Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2016 Author Share Posted April 9, 2016 It's almost that time of the year where NNE can shine with the warmth while SNE seabreezes.Interior FTW in that pattern . Like a70+ BDL and 48 BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 LOL, not quite. I'm still not a fan of long range either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 LOL, not quite. I'm still not a fan of long range either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2016 Author Share Posted April 9, 2016 EPS says TORCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 For a day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 9, 2016 Author Share Posted April 9, 2016 Though I will say that's a ripe pattern for backdoors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 It may be a mild end of week next week and weekend, esp inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted April 9, 2016 Share Posted April 9, 2016 Friend on Facebook said it just started snowing in Stamford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 10, 2016 Author Share Posted April 10, 2016 The euro went ahead and cancelled spring or any nice weather thru day 10. What an awful, awful stretch coming up. Nasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 The euro went ahead and cancelled spring or any nice weather thru day 10. What an awful, awful stretch coming up. Nasty Yep. Pretty colors at H5 FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Nice Greenland ridge on the ensembles. Napril cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 I don't know many reporting sites north of the St Lawrence River Valley, but man that area continues to get snow every single time it rains in New England. They've had one heck of a season up there from the cutters all taking an almost identical path...and they are still getting good synoptic snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 10, 2016 Author Share Posted April 10, 2016 Yep. Pretty colors at H5 FTL. May not see the sun after today for 7-10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 I unpinned the model thread. The snow chances are pretty much gone so it doesn't really make sense to have a model and pattern thread pinned. We can probably just go back to putting the model and pattern talk together again. If anyone disagrees make your voice be heard. And nice C cups euro. I hate cut off season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 I don't know many reporting sites north of the St Lawrence River Valley, but man that area continues to get snow every single time it rains in New England. They've had one heck of a season up there from the cutters all taking an almost identical path...and they are still getting good synoptic snow. rgem_snow_acc_neng_17.png Yeah, I know several people who have gone up there to ride snowmobiles and they have said it looks like 10' on the ground. Of course after this winter anything over a foot would look like ten to me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 I have no idea how some thought Napril was coming. This is not the pattern for it. You want a SE ridge and massive trough in Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 I have no idea how some thought Napril was coming. This is not the pattern for it. You want a SE ridge and massive trough in Rockies.we get the Rockies trough...unfortunately that d4 s/w cuts off and rots over us for a week. Hopefully it trends south a bit and becomes more of a SNE/NYC problem so that NNE can squeeze in a little sun here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 ...Curtain closing, lights off season has officially begun. Looks awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 I have no idea how some thought Napril was coming. This is not the pattern for it. You want a SE ridge and massive trough in Rockies. We have the latter ... at least, in the time frame in question. And really, that "...how some thought..." sentiment isn't altogether fair to be blunt. This idea of a cut-off tainting what ridge response there in the east down wind of aforesaid trough in the west, was not only previously only hinted ...but it fits in between mass field arguments (as they always do in spring and summer) and therefore couldn't really have been very well defined in any deterministic sense. If remove that cut-off ...that's your warm balmy April and it's presence comes out of nowhere - I disagree there's credit taking there. If folks can honestly say that cut-off was perceived as a certainty a over a week ago, than the 'obvious no' sentiment of 'how some thought' carries more weight for me. Otherwise it's lucky - Having said that, April sucks for a reason - and more than anything, this is just climo being built accordingly. also, just fyi for everyone ... the the four climo sites in SNE, March ended +4 to +6 (give or take decimals) above normal, yet the first 10 days of April is for all intents and purposes mirroring opposite. talk about a surgical strike - ha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 we get the Rockies trough...unfortunately that d4 s/w cuts off and rots over us for a week. Hopefully it trends south a bit and becomes more of a SNE/NYC problem so that NNE can squeeze in a little sun here and there. Heights are still high all over Canada. Until we get rid of the ridge axis so far west, it's cutoff sand BDFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Enjoy today. BLUEBIRD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Enjoy today. BLUEBIRD meh...just my personal opinion of today but it sucks and is horrible. blistering, searing, high post equinox sun and it's not even 40 ?! again, just my opinion, but its a rotted waste of a sunny day.. also, in a worldly sense of it, these kind of cool results have been happening, with the exception of just one or two other locations around the planet, only in New England. it seems (sarcastm) like our geography solely carries the burden of off-setting global warming. and IF that is going to be the case ... it's got to do it in April - don't you know it... man... what a f* 'en prison term spring is in this part of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 meh...just my personal opinion of today but it sucks and is horrible. blistering, searing, high post equinox sun and it's not even 40 ?! again, just my opinion, but its a rotted waste of a sunny day.. also, in a worldly sense of it, these kind of cool results have been happening, with the exception of just one or two other locations around the planet, only in New England. it seems (sarcastm) like our geography solely carries the burden of off-set to global warming. and IF that is going to be the case ... it's got to do it in April - don't you know it... man... what a f* 'en prison term spring is in this part of the world. been outside since 8am have no idea what you mean. Clear crisp, sun feels great. Yard work is so much more easily done with clean Canadian air. Invigorating yet not bound by multiple layers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 of course...now, the mass fields are changing toward a cold stormy one... (and that just means cooler profiles - not talking about cocaine here) wouldn't you know - have to see tho. the operational GFS appears to be at symbolic war against its own ensemble means: the op. version is clearly "relaxing" the gradient (it's one reason why the cut-off has emerged in all the runs for that matter...) -vs- the derivative of the means, which have this solid +PNA/-NAO thing gong on. I've read over the years the warm ENSO events (to which one is quickly ending, noted -) tend to back end winters with more +PNA tendencies. It's almost like the physical memory the atmosphere has has yet to incorporate new experience here - heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 what a wild read the last two pages lol....flip flop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Let's aim for an April 28, 1987 redux end of April with -NAO and plenty of cold in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Saw a Boston TV met concerned Marathon might be hot Color me skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 12z GFS backed off the depth of that cut-off feature a bit ... perhaps 6 DM through the core and extend radially out through all of the EC region. not sure it's enough ...but if it backs off more (and VERIFIED that way being most important) than the mid/U/A feature probably falls below the mechanic strength threshold to engender lower tropospheric cyclonic response. long words for, it's just to weak to have much low pressure at the surface. Then of course its a variable thing with sun heat on-shore flow east of 95 with pancake or even some instability lighter showers ...but still offset by sun intervals. Hugely different implication than having a 5 isobar gradient on-shore domestic violence... OceanWx brought up a good point last week .. these cut-offs will often be modeled more miserable than they verify. ...Or not, sometimes they over produce -sure. But it's pretty weak in this morning's GFS depiction and getting close to dropping below said threshold. Oh...I'm sure that the typical depth-happy GGEM and Euro will show up a snow storm now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 GFS op is an ice box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 GFS op is an ice box. Meaning...Time frame? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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