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Jan 22-24 blizzard obs, tracking, nowcasting #2


Ian
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Any idea why IAD is reporting such low numbers?  I know I have over 30" IMBY here in Herndon. 

Lurking here from New Hampshire.  The official NWS way of measuring snow is to clear your snow boards every 6 hours.  That is how Boston does it.  I would guess that is how it is done officially everywhere.  Many lay persons measure and then clear the area, measuring every hour or couple of hours.  If you do it that way your totals will be higher.  If you wait 6 hours then the snow weight compresses the column slightly so your totals are lower.  Maybe that is the reason??

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Curious if anyone is keeping tabs on Winchester, VA.. My buddy says he's got 40 inches, maybe pushing 50.. Curious if anyone has seen similar reports.  I gotta double check, some official reports, but he's gotten buried up there and the most he's seen living out there..

 

Man, what a day for folks down this way.  Yeh, looks like things are starting to wrap up.. Watching the bands to begin to diminish. Eh, its like that party you had so much fun and then its over. Yep, all the past nights wrestling what the models are showing, what can go wrong and the emotions of oh man, what 30 inches or wait, 15 inches.. What a southern shift or you have to fight with a track too far north..

 

Anyway, wouldn't mind if we had Boston got last year. Hey, how about we have 3 more of these events.. Yeh, I know thats probably a long shot, but hey you never know.

 

Well, this pattern breaks down some and we moderate. What does February have waiting for us.. Well, time will tell..

 

Time to look ahead some great football tomorrow.. Will the Patriots go back to the Super Bowl.. I think its going to be the Pats and the Panthers.  Well, we'll see..

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Curious if anyone is keeping tabs on Winchester, VA.. My buddy says he's got 40 inches, maybe pushing 50.. Curious if anyone has seen similar reports.  I gotta double check, some official reports, but he's gotten buried up there and the most he's seen living out there..

 

Man, what a day for folks down this way.  Yeh, looks like things are starting to wrap up.. Watching the bands to begin to diminish. Eh, its like that party you had so much fun and then its over. Yep, all the past nights wrestling what the models are showing, what can go wrong and the emotions of oh man, what 30 inches or wait, 15 inches.. What a southern shift or you have to fight with a track too far north..

 

Anyway, wouldn't mind if we had Boston got last year. Hey, how about we have 3 more of these events.. Yeh, I know thats probably a long shot, but hey you never know.

 

Well, this pattern breaks down some and we moderate. What does February have waiting for us.. Well, time will tell..

 

Time to look ahead some great football tomorrow.. Will the Patriots go back to the Super Bowl.. I think its going to be the Pats and the Panthers.  Well, we'll see..

 

I am reporting 38 but I might have more than that. Definitely not 50 inches though.

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Report from the SnowHole 10 mi S of DC about 5:45: 16"-18" on multiple measurements on my flat driveway, away from the cars and using my super-scientific wooden yardstick with painted 1/8" gradations.  I've lived here 40 years and 18", my previous record, still stands.  Still snowing though so there is hope!

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Curious if anyone is keeping tabs on Winchester, VA.. My buddy says he's got 40 inches, maybe pushing 50.. Curious if anyone has seen similar reports. I gotta double check, some official reports, but he's gotten buried up there and the most he's seen living out there..

Man, what a day for folks down this way. Yeh, looks like things are starting to wrap up.. Watching the bands to begin to diminish. Eh, its like that party you had so much fun and then its over. Yep, all the past nights wrestling what the models are showing, what can go wrong and the emotions of oh man, what 30 inches or wait, 15 inches.. What a southern shift or you have to fight with a track too far north..

Anyway, wouldn't mind if we had Boston got last year. Hey, how about we have 3 more of these events.. Yeh, I know thats probably a long shot, but hey you never know.

Well, this pattern breaks down some and we moderate. What does February have waiting for us.. Well, time will tell..

Time to look ahead some great football tomorrow.. Will the Patriots go back to the Super Bowl.. I think its going to be the Pats and the Panthers. Well, we'll see..

My last total was 39.25" north of Winchester.

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Tried to measure just now....couldn't get anything accurate. 34" sounds about right! Most snow I've ever seen... Beats '96 when I lived in NW Jersey!!

Thanks for measuring all day! I don't have a good spot to measure, so it's been nice to see your reports from just up the road.

I was out shoveling from 11:00 - 2:00 and by the time I finished, the first strip that I'd shoveled had another five inches on top. Crazy.

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Curious if anyone is keeping tabs on Winchester, VA.. My buddy says he's got 40 inches, maybe pushing 50.. Curious if anyone has seen similar reports.  I gotta double check, some official reports, but he's gotten buried up there and the most he's seen living out there..

 

Man, what a day for folks down this way.  Yeh, looks like things are starting to wrap up.. Watching the bands to begin to diminish. Eh, its like that party you had so much fun and then its over. Yep, all the past nights wrestling what the models are showing, what can go wrong and the emotions of oh man, what 30 inches or wait, 15 inches.. What a southern shift or you have to fight with a track too far north..

 

Anyway, wouldn't mind if we had Boston got last year. Hey, how about we have 3 more of these events.. Yeh, I know thats probably a long shot, but hey you never know.

 

Well, this pattern breaks down some and we moderate. What does February have waiting for us.. Well, time will tell..

 

Time to look ahead some great football tomorrow.. Will the Patriots go back to the Super Bowl.. I think its going to be the Pats and the Panthers.  Well, we'll see..

Try this. http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

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I can't believe in all those model runs that showed it snowing for 30-40 hours that it's actually going to get close to that duration.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

 I remember the Mets laughing at the GFS in the radio show the other night. The outrageous snow totals it spit out are going to verify. It's incredible really.

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I can't believe in all those model runs that showed it snowing for 30-40 hours that it's actually going to get close to that duration.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I can't believe the models busted a little low here when they were already showing insane totals. I think the Euro showed a total close to what we got on one of its ping pong runs but most I think showed in the 24-30 range.

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