently as the signal grows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2016 Author Share Posted November 28, 2016 12/5 is more a swfe and we need to get better antecedent cold imho. 12/8-10 is the real deal I think but it's in lala land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 A look at snowy St. John's Decembers. This is the composite of over 100 cm/39" or more on the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 #OTD in 1921 - New England was in the midst of a 4 day ice storm, their worst of record. Ice was 3" thick in many places. #wxhistory https://t.co/hRi0zrz3H9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: #OTD in 1921 - New England was in the midst of a 4 day ice storm, their worst of record. Ice was 3" thick in many places. #wxhistory https://t.co/hRi0zrz3H9 What we wouldn't give for that to happen today. I saw that this morning. Wonder how widespread that was. #wishwewerethere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2016 Author Share Posted November 28, 2016 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What I wouldn't give for that to happen today. I saw that this morning. Wonder how widespread that was. #wishwewerethere FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: FYP You were around then. How bad was it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 The models have me leaning slightly more towards cold and wet than cold and white for first half of December in CNE/SNE. NNE looks like it has some chances, good for ski areas but they won't escape without some rain either. Definitely looking like a step down to climo start to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What we wouldn't give for that to happen today. I saw that this morning. Wonder how widespread that was. #wishwewerethere Kev this article describes the area affected http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00221342208984139 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 lotta rain coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Pretty climo....as other have stated. Hardly anything before xmas. Thereafter, fair game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Should be pretty avg in the mean when all is said and done- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2016 Author Share Posted November 28, 2016 52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You were around then. How bad was it? Bad. Grandma ended up freezing solid in her rocking chair with no heat in the house for 3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Should be pretty avg in the mean when all is said and done- Except it begins Possibly as early as the 5th , but likely by the 8th for an extended stay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Didn't you say that last week, about this week too...that this week was looking quite wintry? This might take longer than some expect to evolve..which is like Ray said..about average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 No I did not. Perhaps someone else did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: No I did not. Perhaps someone else did Ok fair enough...I guess it was someone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 46 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Pretty climo....as other have stated. Hardly anything before xmas. Thereafter, fair game. Some people might see snow with the Dec 5 clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Euro is still really close to a pasting for the Wildcat-SR-Sugarloaf corridor on Thursday. It's been ticking north a hair each run with the southern extent of the snow line while the GFS has held pretty steady, but there's still a decent difference between the two. Seems like NWS is basically discounting the Euro, but I wouldn't be so quick to do so considering the GFS's record with temps and the tendency for models to underestimate cold air placement with a wedging high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Next week could not be any more different on the models. The mother of all front enders on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Next week could not be any more different on the models. The mother of all front enders on the euro. Interior NY and New England get crushed. This run is less amped and further east than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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