Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2016 Share Posted July 7, 2016 Dry Begets Wet. Only 0.26" here today. At 5:40pm the MVL Td hit 70F for the first time of the season following the rain. This was one of those rain events that just makes it more humid because its not a FROPA...it rains, and then just adds more low level moisture to the point that you've got ground fog in spots, and the pavement steams when the sun comes back out. That's like deep summer stuff with the hillsides shrouded in mist and fog from like 80-100% RH with temps in the 70s. Glad we live there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Connecticut Appleman Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 .62 here today and 3.5 inches over the last 10 days or so We have yet to crack the 1 inch mark over the past 10 days. To get that kind of rain, I think I might need to sacrifice a chicken and a goat to the rain gods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 We have yet to crack the 1 inch mark over the past 10 days. To get that kind of rain, I think I might need to sacrifice a chicken and a goat to the rain gods. Got super lucky in that localized deluge last week with 1.52 in an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 About .6 in the last 10 days here. Pretty much got shafted today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Well yeah, my normal low is in that range and we hit that yesterday morning prior to 88F in the afternoon. Much bigger difference to have a 62/53 type day over 88/53 even if they both have the same near normal minimum temp. Heating is more a daytime high thing this time of year...it's gotta be cold enough for long enough to turn the heat on. Plenty of days in the past couple months my house has been in the mid-50s when I wake up cause the low was 39F but I don't hit the heat cause it'll be 75F by noon. some understand some don't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Zero rain here today 7 10 split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I've had 1" over the last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 About .6 in the last 10 days here. Pretty much got shafted today. Still doing better than here. .28" today but only .52" mtd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 3.36" in July after tonight. Already ahead of June which was 3.06" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I've had 1" over the last month.Similar hereLocal PNS site had 0.66" going back to June 7, but IMBY I have tallied 0.95" Dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Actually got a nice soaking storm today, finished with 1.51", putting me around 2.4ish for the month so far. Not sure I had that all of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael05192016 Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 NYC and LI will be locked in drizzle and mid 60's Sat-Sun, don't feel bad. It may be 95-100 for a few days in extended, the backdoor might be well deserved for what's possible to come. 592 contour over NYC spells Hades, to 42 north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Big big extended heat signal for Wed-Sun next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Big big extended heat signal for Wed-Sun next week. Good--the pool will be able to use the warming after the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Congrats on the backdoor all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Good--the pool will be able to use the warming after the next few days.Werd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Congrats on the backdoor all. Kinky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Excellent. I look forward to it. Seasons in Seasons. Big big extended heat signal for Wed-Sun next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2016 Author Share Posted July 8, 2016 Congrats on the backdoor all. you know what annoys me ? this: where's the backdoor? i get that there are other kinds of boundaries in the atmosphere - like, they're not going to annotate a cold front along the leading edge of an MCS swath.. etc.. but, BD's have enough distinction that some effort should be taken in my mind. if you loop the hi res sat imagery you can clearly see a llv jet paralleling the Maine Coast, punching SW through SNE, and it has a discerned front edge presently in western MA/CT. almost looks like a mocking penis head ... our day is screwed now, and we don't even get the courtesy of a reach around distinction as to why? - jerks. NY is behind their frontal drape, and they're getting spectacular weather before some fun convection... not fair - haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2016 Author Share Posted July 8, 2016 heh, hi res shows it eroding/clearing from the edges in the interior...may improve this afternoon after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I noticed the US drought monitor has upgraded parts of Mass, NH and extreme SW Maine into severe drought. Do you think someone should start a thread on the drought or just keep rainfall or lack there of in this July pattern thread? If one of the mod's think we should do that I'll let them, I don't want to start a new thread myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 I noticed the US drought monitor has upgraded parts of Mass, NH and extreme SW Maine into severe drought. Do you think someone should start a thread on the drought or just keep rainfall or lack there of in this July pattern thread? If one of the mod's think we should do that I'll let them, I don't want to start a new thread myself.I'd fire one up as things are getting very, very dire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 8, 2016 Author Share Posted July 8, 2016 heh, i've lived around here for 35 years and have seen this kind of dry thing... it'll flood this fall for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Anyone in the NE old enough to remember 1962-66 just snickers at any "drought" since then, at least from a water supply viewpoint. Fire danger can arise even when the water table and reservoirs are high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 What a furnace. Prepare What we do know, however, is that there are strong signals from both the GFS and ECMWF ensembles that there will be significant heat beginning Wednesday or Thursday and possibly continuing into next weekend. There are high probabilities of temperatures above 90 in those ensembles and even decent probabilities of hitting 100 degrees by Friday or Saturday. It takes three days of 90+ to call it a heat wave and that looks like a distinct possibility. With increasing humidity, we could be looking at the need for Heat Advisories. Have continued with above-guidance maximum temperature forecasts...reaching the mid 90s Thursday and Friday, but would not be surprised if they are a bit higher in later forecasts. The weather will be mainly dry, but the risk for isolated thunderstorms will begin to increase by Thursday as higher dewpoints move in with increasing instability. Despite instability in western sections Wednesday, warm 700 mb temperatures are expected to provide a cap for any convection then. Although beyond the extent of this forecast period, the following weekend looks a tad cooler on the current operational GFS but even hotter...above 100 on the current operational ECMWF run for Sunday. You should definitely prepare for hot weather later this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2016 Share Posted July 8, 2016 Kevin who wrote that and for where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 Someone at BOX for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 Here comes the three day summer Doo-be-doo-be-dews By the 17th it'll be back to COC weather and goose pimples at the poolside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 Clouds could limit temps next Friday. But that is la la land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 9, 2016 Share Posted July 9, 2016 Someone at BOX for SNE We meh? Models signaling a possible heat wave in the interior as 850 mb temps increase to 18-20C. There may be some issues with clouds Thu/Fri which could impact temps but the pattern favors highs in the lower 90s interior with some mid 90s possible if clouds are not an issue. Looks dry Wed with limited instability, then risk of showers/t-storms begin to increase Thu/Fri as mid level trof approaches and dewpoints/instability increase. We may have a front moving into the region Fri and deep layer shear increases ahead of the trof so will have to watch Fri for a possible active day of convection. If temps can reach mid 90s Thu/Fri we may be near heat advisory criteria as dewpoints may approach 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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